Major Causes of the Current Conflict in South Sudan

By Daniel Wuor Joak

*February 20, 2014 (SSNA) --* Since the formation of the Government of
South Sudan (GOSS) in September 2005, following the signing of the
Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) in January 2005, by both the SPLM and
the Government of Sudan (GOS), in Nairobi, Kenya, President Salva Kiir had
never taken his newly appointed Vice President Dr. Riek Machar Teny
seriously at any rate. He kept on reminding him of 1991 splits, which
occurred within the SPLM/A ranks between Dr. Riek Machar & Dr. John Garang.
The death of Dr. John Garang had indeed played crucial roles in these
on-going messes in South Sudan. Such scornful humilations against Dr. Riek
Machar would have not arised if he (Garang) were to be alive today because
he fully knew the past mistakes, which orchestrated the two splits under
his leadership in 1983 and again in1991 respectively. The death tools in
these two rebellions were enormous indeed as well as the displacement of
civilians and destruction of their properties.

The backgrounds of the two splits which were staged at different times by
Anya-Nya II in 1983, led by Col. Samuel Gai Tut and SPLA - Nasir Faction
headed by Dr. Riek Machar in 1991, were the objectives of SPLM/A Movement
on how to prosecute the war in relations to the people of South Sudan's
aspiration. Whereas Dr. Garang's objectives were to fight the war for a
united democratic New Sudan, which was countrary to the vision of the
people of South Sudan who were yearning since 1955, only for an independent
of South Sudan which later became everybody's business including Garang and
his supporters like current President Salva Kiir, following the attainments
of the CPA in 2005 and later the result of referendum that gave South Sudan
the right to succeed from Sudan on 9th July 2011.

*POST CPA AND INDEPENDENCE OF SOUTH SUDAN FROM 2005 -2014*

Since 2005 upwards, both the GOSS and RSS have been receiving not less than
18 billions USD in oil revenues without implementing any major
developmental projects like roads networks linking different States in
South Sudan, conducive learning schools from basics to universities levels,
referral medical facilities or even PHCCs and PHCUs centres at counties
levels, clean drinking water in remote areas throughout the country,
setting up vibrant and credible institutions which can adhere to rules of
law. All these things have not been implemented due to poor system of
governance under leadership of Salva Kiir Mayardit. Most of the counties
have no roads linking them with their State capitols leave schools, health
centres, clean drinking water etc. South Sudanese population in the rural
areas throughout the country are still living in the same conditions as
they were under Khartoum´s rule in terms of scarcity of development.

Tribalism and nepotism is well-entrenched in Mayardit's system where his
close circles and henchmen are the ones syphoning the resources of the
country by using the mischevious words like "This is our turn to eat" just
to qualify their egos. Corruption and exploitation are so rampants and the
President Salva Kiir have been using rhetoric empty slogans all the time
like "Zero Tolerance" against suspected corrupt officials who have been
involved in laundering public money in millions of dollars into foreign
banks abroad. The oil producing states like Upper Nile and Unity are
getting only 2% each of the oil revenues and the rest of 96% is being
retained by the central government in Juba where the monthly remittances of
oil money that amount to over 500 millions is being kept in foreign banks
accounts in East Africa countries by the President Salva and his close
friends. Both the Minister of finance and the governor of Central Bank of
South Sudan (BOSS) are also figureheads who have no many roles in managing
and accountability over the resources. The President has been denying
people of South Sudan all along developmental opportunities by appeasing
his friends in East Africa with their expenses.  He has already killed the
SPLM Party deliverately simply because, President Kiir fears collective
leadership that is why he dissolved the Political Bureau, National
Liberation Council, sacking of his long-time Vice President Dr. Riek
Machar, Secretary General of SPLM Pagan Amum, the entire committed SPLM in
the cabinets, some critical governors and replaced them with newcomers who
have nothing much to contribute in the SPLM leadership. President Salva
Kiir has proved himself as one of the worst African dictators in line with
Idi Amin Dada & Yoweri Museveni of Uganda, Jeans Bedel Bokasa of CAR,
Mauamar Gadhafi of Libya, Mengistu Haile Mariam of Ethiopia, and Robert
Mugabe of Zimbabwe etc.

*FIGHTING IN JUBA AND THE SUBSEQUENT MASSACRES OF OVER TEN THOUSAND NUER IN
JUBA*

The fighting at Tiger military barrack in Juba, which happened on 15th December
2013, at 9.00 PM, was specifically caused by President Salva Kiir himself
when he briefly ordered his trustful General Marial Cinuony, the commanding
officer of Presidential Protection Unit to unconditionally disarm some Nuer
members within the army on suspicion that they might resist the arrest of
Dr. Riek Machar and other SPLM political leaders which was suppose to
happen the same night. When the Nuer soldiers discovered the ploy they
immediately resisted the disarmament and that triggered the fighting when
one of their officers was shot and instantly killed by their Dinka
colleague. The Nuer soldiers bravely overrun the military barrack and
occupied it the whole night until they were over-powered and dislodged in
the following day by Presidential Guards who were brought from Luri
Mountains which President Salva has established as a military base for his
Dinka soldiers whom he trained specifically to protect him in case of any
uprising in the country. Their number is estimated to be around 15
thousands and were drawn up mainly from Warrap and Northern Bahr El Gazal
Sates whereas the rest of Dinka soldiers from other states were not
involved in these selective recruitments.

This look very fishy and the Chief of General Staff of SPLA 1st Lt. General
James Hoth Mai and the former Minister of Defence Lt. General John Kong
Nyuon had voiced a lot of concerns about the recruitments of such private
army which operates independently outside the SPLA regular forces. They
categorically refused to pay them salaries as well as denying them military
hardware when requested by the President. Instead the President went ahead
and brought for them military hardware from Uganda and provided them with
salaries independently outside the SPLA system. Following the dislodgements
of the mutiny soldiers from Tiger headquarters on 16th December, the
Presidential Guards who were only Dinka went on rampage and started
collecting Nuer all over Juba searching house to house and massacred them
indiscriminately for a period of three days up to 19th December 2013. The
most gruesome killings had occurred in Gudelle Police Station between 16 -
19 December, where overcrowded Nuer civilians collected from Gudelle
neighbourhood, of more than 300 people in total, were congregated in one
room and the government police and soldiers started shooting at them
indiscriminately. This story was sadly related by one of the victims who
pretended to have died of gunshot wound and recovered when the bodies of
the dead including him were thrown to forest. Government soldiers up to now
are still protecting this killing site at Gudelle Police Station where they
do not want any person including journalists to enter there.

This indicate that the government under President Kiir has greatly involved
in Nuer's massacres if such premises like police station can be used as a
killing site while the government still denied any roles in the killings of
Nuer in Juba town as it was recently alleged by South Sudan foreign
minister Dr. Barnaba Marial Benjamin in an interview over the BBC
Television in London that the government had not ordered the killings of
Nuer civilians in Juba and at the same time admitting that about 100 Dinka
soldiers are now in custody in Juba awaiting trial for the killings of Nuer
civilians. The President himself has admitted this week in the article
written by Sudan Turbine - a website media outlet that he indeed recruited
soldiers to protect his government in case uprising arises in the country.

*INVOVEMENTS OF UGANDAN UPDF, SPLM-N AND JEM MERCENARIES FORCES IN SOUTH
SUDAN'S WAR*

The involvements of foreign troops hired by President Kiir to come and
fight on his behalf is the most unfortunate thing a leader could do to his
country when the war is only an internal one. Uganda can come in only if
there is an external aggression against the country but not with the "White
Army" who are untrained civilians who angrily mobilized themselves as
results of the killings of their relatives and friends in Upper Nile, Unity
and Jonglei States by government (SPLA) forces.  Now that the government in
Juba have acknowledged the threats being posed the rebels by admitting that
70% of the organised forces have indeed defected to the SPLM-In Opposition.
This alone that the government is no longer popular and therefore President
Salva Kiir has become an unwanted symptom in the Republic of South Sudan
and that is why he relies on foreign mercenaries from Uganda and opposition
forces from North Sudan to temporarily keep him in power.

*CALLS FOR WITHDRAWAL OF FOREIGN TROOPS IN SOUTH SUDAN*

The present of Ugandan troops and Sudanese opposition forces in South Sudan
will definitely aggravated the current conflict between the government and
the SPLM - IN Opposition to find a lasting peace in the country. To make
the matter worst, Ugandan troops have been using cluster bombs, a type of
explosive weapon, which scatters sub-munitions (bomblets) over a wider
area. It is a weapon of mass destruction banned all over the world. It was
adopted in Dublin, Ireland in 2008, and was opened for signature in
December 2008, in Oslo, Norway. About 108 countries among them Uganda have
signed the treaty and 84 other countries have also ratified or acceded it.
UPDF and SPLA use of deadly weapons of mass destruction banned all over the
world is unforgivable crimes against the Nuer civilians (White Army) and
the SPLM - In Opposition rebels. Once America and Soviet Union used such
type of weapons in Vietnam, Kampuchea and Laos during the Vietnam wars and
it was also by Soviet Union during the Afghans war 1980s which several
million human lives were lost in these countries. Countries that ratified
the convention were obliged never under any circumstances to:
*a*) Use of cluster munitions
*b*) Develop, produce, otherwise acquire, stockpile, retain or transfer to
anyone directly or indirectly
*c*) Assist, encourage or induce anyone to engage in any activity
prohibited to a State Party under this convention.

However, the Ugandan and Sudanese opposition mercenaries hired by President
Kiir to kill Nuer in South Sudan have been carried out wanton and
ethnically motivated massacres in Great Upper Nile States of Jonglei, Upper
Nile and Unity. This is completely violation of the sovereignty of the
Republic of South Sudan and violation of international law and UN charter,
which does not encourage interference by member states in the other state
affairs. The UN and international community must condemn the Ugandan
government in strongest possible terms with their involvement in South
Sudan internal affairs and the use of cluster bombs, which they stockpiled
and used against the LRA era in 1980s & 1990s.

*RELEASE OF POLITICAL DETAINEES*

It was in everybody wishes that the government in Juba without any
precondition should immediately release the eleven political detainees, who
were apparently arrested during the aftermath of fighting in Juba. Since
there was no coup and no substantial evidences to implicate them, there was
no reason for them to remain behind bars. Unfortunately, all these leaders
have proved beyond reasonable doubt that they are indeed political
opportunists who have nothing much to offer in this conflict except
succumbing to any group later in order to gain political positions. They
have actually sold out Dr. Riek Machar in a broad daylight to Salva Kiir
and IGAD mediators. Dr. Riek Machar fought for their unconditional release
from the lion's den and certainly abandoned him in freezing snow.

*SECCESSION OF HOSTILITIES*

As long as Ugandan forces and Sudanese opposition mercenaries SPLM-N & JEM
are still active in the battlefields on the side of President Salva, I
doubt any tangible result to come out from IGAD mediators. President
Museveni of Uganda is always undermining all the IGAD leaders including
that of Kenya, Sudan and Ethiopia. He believes in war of aggressions as he
previously did in Congo, Rwanda, Burundi, and Somalia and now in South
Sudan. Museveni always believes in militarism's doctrine. He had killed
millions of human beings in these countries neither Human Rights nor ICC
had ever questioned his sinister role. That is why he insisted to continue
with his warmonger in South Sudan against the Nuer people who should be
regarded by UN as a minority under their "Minority Rights" to be protected
from elimination. The only solution to end this war is for President Kiir
to step down and allow the people of South Sudan to choose their person of
choice to lead them during the interim period until elections convene in
the future. Otherwise, the chance of attaining peace under current
President Kiir's leadership is very gloomy. Most of the communities, which
he had butchered during his eight years of tyranny, will never accept him
to continue ruling them. Therefore, the international community including
IGAD countries should pressurise President Kiir to step down in favour of a
neutral person who should be accepted by all South Sudanese masses as the
only way to end the present ordeals in the country.

*Daniel Wuor Joak** is a former MP in South Sudan Legislative Assembly
(SSLA) and Minister of Education, Science & Technology in Upper Nile State.
He is the Director of African Centre for Human Advocacy (ACHA), which
advocates for Democracy & Development, Rule of Law, Good Governance,
Accountability, Human Rights, and Advocacy throughout African Continent. He
can be reached at [email protected] <[email protected]>
**[email protected]
<[email protected]> .*

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