---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: John Ashworth <[email protected]>
Date: Wed, Jun 3, 2015 at 12:16 PM
Subject: [sudans-john-ashworth] Darfur's deepening conflict
To: Group <[email protected]>


Briefing: Darfur's deepening conflict

By Stephen Graham

NAIROBI, 2 June 2015 (IRIN) - Violence in Sudan’s Darfur has surged to
levels not seen in a decade, with more than 150,000 people driven from
their homes this year alone. The region’s long-suffering residents are
also bearing the brunt of a measles epidemic.

It is a conflict to which the international community appears to have
no answer and which risks being overshadowed by other crises in East
Africa and beyond. The humanitarian and security challenges are vast.

Here's why:

How did we get here?

Darfur’s war began in 2003 with a rebellion by tribes complaining of
political and economic marginalisation against the Arab-dominated
government of President Omar al-Bashir. Khartoum’s counter-insurgency
campaign has relied heavily on locally-recruited Arab militias who
have been accused of mass killings of civilians in non-Arab areas
suspected of supporting the rebels. According to the UN, the conflict
has left as many as 300,000 people dead and displaced another 2.5
million.

Over the years, the conflict has grown increasingly complex, with
rebel movements splintering into numerous rival factions – some of
which made peace, at least temporarily - and Arab groups turning
against each other and the central government in ethnic disputes often
linked to land rights and political power.

After years of failed international peace initiatives, and the
indictment of Bashir by the International Criminal Court for crimes
including genocide, the conflict has intensified since 2013 with the
government launching dry-season offensives against the rebels in
Darfur as well as the neighbouring Kordofan region.

Surging violence

This year, government troops, including former militias now called
Rapid Support Forces, have attacked numerous settlements in purported
rebel strongholds including the Jebel Marra mountains.
Recent media reports show scores of civilians sheltering in caves in
the mountains, and telling of an aerial bombardment near the village
of Golo in January that left an unknown number of people dead and
others wounded.

In May, the government paraded trucks piled high with weaponsthey said
were seized from the rebel Justice and Equality Movement after a major
battle in the Tullus area of South Darfur on 26 April.
There have also been several major tribal clashes.

Most recently, fighting broke out on 11 May between Ma’aliya and
Reizegat tribesmen near the town of Abu Karinka in East Darfur state
over a long-running land dispute. The battles reportedly left hundreds
of dead and wounded and displaced thousands. The two Arab tribes have
clashed repeatedly in recent years, despite mediation efforts.
Hundreds were killed and thousands displaced by fighting between the
two groups in the same area last year.

In North Darfur state, a series of deadly attacks this year has
fomented tensions between the Berti and Zayadia tribes and displaced
thousands more people. Berti student leaders reportedly suspect Musa
Hilal, a prominent Arab militia chief, of stirring trouble in the
province. Hilal is a political rival to North Darfur’s Berti governor,
Osman Mohamed Yousif Kibir, who stands accused of recruiting an ethnic
militia of his own.

Displacement

In all, about 430,000 people have been displaced in Darfur since the
start of 2014, bringing the total in the region to 2.5 million,
according to the UN. Some 1.5 million of those are children. About 3.1
million people are displaced in Sudan as a whole.

Many internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Darfur have little
prospect of returning to their homes.

Aristide Nononsi, the UN independent expert on human rights in Sudan,
said after visiting Darfur in May that the displaced lived in fear of
armed groups and criminality.

While most IDPs want to go back to their homelands, “many
interlocutors whom I met, in particular in North and South Darfur
states, remain anxious about the security situation in their areas of
origin… as well as the restoration of sustainable peace in the
region,” Nononsi said in a statement.

The fighting around Abu Karinka reportedly saw more than 650 homes
burned, and an estimated 24,000 families displaced. Hundreds more
families fled with their livestock to neighbouring North Kordofan
state before violence broke out, according to the UN’s humanitarian
coordination body, OCHA.

“The victims are in need of water, food, shelter and medecines,” East
Darfuri humanitarian aid commissioner Abdu Abdelmahmound said on May
15.

According to UNICEF, the UN children’s agency, more than 9,000 new
IDPs had arrived in the Mellit locality alone as a result of the
fighting between the Berti and Zayadia tribes. It said it was also
assisting new IDPs in seven other locations in North Darfur.

Assistance

According to OCHA, about 1.5 million of those displaced in Darfur live
in camps or “camp-like settings.”

“The provision of basic services in these locations, relative to the
rest of Darfur, is mostly adequate,” Damien Rance, a spokesman for
OCHA in Khartoum, told IRIN. “The quality of basic service delivery
however has deteriorated over the years as the number of displaced
people continues to grow, fewer NGOs remain to deliver these services,
reduced funding is being channelled to these services, and the
political interest of the international community wanes.”

Access

A long-standing problem facing humanitarian agencies in Darfur has
been access to vulnerable populations, particularly in active conflict
zones.

After the violence in Abu Karinka, for example, OCHA said humanitarian
partners were standing by to move food, emergency shelters and
household items. However, authorities have denied UNAMID – the joint
African Union-United Nations peacekeeping mission in Darfur – access
to the town to carry out an assessment.

“The government has said that, at this stage, it is providing all of
the aid that is required,” OCHA’s Rance said. “The international
humanitarian community stands ready, willing and able to assist.”

More broadly, OCHA said that access restrictions and insecurity had
prevented it and its partners from verifying the situation of 92,000
of those reportedly displaced by recent fighting, including in the
Jebel Marra mountains.

Food Security

Militias allied with the government have long been accused of adopting
“scorched-earth” tactics, destroying homes and livelihoods in rebel
strongholds and thus contributing to high levels of malnutrition.

According to UNICEF, some two million Sudanese children under the age
of five suffer from chronic malnutrition, of which 550,000 are
severely malnourished and at risk of death.

The International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC), which resumed
work in Sudan in September after an eight-month suspension, recently
appealed to donors for more funds so that it could expand its
operations in Darfur.

“The ongoing conflict is still taking a heavy toll on civilians,” said
Eric Marclay, ICRC’s head of operations for East Africa. “We want to
assist both the displaced and host communities directly... seed and
tools are needed now to prepare for the next planting season. The
additional funding will also finance medical care and the building of
water and sanitation facilities.”

Health

According to UNICEF, frequent population displacement and high rates
of malnutrition as well as very low vaccination rates contributed to
an outbreak of measles in April. The disease has since reached
epidemic levels in 14 states, prompting UNICEF to launch a nationwide
vaccination campaign. Of the 35 reported deaths so far, 25 have
occurred in Darfur.

UNICEF country representative Geert Cappelaere said about 50,000
children are being deprived of humanitarian aid, including essential
vaccines, in the Jebel Marra area.

“Because of conflict, we have not been able to access the population
in some areas for the last four years," Cappelaere told Voice of
America. "So, we have there a massive group of children that are
unvaccinated and may be one of the causes of the outbreak of measles
we are having today.”

Funding and capacity

The UN’s 2015 response plan for Sudan seeking about US$1 billion is
just 28 percent funded, leaving huge gaps in areas including security
and livelihoods assistance. UNICEF said its Sudan 2015 appeal was only
14 percent funded.

Humanitarian agencies also face a vastly diminished operational
capacity since the government expelled more than a dozen international
aid groups in 2009.

According to OCHA’s Rance, the number of aid workers in Darfur has
fallen from 17,700 before the expulsions to just 5,540 in November
last year.

“This decline in skilled workers obviously leads to a significant
capacity deficit, particularly when seen against that fact that we
have seen more new displacement in 2014 than in any single year since
2004. Accordingly, the ability to deliver adequate levels of basic
humanitarian services has been adversely affected,” Rance said.

Outlook

The prospects for an end to the conflict appear bleak.

While President Bashir, who was elected to another five-year term in
April, has said he will launch a national dialogue after his
inauguration, it remains unclear which members of the opposition and
rebel movements will take part.

Analysts and opponents say Bashir’s apparent divide-and-rule policies
in Darfur, which have seen the region divided into five provinces, are
unlikely to change.

“These policies have destroyed the social fabric in the western
region, which has led to the numerous violent conflicts between
tribes, in particular the Arab tribes,” said Yousef Hussein of the
Sudanese Communist Party. “The government now holds Darfur hostage.”

Meanwhile, the UNAMID peacekeeping mission has faced accusations of
timidity and of covering up abuses by Sudanese government forces and
is under pressure from Khartoum to scale back its mission or withdraw
completely.

Reports of abuses continue unchecked.

“Our concerns run the gamut from conflict-related abuses such as
attacks on civilians by government forces and sexual violence by the
RSF, to indiscriminate aerial bombing on villages, and the utter lack
of accountability,” said Jehanne Henry of Human Rights Watch.

http://www.irinnews.org/report/101568/briefing-darfur-s-deepening-conflict

END
______________________
John Ashworth

Sudan, South Sudan Advisor

[email protected]

+254 725 926 297 (Kenya mobile)
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PO Box 52662 - 00100, Nairobi, Kenya

This is a personal e-mail address and the contents do not necessarily
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