Jieng Council of Elders to the Latest IGAD Proposal on Power Sharing
The proposal clearly lacks any sound basis, devoid of any coherent logic
and does nothing more than to fragment the society and threatens to further
aggravate an already fractured social fabric.
 09 July 2015

REPUBLIC OF SOUTH SUDAN
JIENG COUNCIL OF ELDERS - JUBA

Monday July 6th, 2015

Response of the Jieng Council of Elders to the Latest IGAD Proposal on
Power Sharing

Since the outbreak of the on-going costly war in South Sudan in
mid-December 2013, between the government and the armed rebellion, the
regional bloc, Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) with
support from the international community has been exerting efforts that
aimed at ending the conflict. The Jieng Council of Elders (JCE), as a body
that is genuinely interested in the attainment of a sustainable peace in
South Sudan, though the dream of attaining a durable peace in South Sudan
remains sadly elusive, applauds IGAD, the region, and the international
community for their efforts to help the warring parties to address their
differences through a negotiated political settlement. There are a number
of factors for this situation which include the existence of a wide gap
between the two parties to the conflict; IGAD’s own internal contradictions
and lack of better understanding when it comes to the nature of the
conflict; poorly designed mediation agenda and competing interests on the
part of those supporting IGAD.

In its latest attempt to push for a peace agreement, IGAD released a
document entitled “Key Provisions and Justification for the Agreement on
the Resolution of the Conflict in the Republic of South Sudan” to the
representatives of the warring parties, distributed recently in Addis Ababa
during a consultative meeting with an expressed aim of resuming the
currently stalled peace talks.

The JCE is responding to this latest IGAD document to evaluate the
viability of the proposal in terms of its potential to end the war in this
country. To this end, JCE will highlight certain areas that are
problematic, thus presenting a serious challenge to the attainment of peace
and stability. The areas that have some serious concern include power
sharing ratios; expansion of the National Legislature; arrangements for
states most affected by the conflict; demilitarization of the national
capital; establishment of the Hybrid Court for South Sudan (HCSS); and
powers of Joint Monitoring and Evaluation Commission (JMEC).

On power sharing formula, the IGAD proposal gives the SPLM/A – IO 33% share
of the executive at the national level, second largest position in the
national legislature, and control of the three states of Jonglei, Upper
Nile, and Unity by 53%, followed by the government with 33% and the
remaining 14% for the former detainees and other political parties
combined. The first issue with this proposition is the basis upon which
such power ratios were arrived at.

What is the justification for giving the opposition 53% in the war affected
states? Does this suggest that the mediation had assumed that Nuer
community in opposition, which almost constitutes all of the rebellion, is
the majority in the three states? If this is the case, has IGAD mediation
accepted the narrative that the war is between the Jieng and the Nuer? If
the decision is predicated on this, has the mediation taken due diligence
to establish the exact ethnic ratios in the three states to form the basis
of how power ratios were calculated?

Moreover, if power is being shared on the basis of ethnic ratios, how could
the Nuer in opposition get 33% of the state power when the whole ethnic
group constitutes no more than 15% of the total population of South Sudan?
This is perhaps also assuming that the whole Nuer community has joined the
rebellion. It has not. Of course, the truth is that the conflict is not
between the Jieng and Nuer but rather between the government and those who
rebelled against the state. The reality of this war is that it is a
political one. Besides, the opposition does not control the said states. It
controls only a fifth of the whole area in the Greater Upper Nile region.

The proposal clearly lacks any sound basis, devoid of any coherent logic
and does nothing more than to fragment the society and threatens to further
aggravate an already fractured social fabric. The people object to any
power sharing ratios being extended to the states because states are
diverse and there are many other considerations that go into the decision
to form government at the state level that do not necessarily fall into the
power ratios.

Regarding the need for the SPLM-IO to be the second largest group after the
government in the National Legislative Assembly (NLA), the IGAD proposal
seeks to expand to 400 members. It is appropriate to note that no rationale
is given for expanding the NLA. JCE is of the opinion that the expansion of
the legislature is unjustifiable given that it was an elected legislature
and expanding it to accommodate members of the opposition would be unfair
to the constituencies that do not have members in the opposition.

The expansion of the legislature would not only be unfair, but it could
create over representation of one community in the government, a situation
that is likely to provoke others to embrace use of violence to get
represented. This is a clear case of rewarding abnormality and rebellious
tendencies. If there are important members of the rebellion who need to be
accommodated in the government, they should go to the executive at the
national level.

The same proposal prescribed the demilitarization of the national capital.
The public fails to see any reasoning for the demilitarization of the
national capital. Juba, the capital city is the sovereign seat of the
government and it must remain fully under the control of the national
government including its army, police and other organized forces. It
surprises everyone to see such proposal from IGAD. There is no precedence
for this and so the people reject any attempt to render their national
capital devoid of the national army. This is essentially none starter and
it deserves an outright rejection from all the people of South Sudan. It is
not the presence of troops in the national capital that creates political
crises; it is the tendency of politicians to use force to resolve political
matters that should be tamed.

Concerning justice and accountability, the proposal makes emphasis on the
need to establish a hybrid court, whose mandate would be to try suspected
cases of genocide, war crimes and crimes against humanity under
International Law. This court, which according to the proposal should be
established through a MOU between the Transitional Government of National
Unity (TGoNU), African Union and the United Nations will see its staff and
judges jointly appointed by the Chairperson of AU and UN General Secretary.

Perhaps this institution is proposed under the assumption that South
Sudan’s legal institutions do not have the capacity or the will to carry
out justice in the country. Unfortunately, there is a lot of evidence to
suggest that such arrangement under the international system neither brings
justice to the victims nor reconciliation in the war-affected communities.

Given this reality, JCE is of the opinion that the people of South Sudan
are capable and have the experience to deal with justice and accountability
matters within their customary systems as well as statutory mechanisms. By
doing this, the process of healing, reconciliation and justice will be
expeditious. An international court such as the one proposed may not enjoy
the cooperation of the state and the citizens and therefore would delay
justice and it is most likely to delay the achievement of peace and
reconciliation in the country. Furthermore, the proposal talks about the
court having jurisdiction in respect to matters of genocide and other
crimes committed since December 2013. Since when has IGAD determined
genocide as having been committed in South Sudan? This is telling enough in
a sense that there is a serious degree of prejudice and bias towards South
Sudan and this is sufficient to warrant our objection to the creation of
such an international body.

While the people see the importance of having a body that can monitor and
evaluate the progress in terms of the implementation of the peace
agreement, JCE is simply stunned by the proposed powers of the Joint
Monitoring and Evaluation Commission (JMEC). According to IGAD, JMEC will
be tasked with overseeing the implementation of the agreement, a mandate
that essentially guarantees this body “the power to take corrective action
in the event of non-compliance with the terms of the agreement”. Moreover,
the proposal intends to make JMEC more than just a body that is entrusted
to monitor and evaluate the performance and progress with respect to the
peace agreement but rather a powerful governance institution that “shall
oversee institutions created or operating during the Transition”. To ensure
that JMEC fulfills its mandate, “all transitional institutions” are
expected to regularly report to it.

This is a situation similar to the transitional authority in Iraq that was
headed by foreign powers and so if it is allowed, it will set a new
precedent for the rest of Africa. The proposed powers of JMEC simply
infringe on the sovereignty of the Republic of South Sudan and therefore,
the JCE cannot support the creation of such a body with sweeping powers.
The people may support such a body in as far as it can monitor and verify
violations and refer its findings to the principals of the parties to the
agreement for resolution.

In conclusion, JCE want to reiterate its support to all efforts leading to
the attainment of peace in our country, particularly IGAD mediation efforts
as well as the efforts of the Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM) and the African
National Congress (ANC) in Arusha attempting to reunify the ruling party.

JCE is deeply concerned however, that the IGAD mediation efforts are
becoming less and less credible with proposals such as this and it is hoped
the mediators take serious corrective actions to restore the integrity and
credibility of the process. It is indeed regrettable that the IGAD
mediators have fallen short to comprehend the complexity of the crisis;
otherwise proposals such as the power sharing ratios would not have
surfaced. This proposal supports speedy fragmentation and dismemberment of
this country and people of South Sudan strongly oppose anything that
culminates in the disintegration of the people and the country.

The peace process should be anchored on the urgent desire to reconcile and
reunite the country, so critical decisions about the future of the country
should not be dependent on the fierce compulsion for political expediency.
What this country needs is a deliberative process that preserves its unity,
promotes sustainable peace and provides equitable political dispensation.
The latest IGAD power-sharing proposal fails to live up to these
aspirations, prompting outright rejection.


Signed by Jieng Council of Elders (JCE) Representatives:

Justice Ambrose Riny Thiik
Joshua Dau Diu
Charles Majak Aleer
Maker Thiong
Daniel Dhieu Matuet
Aldo Ajou Deng
Parmena Awerial Aluong

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