---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: John Ashworth <[email protected]>
Date: Wed, Jul 13, 2016 at 7:24 AM
Subject: [sudans-john-ashworth] Three points to help understand South
Sudan’s crisis
To: Group <[email protected]>


Three important points to help in understanding South Sudan’s worsening
crisis

By Mark Fathi Massoud
Washington Post  July 12 at 9:00 AM

As South Sudan, the world’s newest country, marks the fifth
anniversary of its independence, it faces a deteriorating and urgent
humanitarian crisis that is spilling into neighboring Sudan. Reports
indicate that hundreds were killed in recent clashes in Juba, the
capital, and dozens of bodies were found on the streets of Wau as
people fled the northwestern town in search of safety. Even United
Nations protection zones have become sites of untold violence. The
crisis may soon reach catastrophic levels as rival leaders announced
their renewal of the civil war.

South Sudan canceled its July 9 Independence Day celebration because
of a lack of funds, but the impending humanitarian emergency is bigger
than any lost ceremony. Despite multiple cease-fires since South
Sudan’s civil war began in 2013, tens of thousands have been killed,
and millions more have been displaced. The daily threat of violence,
including against aid workers, is rising.

My research in the region reveals three key trends about South Sudan’s
past that help make sense of the current crisis.

1) A long history of war-related human displacement

Migration from South Sudan is reaching a breaking point. Aid agencies
in the region are struggling to help those displaced by violence along
the oil-rich border between South Sudan and Sudan as well as
throughout western Sudan. These organizations are now overwhelmed by
750,000 new refugees fleeing South Sudan. Many of these refugees
arereturning to Sudan, a country in which South Sudanese people have
felt so unwelcome that they voted by a 99 percent margin to secede
from it in 2011.

Conflict-related displacement from South Sudan is nothing new. Waves
of displacement occurred from the 1950s to 1960s and again from the
1980s to 2000s, during Sudan’s first and second civil wars. Before
South Sudan’s secession, Sudan had the largest number of internally
displaced persons in the world. Desert tents meant to provide
temporary shelter are now re-emerging as lasting fixtures on the
Saharan landscape.

2) The importance of religious activism for social change

Religious activism, once used as a rationale to perpetrate violence,
can help political leaders in South Sudan make a lasting choice for
peace. During the first half of the 20th century, British colonial
officials favored northern Sudanese elites in Khartoum, Sudan’s
capital, leaving South Sudan to Christian missionaries. But
church-related aid groups would later become the lifeline for
survivors trapped in war-torn regions after Sudan’s 1956 independence.

Church-affiliated activists also monitored human rights abuses during
the civil war that ended in 2005. They clandestinely sent reports
overseas to aid groups and the United Nations — often putting
themselves at risk of government harassment or detention. As one
pastor in Juba told me shortly before South Sudan’s secession, “During
the difficult time of war, the church never stopped talking about
injustice.”

Today, religious groups in South Sudan continue the struggle to
maintain peace among citizens facing the trauma of a repeatedly
renewed civil war. As government officials and rival militias resume
hostilities, religious leaders advocate for the citizens, delivering
public sermons against growing rates of crime and violence, which
disproportionately affect the poor.

3) The nascent power of civic groups

My research with civil society organizations in South Sudan reveals
that they are working to build the country’s democratic health and
rule of law. Even before its secession, South Sudan benefited from
multiethnic nonviolent activism by women’s organizations, youth
groups, lawyers, doctors, journalists and other professionals. These
movements first coalesced in 1964, and in 1985, when their protests
took over the streets of Khartoum, successfully replacing military
regimes with democratic governments.

In the past decade, hundreds of local and international civic groups
have emerged in South Sudan. Today, their efforts to rebuild from the
previous war are hampered by nationwide violence and citywide
lockdowns. New state universities in the region may also become
important sites for youth activists to garner citizen support. After
recent student demonstrations in Sudan were met with state violence,
nationwide counterprotests ensued to defend the students.

Despite the torrents of hostility unleashed against them, the people
of South Sudan share a legacy of struggle and survival. If the
region’s history repeats itself, as it has in past iterations of war,
the next cycle of violence and rebuilding will involve much needed
humanitarian assistance to millions of war-displaced families, as
religious and civic groups work to pick up the pieces.

Mark Fathi Massoud is associate professor of politics and legal
studies at the University of California, Santa Cruz, and author of
“Law’s Fragile State: Colonial, Authoritarian, and Humanitarian
Legacies in Sudan” (Cambridge University Press)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/07/12/three-important-points-to-help-in-understanding-south-sudans-worsening-crisis/

END
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John Ashworth

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