Has the International Community correctly calculated South Sudan’s
situation in the post-Kiir era? Posted: September 16, 2016 by *PaanLuel Wël*
in Ariik Atekdit <https://paanluelwel.com/category/ariik-atekdit/>,
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*By Ariik Atekdit Mawien, Juba, South Sudan*
[image: Garang and Kiir]

John Garang, Kerubino Kuanyin and Salva Kiir, with Aguer Manyok Aguer Deng
(the young man) during the war of liberation

*September 16, 2016 (SSB) —* Most of the times when South Sudanese write
against the intended invasion of their nation in the name of UN civilians’
protection force, they seem to be wrongly perceived as sightless supporters
of the governing regime. And for that reason their ideas are ignored and
never attended to by the so-called regional leaders and world superpowers
while trying to quickly impose the coming of the 4000 UN troops into the
country as if that would mark the end of the country’s problems.

The Africa Union (AU) as a continental political organization seems not to
care about the pains and complaints felt and faced by some parts of its
body. The African leaders mutely watch down the state of affairs in South
Sudan as a lonely case and a prospect to create jobs and a forum to teach
themselves participate in foreign and regional politics.

Biologically, the whole body is a one great system. I cannot for instance
give up my finger or a toe to be eaten up by a stranger just because I know
and guarantee that my neck is safe. For even a pain at the finger/toe
cannot give an eye a chance to close and sleep and that will make the whole
body remain unrest. I just don’t know what is wrong with the AU in the case
of South Sudan?

Some presidents of the neighbouring African countries want to please the
West in South Sudan’s political case in order to continue to rule their
governments undisturbed by their Western allies and so they become more
brothers to the people overseas in order to access western foreign aids and
success of their next elections.

However, the coming of 4000 Strong forces into South Sudan with the
open-ended mandate to use any necessary means against South Sudan is more
than what the said-leaders assume and analyze on South Sudan and the
region. If these 4000 UN troops are stationed in South Sudan, they will be
surely used to overthrow various and several ruling regimes in Eastern
Africa including the Ethiopia, Sudan, Uganda and other governments that may
arise to oppose western policies in the near future.

Again the heavy and permanent presence of a strong UN forces is going to
give the West an upper hand in the region especially when Central African
Republic and DRC have the United Nations Peacekeeping missions including
the one in Darfur and now South Sudan. These heavy UN missions in Africa
are not meant to bring peace but to cause uproar and chaos in order to
weaken Africa as a continent.

First of all, the region and the west must understand that their abhorrence
and strong and quick pin-down on President Kiir does not amount to the
total sell out of the future of South Sudan and its people. The nation’s
sovereignty and future cannot be tied together with the double interest of
Kiir’s downfall and intently calculated regime change. What sense does it
make to bring us UN troops to kill South Sudanese and change the regime and
live the nation in mess?

Today we are seeing UK Parliament blaming their then Prime Minister David
Cameron for the invasion of Libya which he (Cameron) supervised in 2011.
The World Leaders and the said international community now wrap themselves
up shying down on what they had erroneously planned and miscalculated 5
years ago in Libya.

Why would the United States and UK always dare to destroy nations and
remain unquestioned? Iraq is now in chaos under their responsibility, Libya
faces the same scenario while Syria struggles fighting against Islamic
militants, who were organized, formed, funded and nursed by United States
of America to make a regime change in Syria. Again now in the far
eastern-central Africa, South Sudan becomes a new target. Why again here
when a similar methodology has failed in Libya and Iraq?

Assume that 4000 UN troops are brought into South Sudan with the intention
of removing the regime. What best alternative does the west have in hand
for South Sudan? Who should be the next man to rule South Sudan and indeed
to make it stable? Which political party now can claim to have embodied the
interest of all South Sudanese into their visions and missions to rule
without being faced by rebellions? I thought these South Sudanese
politicians must be convinced to come together and make a consensus and
plan to peacefully put together a country of their desire in the heart of
Africa without foreign intervention forces. The coming of these troops is
indeed a scratching of the aching wounds in the hearts of South Sudanese.

Peace is only possible if we can develop manpower that is with possible
extensive education program and provision of health services and physical
infrastructures so that we can engage the population and teach them the
meaning of peace. Any friend of South Sudan should stop providing rebels
with funds as well as blocking government officials from opening accounts
in foreign banks.

The downfall and the unlawful killing of Maumur Gadaffi was celebrated with
empty-handed by the western leaders today they are guilty for having done
that without properly studying the real situations on the ground. Now they
blame their miscalculations and mistaken presentation of the agenda.

If the same is repeating itself in South Sudan, then why shall the world
always allow itself to be maneuvered by people that have no good political
methodologies that can keep us in peace and make us a beautiful world
altogether? Something must be wrong with the political science of the
western world and their policy on Africa and Asia. It is not any correct to
waste time and resources carrying out procedures of regime change that
always result into the regional regrets.

My small judgment about South Sudan after Kiir is a total mess and an
uncontrollable situation but not because there can be no any good President
after Kiir. However, the reality will be if South Sudanese have not today
accepted to work together and peacefully with President Kiir’s regime why
do you think that they will cooperate with the upcoming president imposed
by UN?

I am seeing that Kiir’s successor will not be like Garang’s successor.
Garang’s successor was lucky to have been Kiir and this is what the world
must correctly understand. Today we have the economic crisis in the country
ruled by President Kiir and a rebellion that badly struggles to overthrow
the regime and fail. What shall we assume to occur if President Kiir is
humiliated, beleaguered and angrily sent out of office with his supporters?
It may result into a situation we cannot control and may be more expensive
to correct if the world dares to just like it today in Libya.

Most of the time the international community becomes eager of interference
and fails to address the aftermaths that come as a result of their
interferences in foreign politics. Sometimes the US miscalculates the world
affairs when they take for granted that some countries in the world must be
treated like they are states within the Republic of United States but they
are misreading the democracy they claimed to have invented.

The US has got used to abusing or attacking the sovereignties and
constitutions of other countries without respecting governments and people
that elect those governments. They think that always American case must
count more than anybody cases in the world but that is altogether not
correct. Indeed if the recent policy of US on South Sudan is to overthrow
the regime and remove President Kiir from office, they must sit down for
homework that should create a new Libya in what is South Sudan of today.

*You can reach the author via his email: Atekdit Mawien
<ariqdu...@gmail.com <http://gmail.com>>*

*The opinion expressed here is solely the view of the writer. The veracity
of any claim made are the responsibility of the author, not PaanLuel Wël:
South Sudanese Bloggers (SSB) website. If you want to submit an opinion
article or news analysis, please email it to paanluel2...@gmail.com
<http://gmail.com>. SSB do reserve the right to edit material before
publication. Please include your full name, email address and the country
you are writing.*

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