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From: "IRIN" <[email protected]>
Date: 7 Feb 2017 09:03
Subject: Closure of conflict camps tests CAR reconciliation ...
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Today's humanitarian news and analysis

*Online version
<http://us12.campaign-archive1.com/?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=351c873ce5&e=399c7ee738>*
Closure of conflict camps tests CAR reconciliation
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=e78ad7b31d&e=399c7ee738>



Etienne Guinot picks up a blue plastic bag, pulls out a dead snake, and
holds it up in the air. “If it bites, it will kill you,” he warns, rubbing
its rough, spotted skin between his fingers.

In Fondo, a Bangui neighbourhood, the snakes are everywhere these days:
hanging in the trees, crawling in the grass, and hiding in large piles of
dust and rubble where people’s homes once stood.

They began to arrive shortly after Guinot and his neighbours were forced to
flee the Central African Republic capital on 5 December 2013. On that day,
large-scale killings of Christians and Muslims were under way. Those
communities are now returning to their abandoned homes with trepidation.

The slaughter was carried out by the Séléka – a predominantly Muslim
coalition of rebel groups that took control of the country nine months
earlier in a coup – and the rival anti-balaka, a loose network of largely
Christian self-defence militias that emerged in response.

Along with his family, Guinot, a Christian, sought refuge at Bangui M’Poko
airport, where he lived for four years under the protection of French
soldiers and the United Nations.

The camp, which catered for more than 100,000 people at its peak, became
the defining image of the CAR crisis, with internally displaced people
(IDPs) living in squalor beside the runway of an international airport.

Since December last year, the government has been in the process of closing
it. While few IDPs interviewed by IRIN say they will miss living in M’Poko,
the decision has left thousands of vulnerable people unsure where to go and
what to do.

Like Guinot, many of M’Poko’s residents are Christians who used to live in
and around Bangui’s third district, which also contains the city’s last
remaining Muslim neighbourhood, PK5.

See also: Rebuilding peace in Central African Republic
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=569e4d83fb&e=399c7ee738>
mpoko_2.jpg
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=132d9ce835&e=399c7ee738>
Philip
Kleinfeld <http:///authors/philip-kleinfeld> Feature <http:///feature> Aid
and Policy <http:///aid-and-policy> Migration <http:///migration> Conflict
<http:///conflict> BANGUI <http:///publication-location/bangui> IRIN
<http:///byline/irin> Africa <http:///africa> East Africa
<http:///africa/east-africa> Central African Republic
<http:///africa/east-africa/central-african-republic>
Riches to rags [image: Etienne Guinot rerurns to his old neighborhood]

When violence swept through Bangui in 2013, displaced Muslims moved into
PK5, and the majority of Christians left. In subsequent weeks, fighters
from the Séléka set about destroying thousands of Christian homes in the
surrounding area using grenades, steel poles, and their own feet.

Before the conflict, Guinot owned three homes: one for his daughter, one
for his son, and one for himself. In 2013, all of them were destroyed.

Since he returned on 29 January, his family has lived together in an
abandoned house next door, with no roof, no windows, and no front door. At
night, four share a foam mattress with chunks missing in a 2x2 meter room
covered by a UNHCR (UN refugee agency) tarpaulin: the rest sleep outside.

“It’s very difficult,” says Guinot. “We have no house and no food to eat.
My grandson, my children: we can’t support them.”

"We think the security situation has improved and we want people to go home"

Compared to CAR’s provinces, which are largely controlled by armed groups,
some semblance of normality has returned to Bangui over the past year.
Elections in February 2016 passed off peacefully and a large UN
peacekeeping force – the United Nations Multidimensional
Integrated Stabilization Mission in the Central African Republic (MINUSCA)
– remains in place.

“After the election, we think the security situation has improved and we
want people to go home and do their best to bring stability and peace,”
says Juliana Yodiam, head of humanitarian action at CAR’s Ministry for
Social Affairs.

But Muslim and Christian communities have not lived together in significant
numbers in Bangui since the conflict began, and nobody seems to know
whether they are ready to now.

Since 2014, Arsene Djamba Gassy has been working on social cohesion
projects in the third district with the English NGO Conciliation Resources
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=224f0a51cc&e=399c7ee738>.
He says people are generally “tired of violence” and have no “fundamental
problems” with each other, but argues that previous approaches to social
cohesion failed to tackle underlying grievances by focusing on pre-packaged
solutions over community-lead projects.

“For example, one activity would be bringing young Christians and Muslims
together for a football match,” says Gassy. “After that, everyone would go
home. For a father that has lost his son, has he got a solution through
this football match? This is what was done for the past two years.”

While leaders of various Séléka factions left PK5 for the bush in August
last year, citing frustration with the country’s programme for disarmament,
demobilisation and reintegration (DDR), armed “self-defence” groups remain
active in the area.

“They are less organised,” says François Hericher, deputy country director
for French NGO ACTED
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=3c6f812492&e=399c7ee738>,
but “more prone to criminality”.
Who’s in control? [image: Matar Anemeri AKA "Force"]

Down a dusty side street in PK5, Matar Anemeri, alias “Force”, sits around
a table in camouflage fatigues with a pistol tied to a thick red rope
around his neck.

His eyes are bloodshot and his voice is deep and gruff. The 36-year-old,
who was once a member of the Central African Armed Forces (FACA), became a
rebel in 2003 when former president François Bozizé took power in a coup.
Later, he joined the Séléka, and today he leads a self-defence group based
in the south and southwestern part of PK5.

Despite drinking heavily, Anemeri says he wants peace and access to the
government’s DDR programme.

To prove his point, he has invited Judicael Moganazou, a former fighter and
current spokesperson of Maxim Mokom, a leading member of the anti-balaka,
to the table for a joint interview. Previously, that would have been an
unthinkable gesture in a country where ex-Séléka factions and anti-balaka
groups continue to clash on an almost daily basis.

Asked about the communities returning home, Anemeri says he sends out
patrol cars at night to protect “Christians against bad people among us”,
something Moganazou nods along to enthusiastically. Shakedowns by armed men
on Muslim traders in PK5 don’t bode well, however. And, in a moment of
humility, Anemeri admits he cannot control the 500 armed men he says work
for him (a recent report
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage1.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=df015b6159&e=399c7ee738>
by the UN Panel of Experts monitoring CAR indicates that number is far
less).

Anemeri admits he cannot control the 500 armed men he says work for him.

“It doesn’t matter if you have 500 people under you or 1,000 people,” he
says. “If you don’t have money to pay them, how can you control them? If
they feel hungry, you don’t know what they can do.”

Fear of PK5’s armed groups grips many returnees interviewed by IRIN. After
three years living in M’Poko, Benedithe Ngoimon, also from Fondo, says she
is nervous about being home. Having a house built with rusty, corrugated
metal and a worn-out plastic sheet certainly doesn’t help.


“Yesterday night, I heard a gunshot nearby,” she says. “I thought that
maybe we will have to return to the camp.”



See also: Can $2.2 billion buy peace and prosperity in Central African
Republic?
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=092e75377e&e=399c7ee738>




Back to scarcity [image: A family from Boeing pack up their belongings and
prepare to leave M'Poko]

Before IDPs left M’Poko, NGOs said they wanted to see significant
investment in the neighbourhoods of return. The population of PK5, for
example, had already grown significantly during the crisis with the arrival
of displaced Muslims from elsewhere.

With new communities now returning in a context of material scarcity –
there are huge gaps in water provision, waste treatment, healthcare, and
education – some say conditions for conflict are already present.

“The government [is] making sure people leave the site but [it has] no
strategy for what happens next,” says one NGO worker, who asks not to be
named but has been involved in months of negotiations with the government
over M’Poko. “If there is no increase in social services, it could create
tensions within the population.”


How many IDPs actually return to the third district given this situation
remains to be seen. According to Sahdia Khan, emergency coordinator at
the International
Organization for Migration
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=a2efa8dce2&e=399c7ee738>,
experience suggests many will go elsewhere.

“A lot of people had left [M’Poko] before, but they return to areas that
are safe,” she says.

The number of IDPs returning on this occasion is far larger, with 15 of 30
other IDP camps in the capital also having closed. Even if many pick other
sites in Bangui, Khan accepts “this is a new situation”.
Nothing is constant [image: Melanie Ouagram stands outside her destroyed
home in Fondo]

To help IDPs leave M’Poko, the government has given individuals and
families between 80 and 160 euros. But administrative problems, including
officials writing names down incorrectly, had prevented dozens of IDPs
interviewed by IRIN from receiving anything.

Those that did get their money also say it is too little. Guinot’s
neighbour, 48-year-old Melanie Ouagram, returned to Fondo on 26 January
with 80 euros in her pocket. A week later, she has nothing. The money has
all gone on paying off debts and buying bricks and food.

With no husband to help bring in money – he was shot and killed by
ex-Séléka fighters on 5 December – Ouagram can only afford school fees for
two of her six children.

“If someone gives you only this money, it means you have been abandoned,”
she says.

Help is on hand from some NGOs. To date, ACTED has helped reconstruct 1,300
homes through a system that allows IDPs to buy materials worth around $200
and build for themselves.

“The objective of the project is to give IDPs autonomy so that when they
come back, their house hasn’t been built by an NGO,” says Hericher, while
taking IRIN on a tour of Boeing, a neighbourhood just outside the third
district.

“We give them [training], tools, and explain how the house is built, so
that when we leave they will be able to continue building.”

But Bangui remains a fragile place, Hericher admits. In 2015, ACTED helped
reconstruct almost 900 houses for displaced people. When violence erupted
again that September following the murder of a 17-year-old Muslim taxi
driver, all 900 were destroyed.

“It’s a good reminder,” underlines Hericher, pointing towards an entire
neighbourhood of gutted buildings in the distance. “Everything can change
from one day to the next”.

pk/oa/ag

More on Central African Republic
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=65ffb2a04a&e=399c7ee738>


*Read on
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=5907ddb038&e=399c7ee738>*

------------------------------
How much worse are African droughts because of man-made climate change?
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage2.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=e0a3f24e2d&e=399c7ee738>



The once-fertile fields of South Africa’s Western Cape region are filled
with scorched patches of earth, dying plants, and wasted crops.

The scene is now common throughout eastern and southern Africa, as droughts
for three consecutive years have decimated crops and caused widespread
hunger. New research indicates that it is partly due to climate change
driven by human action, which has worsened the El Niño weather phenomenon.

“This is about as bad as it has ever been,” said Chris Harvey, as he walked
to his farm´s irrigation dam, where the water level has fallen six metres
in 10 months.

“We might not be able to grow any vegetables next year,” his wife Sue added.

Dams in the area are drying out, symptomatic of the continent´s battle with
years of poor rainfall. The droughts in eastern and southern Africa
beginning in 2015 have affected tens of millions of people. The latest
numbers
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=2bd1680d7d&e=399c7ee738>
from the UN suggest that 24 million people are facing food insecurity in
eastern Africa alone, not counting millions of people in the southern
region.

According to a new study published by the American Meteorological Society,
such conditions will become increasingly normal as climate change takes its
toll.

“We are advising governments to expect yearly disasters, droughts, floods,
and also now diseases,” David Phiri, the UN´s food and agriculture
coordinator in Southern Africa, told IRIN.
*No surprise*

In South Africa, dams are down to 37 percent capacity, according to the
government
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=38758ae975&e=399c7ee738>.
Farmers say that actually means 27 percent in practical terms.

“The last 10 percent are unusable,” said Harvey. “It´s been lying too long
on the bottom.”

Researchers associated with the United States Geological Survey found that
man-made climate change contributed to the 2015/2016 droughts  and most
likely to the reduced “short rains”, a second rainy season that usually
occurs at this time of year in southern Africa.

SEE: El Niño in Africa in 2016
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=c338b2443c&e=399c7ee738>

Their research, published in the American Meteorological Society’s December
bulletin
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage2.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=7c4d746d4c&e=399c7ee738>,
explains how man-made climate change worsened El Niño.

The phenomenon occurs naturally every several years as a patch of warm
water appears in the Pacific Ocean, which can lead to weather fluctuations
including unseasonably dry periods. It is often followed by La Niña, which
is associated with below average ocean temperatures and can lead to weather
impacts that are opposite to El Niño.

Lead researcher Chris Funk, a professor at University of Santa Barbara,
described in an interview how the oceans warm due to climate change, and
very warm surface temperatures develop in pockets of the sea. These warm
patches often increase the impact of natural climate variations that
accompany El Niño, which can intensify droughts in food insecure areas.

For Africa, increases of about 0.9 degrees in both sea temperatures in the
eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean and air temperatures in eastern and
southern Africa have meant reduced rainfall.

“Our research shows that man-made climate change is making the impacts of
both El Niño and La Niña climate variations stronger in Africa – meaning
what we´ve seen in the last 18 months,” said Funk.

Although climate change alone did not cause the drought, it certainly made
it stronger, according to Funk.

The study has yet to be reviewed by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change, which is the leading expert body on climate change and does
not comment on research until it is reviewed.

Richard Washington, a climate science professor at Oxford University, said
he agreed with the findings overall, although he cautioned that they were
based on “linear” research. “One limitation is for example: how does the
Indian Ocean influence climate El Niño?”

[image: Chris Harvey says the river came up to the top of the stick only 10
months ago]
Peter Lykke Lind/IRIN
Chris Harvey says the river came up to the top of the stick only 10 months
ago. His irrigation dam now sits six metres below normal level.
*Worst drought in decades*

The UN has labelled
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=021e43b609&e=399c7ee738>
it “the worst drought in 35 years” in southern Africa. . Almost 580,000
children are in need of treatment for severe acute malnutrition, and more
than three million children have reduced access to safe drinking water.

“We estimate that more than 40 million people will be affected by food
insecurity until March,” said Phiri, the UN food and agriculture
coordinator. “Crops from last year are gone, and no new crops are ready.”

The UN is targeting
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=e01cec0d64&e=399c7ee738>
13.8 million people in southern Africa alone for humanitarian assistance
during the peak of the lean season, which lasts until April. The worst-hit
countries – Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Swaziland, Zambia and
Zimbabwe – are being specifically targeted
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage1.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=5bf2540848&e=399c7ee738>
by the World Food Programme.

David Orr, a spokesman for the WFP in southern Africa, sees positive
short-term signs, as rainfalls have started again. But he still expects
more frequent and more intense extreme weather events in the near future.
Those include “drought and flooding as a result of upsets in the global
weather system”, he said.

“If extended weather events of this kind, covering several cropping
seasons, become more frequent, they’ll have devastating consequences for
millions of poor and vulnerable people,” said Orr.

The situation on Harvey’s farm indicates the extent of the crisis.

“We have got 10 weeks, then we run out of water,” said Harvey. “Hopefully
it will rain in at Easter, but if it does not, then we have a serious
problem. There will not be enough water for the crops.”

As he walked up the dry bank of his shrinking dam, looking hopefully at the
cloudless sky, he emphasised how this not only concerns the individual
farmer: “What is on the line here, are thousands and thousands of jobs. It
is a lot of people´s livelihoods we are talking about here, not just a few
people and their crops.”

pl/jf/ag

*(TOP PHOTO: Fields in the Western Cape region are parched. CREDIT: Peter
Lind/IRIN)*
field_western_cape_5.jpg
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage1.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=f2b8bf7bd8&e=399c7ee738>
Analysis <http:///analysis> Environment and Disasters
<http:///environment-and-disasters> Climate change
<http:///environment-and-disasters/climate-change> Food <http:///food> New
study points the finger at “anthropogenic warming" Peter Lind
<http:///authors/peter-lind> IRIN <http:///byline/irin> CAPE TOWN
<http:///publication-location/cape-town> Africa <http:///africa> Southern
Africa <http:///afrique/southern-africa> South Africa
<http:///africa/southern-africa/south-africa>

*Read on
<http://irinnews.us12.list-manage1.com/track/click?u=31c0c755a8105c17c23d89842&id=834aa5c429&e=399c7ee738>*

------------------------------
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