---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: "Small Arms Survey" <[email protected]> Date: 27 Apr 2017 18:46 Subject: New SANA Briefing Paper: Southern Libya Destabilized, The Case of Ubari To: "Jean-Francois" <[email protected]> Cc:
*New SANA Briefing Paper Southern Libya Destabilized: The Case of Ubari* View this email in your browser <http://mailchi.mp/smallarmssurvey/new-briefing-paper-measuring-illicit-arms-flows-in-ukraine-847765?e=b3e6d4db9c> <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=075f9588be&e=b3e6d4db9c> New SANA Briefing Paper Southern Libya Destabilized: The Case of Ubari Ubari, an oasis town in southern Libya’s Fezzan region, is home to members of both the Tuareg and Tubu tribes. These two tribes dominate this corner of Libya and contiguous desert regions in neighbouring countries. For over a century, relations between these tribes were peaceful, governed by an 1893 treaty known as the ‘Midi Midi’. The 2011 revolution in Libya did more than simply bring down the Qaddafi regime; it also brought down the intricately structured relationships of patronage and power that had kept the region firmly under central government control. By the fall of 2014, the conflicts that had raged across Libya since 2011 came to Ubari as well, shattering the old peace kept by the Midi Midi treaty. A new Briefing Paper from the Security Assessment North Africa (SANA) project of the Small Arms Survey explores the Ubari conflict. Written by researcher Rebecca Murray, the Paper follows the events, context, and outcomes of the 2014–2016 Ubari conflict and examines lingering threats to the stability of south-western Libya, and to the wider Sahel region. It notes that this conflict revolved around economic assets and identity rights at the local level. But—like many conflicts in Libya—the country’s rival national governments and associated international powers increasingly meddled in the fighting, causing the conflict to be viewed as a proxy war. The peace that was eventually brokered to end the Ubari conflict is a fragile one. The town, its people, and its economy all remain heavily affected. The Briefing Paper concludes that, if the status quo persists, then the likelihood of renewed conflict is strong. Given the strong transnational family and tribal ties among both the Tuareg and the Tubu throughout the Sahel, the next conflict could easily spill beyond Ubari’s local confines and into the wider region. The Briefing Paper’s key findings include: - Outside interference played a significant role in prolonging the conflict in Ubari. Regional and international meddling exacerbated fault lines in the south, while locals aligned themselves with national-level factions and competing governments to receive arms, logistics, and political support. - Unresolved issues regarding the citizenship status of the indigenous Tuareg and Tubu in southern Libya limit their employment options and curtail their freedom of movement. As a result, members of these communities are not only more likely to engage in the trafficking of migrants and contraband, but are also more vulnerable to recruitment as paid fighters by Libya’s warring parties and extremists. - The main threats to a lasting peace in Ubari and its surroundings are the absence of a unified Libyan government and neutral security institutions; ongoing battles for national and local power and territory; and a lack of investment in infrastructure, service delivery, and the local economy. - Should the peace agreement in Ubari collapse, repercussions are likely to be felt at the regional level. Local communities could remobilize cross-border kin as they did during the recent conflict, destabilizing neighbouring countries; at the same time, the security void could allow traffickers and extremist armed groups to thrive. ------------------------------ - Download Southern Libya Destabilized: the Case of Ubari <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=310f33957b&e=b3e6d4db9c>by Rebecca Murray. - For more about the SANA project, visit our webpage <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=c1305e4da8&e=b3e6d4db9c> . - For more on security dynamics in Libya, see Politics by Other Means: Conflicting Interests in Libya's Security Sector <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=7bd4755ce1&e=b3e6d4db9c>, by Wolfram Lacher and Peter Cole. - For more on the Fezzan region, see Libya’s Fractious South and Regional Instability <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage2.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=429a915f18&e=b3e6d4db9c>, by Wolfram Lacher. - Also look for the upcoming Working Paper 26, 'Web Trafficking: Analysing the Online Trade of Small Arms and Light Weapons in Libya' which explores arms sales over social media in Libya. The paper will be released on 2 May. - *Have your say* about Small Arms Survey publications and products: take 5 minutes to fill out our questionnaire <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=d015320779&e=b3e6d4db9c> <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=f961134444&e=b3e6d4db9c> Share <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=f24cd80199&e=b3e6d4db9c> <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage1.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=04d23530e8&e=b3e6d4db9c> Tweet <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage2.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=e088e49046&e=b3e6d4db9c> <http://us9.forward-to-friend.com/forward?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=917428d955&e=b3e6d4db9c> Forward <http://us9.forward-to-friend.com/forward?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=917428d955&e=b3e6d4db9c> <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=89046cfcac&e=b3e6d4db9c> *Please note: *Our platform for 'eAlert' email announcements - MailChimp - allows recipients to manage and update their subscriptions, and provides greater flexibility in how we communicate with you. We'd like to encourage you to verify your details, and join our other mailing lists <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/profile?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=799de3b6f8&e=b3e6d4db9c>. We'd also welcome any feedback <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=92df0f0cd8&e=b3e6d4db9c> . <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=adaa4feab1&e=b3e6d4db9c> Other news from the Survey: Illicit Arms Flows in Ukraine <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=fa9ae510ac&e=b3e6d4db9c> New Podcast: Documenting Illicit Arms Flows <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=fac68d5fa1&e=b3e6d4db9c> Tracking conflict-related deaths <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=60ff1f42c0&e=b3e6d4db9c> *More Highlights... <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=b28c060acd&e=b3e6d4db9c>* Follow the Small Arms Survey: <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=ad8ed60fed&e=b3e6d4db9c> <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=d084b7eb5f&e=b3e6d4db9c> <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=596d094b28&e=b3e6d4db9c> *Copyright © 2017 Small Arms Survey, All rights reserved.* You are receiving this email because you signed up for this mailing list on our website or you are one of our regular contacts. *Our mailing address is:* Small Arms Survey Maison de la Paix, Chemin Eugène-Rigot 2E Geneva 1202 Switzerland Add us to your address book <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage1.com/vcard?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=799de3b6f8> unsubscribe from this list <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/unsubscribe?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=799de3b6f8&e=b3e6d4db9c&c=917428d955> update subscription preferences <http://smallarmssurvey.us9.list-manage.com/profile?u=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&id=799de3b6f8&e=b3e6d4db9c> [image: Email Marketing Powered by MailChimp] <http://www.mailchimp.com/monkey-rewards/?utm_source=freemium_newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=monkey_rewards&aid=f825e06204d5b6ec1997aed09&afl=1> -- To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected] Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/d/forum/southsudankob View this message at https://groups.google.com/d/msg/southsudankob/topic-id/message-id For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout --- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "South Sudan Info - The Kob" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/SouthSudanKob. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/SouthSudanKob/CAJb14oqYM0xg-rbU%2BdD3R3G0QyYL_1wnx1bpiTS869yQkDsThA%40mail.gmail.com. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
