Life and coal: The other way Africa can leapfrog on energy
By André Breedt
April 27, 2017
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Off-grid renewables are not the only, or the best, way for the
power-starved continent to increase energy generation and reduce
emissions.
Coal plant South Africa

Orlando Power Station is a decommissioned coal fired power station in
Soweto, South Africa. Credit: Jorge Láscar.

Ever since Africa’s mobile revolution eliminated the need for
expensive fixed-line telecoms, the idea of the continent
“leapfrogging” the rest of the world has become gospel.

Both inside and outside the continent, commentators have for years
enthused about the possibility of Africa skipping the arduous steps
taken by other regions of the world and launching straight into more
advanced technologies.

This idea has been particularly strongly advocated in the area of
energy. Rather than following the path of developing more traditional
on-grid forms of power generation, many argue that Africa can jump
straight to renewables and off-grid technologies.

Businesses such as the Swedish company TRINE have tried to make this a
reality. Under its model, customers get use of solar kits to generate
electricity, paying for the equipment in monthly instalments. Already,
nearly 100,000 people across Kenya, Tanzania, Zambia, Senegal and
Uganda are signed up.

Ventures such as this are tapping into a massive potential market.
Sub-Saharan Africa is by far the least electrified continent, with an
estimated 632 million people without basic energy – more than half the
global total. Spain alone generates about as much electricity as the
region’s 48 countries put together.

Add to this state of affairs the need to reduce global greenhouse gas
emissions, and the appeal of Africa overtaking the rest of the world
and going straight into renewable off-grid alternatives is obvious.

[Africa’s no-regret route to industrialisation]

But unfortunately, things aren’t so simple. Africa can and should
leapfrog the rest of the world on energy, but not necessarily in the
ways that are usually proposed.
Power for all?

The idea of rolling out off-grid solar technology in Africa has clear
attractions. But it should be noted that Africa is not the only region
trying to use localised solar panels to make up for an inadequate
power grid. In India, Narendra Modi’s “Power For All” pledge has
involved installing solar panels in thousands of villages.

This has brought greater electricity access to some, but residents of
these newly “electrified” villages continue to suffer from a highly
intermittent and uncertain supply. Particularly in the winter, people
are plunged into darkness early in the evening as the energy runs out,
forcing villagers to turn to highly polluting kerosene lamps. The
technology as it stands is insufficient to provide the kind of
consistent and reliable supply needed.

However, even if off-grid solar initiatives could provide a steadier
source, the potential would still be highly limited. Such solutions
may be able to power remote villages, benefiting several households.
But in order for African countries to truly develop and industrialise,
energy capacity will need to be increased on a huge scale.

Renewables can be part of that, but especially given governments’
limited financial resources, the region needs to expand power
generation in the most reliable, efficient and cost-effective way
possible. At the moment, that means large-scale production, including
the use of fossil fuels. Renewable energy sources may be getting
cheaper, but they are still economically unviable for many
governments.

Sub-Saharan Africa must of course be part of tackling climate change.
But especially given that the region has contributed the least to the
problem yet faces many of the direst consequences of it, the burden
should not lie with a power-starved Africa.

[Climate change adaptation is not just about vulnerable countries]
Old energy, new technologies

This reality is well-understood on the continent.

The African Development Bank’s “New Deal on Energy for Africa”, which
aims to provide universal access to energy for all Africans by 2025,
explicitly includes fossil fuels. In 2016, the then chair of the
African Union Commission, Nkosozana Dlamini-Zuma, commented: “coal
will be part of the energy mix. I don’t think it should be the sole
source of energy but it will be part of the mix”.

And earlier this month, former UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan argued
that “the cost of transitioning to renewables may be prohibitively
high in the short term – especially for countries that use their
sizeable endowments of coal and other fossil fuels to generate
energy”.

Indeed, coal currently accounts for around 24% of all electricity
generated in Africa, and the continent will struggle to develop
without tapping into its plentiful coal deposits. Although World Bank
financing may have shifted away from fossil fuel projects, investors
from China and elsewhere have jumped into the fray. Meanwhile, both
the BRICS New Development Bank and the African Development Bank have
made developing coal a priority for development.

Relying on fossil fuels may seem like a conservative and
environmentally-damaging approach. But if done the right way, Africa
can still leapfrog the rest of the world and curb global carbon
emissions at the same time.

Once again, India offers some key lessons. There, ground-breaking
carbon capture technologies have passed the proof-of-concept hurdle
and are now offering systems that can be implemented in existing or
new power plants to mitigate the impact of burning fossil fuels.

The Indian government also has plans to take up to 40GW of ageing coal
plants offline and replace them with supercritical ones. According to
Power Minister Piyush Goyal, this transition to new technologies will
have an even greater impact on reducing emissions than the 100GW India
is planning in renewables.

In fact, the latest iterations of coal power plants emit less than
100g of CO2 per kilowatt-hour of electricity generated. That’s almost
as little as a traditional photovoltaic solar panel.

As India is experiencing, renewables can be costly and intermittent,
and struggle to provide enough baseload power. It hopes that investing
in supercritical coal power plants can bridge the gap and satisfy both
climate commitments and energy security.

The debate over energy sources remains heated, but one universal point
of agreement is that Africa’s chronic energy poverty needs to be
solved as quickly as possible.

Leaving 632 million Africans without power not only means that 2-4% of
GDP growth is squandered annually, but it means that 255 million
people are forced to seek healthcare in facilities with no
electricity. It means that four million people (primarily women and
children) die each year because they are forced to burn wood and dung
for heating and as cooking fuel.

Continent-wide electrification will save millions of lives. This
cannot wait, and as Annan put it earlier this month: “African
governments [must] harness every available energy option, in as
cost-effective and technologically efficient manner as possible, so
that no one is left behind”.

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