Ethiopia uprising: Whither solidarity?
By Kalkidan Yibeltal
May 3, 2017
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Amidst the unrest, history has the capacity to both unite and divide.
Ethiopia solidarity and Adwa

Adwa is celebrated as a symbol of Ethiopia’s unity, but the history is
contested. Credit: Kris Fricke.

On the breezy morning of 2 March, a colourful crowd of mostly young
people gathers in the heart of Addis Ababa. They are here to mark an
important moment in Ethiopian history. On this day in 1889, Ethiopia
decisively fought off Italian invaders at the Battle of Adwa, securing
the country’s sovereignty.

As he waits for the speaker of parliament to deliver a speech, a young
attendee called Henock takes a selfie with an elderly man in
traditional attire. He checks his smartphone to see if the statue of
Menelik II – the 19thcentury king who led the army of mostly untrained
farmers to defeat Italian colonisers – made it into the photo.

Henock has been to these celebrations before, but “this year’s is
quite different,” he says. “The crowd here is bigger and the
government unusually gives it much attention.”

Henock suggests that this is because of growing controversy around the
day that, he says, is “getting stronger by each year”.

While the Battle of Adwa has typically been seen as a symbol of
Ethiopia’s unity and pride, this history has become increasingly
contested.

In particular, members of the Oromo, Ethiopia’s largest ethnic group,
have pointed to King Menelik’s alleged aggression against their people
after his triumph over European intruders. This narrative was revived
as the Oromo have protested in huge numbers against the government in
2015 and 2016, claiming that they were marginalised and discriminated
against.

[Ethiopia’s unprecedented nationwide Oromo protests: who, what, why?]

According to Zelalem Kibret, a researcher at New York University’s
Centre for Human Rights and Global Justice, the politicisation of
history in Ethiopia is not new. But he argues that it has escalated
over the past two decades under the leadership of the Ethiopian
People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF).

“That is [proving] to be an impediment in building a better future,” he says.

When the EPRDF assumed power in 1991, it introduced a new federal
system based along ethno-linguistic lines. Identity, politics, and
history were redefined on these grounds.

However,  this new structure was not accompanied by national dialogue.
Meanwhile, the EPRDF gradually came to dominate the entire political
landscape, suppressing opposition and dissent.

As early as 2009, International Crisis Group warned that the federal
structure was promoting ethnic assertiveness while failing to
accommodate grievances. It spoke of “increased ethnic awareness and
tensions created by the regionalization policy and their potential
explosive consequences”.
Tipping point

These consequences were realised in late-2015 and 2016 as hundreds of
thousands of Oromo protested against the government. Largely driven by
youth with a strong sense of ethnic identity, demonstrators demanded
greater autonomy, justice and equality. They demanded the promises of
the federal arrangement “never matched by the reality on the ground”,
says Birhanu M. Lenjiso, a US-based academic and political
commentator.

The Oromo were later joined by the Amhara, the country’s second
largest sub-nation. Triggered by border disputes with the neighbouring
state of Tigray, these protesters went on to raise their own
complaints of marginalisation and repression.

According to a report by the state-led Human Rights Commission
released this April, 669 people were killed in the widespread clashes
that followed. State-affiliated businesses and foreign owned
investments were set ablaze. Meanwhile, members of the minority Tigray
ethnic group – who many see as having disproportionately benefitted
from the EPRDF’s rule despite making up just 6% of the population –
were reportedly forced to flee protest prone areas en masse.

In October 2016, the government declared a state of emergency in an
attempt to clamp down on the unrest. Tens of thousands of alleged
protesters were arrested and a semblance of calm returned.

[Never Again? Inside Ethiopia’s “retraining” programme for thousands
of detained protesters]

However, in February, conflicts were reported in the border areas
between Oromiya and Ethiopia’s Somali regional state. Meanwhile, in
the northern parts of the Amhara state, armed farmers are reported to
be clashing with the military. Following four grenade attacks in April
in the Amhara town of Gondar, the US state department issues a warning
for travellers to the area.

Recognising the ongoing fragility, the government extended the decree
for four more months this March. “We still have some anti-peace
elements that are active and want to capitalise on disputes that arise
among regional states in the country,” said Defence Minister Siraj
Fegessa.
The battle for history

While using its security apparatus to impose a sense of stability, the
government also appears to have acknowledged the importance of ethnic
nationalism in the country’s worst political crisis in decades. In
response, it has started stressing the importance of unity and
patriotism; holidays like Adwa get a more spirited observance.

Moreover, the September 2016 edition of Addis Raey, the ruling party’s
ideas magazine, was uncommonly self-critical. It conceded: “since the
youth in Ethiopia mainly grew up under the EPRDF’s administration,
they could not inherit patriotic feelings and love of one’s country
evident in the previous generation; for this there cannot be any doubt
that the blame rests entirely on the EPRDF.”

Zelalem is not sure if these actions mark a radical ideological shift.
For him, ethnicity and the battle over history will continue to be a
decisive factor in Ethiopia’s political future. And not just in terms
of the Oromo and Amhara communities’ relations with the government but
also with one another.

At the pinnacle of the protests in 2016, the two groups – which
together make up two thirds of the population – joined hands against
what they saw to be a common enemy. Amhara protesters held placards
that read messages such as “The blood flooding in Oromia is our blood
too” and “We are all Oromos”.

[Why Oromo-Amhara solidarity is the greatest threat to the Ethiopian government]

However, for Zelalem, this solidarity remained superficial and was not
backed up by a willingness to compromise or forge a shared vision.
Once the government clamped down, he says, elites from both groups
retreated to their own camps, still divided by the age-old contentions
that have impeded unity in the past.

Birhanu agrees with this account, but stresses that the leaders, who
are mostly based abroad, are not one and the same as the youth, who
were at the heart of the protests in Ethiopia. “The youth listen to
the elites,” he says. “But they also live on the ground.”

According to Birhanu, it was these young protesters that originally
expressed solidarity across ethnic lines, only forcing the groups’
leaders to come on board later on.

Ahmed (name changed), a young protester from Gondar, explains that
ahead of a mass demonstration in July, it was local organisers that
made plans to magnify solidarity with “our Oromo brothers”. Banners
were made with pictures of Oromo opposition leaders alongside slogans
declaring support.

These activities, says Ahmed, were conceived of and executed “by us”.
“The diaspora saw what we did only after images started circulating on
social media,” he says.

The unity that resulted from these actions may have been short-lived;
the two groups are also divided by ancient disputes that will always
make coming together difficult. But Birhanu argues that deeper
solidarity between the Oromo and Amhara going forwards is not
impossible or even unlikely. Pressured by young grassroots
demonstrators, the ethno-nationalist leaders may find a way to stand
together and resolve their historical differences, he suggests.

This would be a hugely powerful development in the resistance against
the government. But for now, Ahmed lacks Birhanu’s optimism about the
elites’ ability to do this. “I don’t expect that kind of courage
soon”, he says.

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