Côte d’Ivoire: The mutiny may be over, but the army’s problems are not
By Jeremy Allouche & Oswald Padonou
May 17, 2017
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Reforming a fragmented army will be tough in Côte d’Ivoire’s tense
atmosphere. Could foreign deployment provide an alternative solution?
UN Mali mission

Cote d’Ivoire has recently sent 150 troops to support the UN mission
in Mali. Credit: UN Photo/Marco Dormino.

The five-day mutiny in Côte d’Ivoire is reportedly over following an
agreement with the government yesterday. Gunfire and roadblocks had
paralysed towns and cities across the country since Friday. But the
mutineers returned to their barracks after their demands over back pay
and bonuses were met.

This tumultuous episode first began on 6 January in Côte d’Ivoire’s
second largest city of Bouaké. That morning, fifty or so soldiers set
up roadblocks. The mutineers were former rebels who had fought in
support of President Alassane Ouattara for years before being
integrated into the national armed forces after the 2010-11 civil war.
They demanded the money owed them for the period they fought for
Ouattara without pay and called for their ranks as rebels to be
recognised in the regular army.

Soldiers in six other cities – from Korhogo in the north, to Daloa in
the centre, to Daoukrou, Odienne and Man in the west – soon followed
suit. By 7 January, the revolt had spread to the commercial capital
Abidjan. An agreement was quickly reached with the government and the
soldiers backed down.

Last week, however, the 8,400 soldiers revived their protest calling
on the government to finally fulfil its previous promises. The
mutineers reiterated their demands until the government agreed to
immediately pay out bonuses of 5 million CFA francs ($8,400) to each
of the mutineers, with 2 million CFA francs more to be paid at the end
of June.
Understanding the mutiny

There are three ways to understand why these mutinies are erupting now.

The first is to see it as a labour issue, an approach advanced in a
piece by the Nordic Africa Institute. This understanding situates the
mutiny within broader social discontent in Côte d’Ivoire, where it is
not just the soldiers but teachers and civil servants that are on
strike.

While the country has benefited from strong economic growth since the
end of the civil war, there is a perceived disconnect between growth
and redistribution. The military crisis can therefore be seen as a
social crisis which questions the way Côte d’Ivoire’s economic gains
have been shared.

Another way to see the mutiny is as part of a political crisis. There
are many rumours circulating in the country that Guillaume Soro, who
led the rebel forces during the civil war, was behind the January
revolt.

Soro is currently president of the National Assembly and it has been
suggested that the mutiny, which happened at a moment key governmental
positions were being reviewed, was timed to warn against his removal.
The fact that the mutiny started up again this May does not necessary
call into question that hypothesis, but simply suggests the crisis
evolved beyond its initial trigger.
In the army

A third approach to understand the recent events is to look at the
army itself and the tensions between its various factions. For some
analysts, the delay in addressing key reforms in the security sector
since the civil war has been a crucial factor in the army’s rising
disenchantment.

The problems within the army are not new. Under the country’s first
president, Félix Houphouët-Boigny, the military’s role was strictly
kept to a minimum. But after his death in 1993, the country went into
turmoil and the army started to reflect the clientelism and ethnic
favouritism that developed under President Henri Konan Bédié.

In 1999, the army mutinied, eventually resulting in a military coup
that removed Bédié. Key factions emerged within the army under the
names such as Brigades rouges, Camora, Cosa Nostra, PC Crise, and the
Kamajors.

In 2008, following the end of the 2002-2007 civil war, the army
mutinied once again, this time under the reign of President Laurent
Gbagbo.

The divisions that have fragmented the army in the past are still
present today. But they have taken on a different form with the
integration of pro-Ouattara rebel forces after the 2010-11 civil war.
The factions in operation currently include those favouring President
Ouattara, those backing Soro, and those who still support former
president Gbagbo.

There are also groupings representing former regional commanders in
rebel-held zones such as those who were allied with Ibrahim Coulibaly,
a former rebel killed in 2011, or Issiaka Ouattara (alias Wattao). It
is revealing that the recent mutiny was resolved and mediated by
Wattao, who is currently second-in-command of the republican guard.
The official military chain of command seems disconnected from certain
factions.
Over to Mali

The Ivorian government is aware of these issues. In response, it has
completed a disarmament, demobilisation and reintegration (DDR)
process, and security sector reforms are currently being addressed.
But the legacy of the civil war and a history of factionalism make
army reform difficult.

It is not surprising that the mutiny first emerged in Bouaké given the
many reports that the DDR programme there had been rushed and poorly
conducted. Moreover, the government’s proposed future reforms, if
carried out, could cause further social and political complications.
For instance, the 2016-20 proposals include cutting the army to 20,000
troops, anticipating voluntary redundancies of 4,400 soldiers. In the
current complex context, such a move seems unfeasible.

However, the government appears to be trying another tack too that may
prove more fruitful. Côte d’Ivoire has just sent 150 soldiers to join
the UN’s peacekeeping efforts in Mali (known as MINSUMA).

This could be part of a strategy to professionalise the army through a
learn-by-doing approach under the guidelines and guidance of the UN.
These forces could learn and share good practices – around issues such
as ethics, human rights, responsibility and hierarchy – that could
create the conditions for reform on their return home.

The recent series of mutinies are unlikely to improve the image and
therefore possibilities of external deployment for the Ivorian army.
But away from the tense domestic arena of Côte d’Ivoire, such
experiences could help create the impetus for reforming the country’s
fragmented and disenchanted armed forces from the outside.

While the latest mutiny may be over with the payment of bonuses,
resolving the army’s internal tensions and contradictions in a
meaningful long-term way will be much harder.

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