*Total SIM card additions of GSM telcos (ex RCom, Tata Tele) stood at 11.1m
in Apr '11 (down 23% mom) vs. 14.5m in Mar '11. Net adds of leading telcos
such as Bharti, Vodafone and BSNL were down 25-50% mom, likely owing to
lumpy additions in March due to year-end push, seasonal factors or
de-activations of inactive subscribers.*

n       *Bharti/Vodafone see 25%/35% dip in net adds*. Bharti's monthly net
adds have largely been steady in the past year, except 2QFY11 (when
subscriber verification/re-verification adversely impacted net adds).
Vodafone's net adds have been considerably volatile (ranging over 1.7-3.6m).
We believe April data is only a blip (driven by aforementioned factors)
rather than indication of increased competition. Response to number
portability has been moderate (6.4m porting requests since implementation,
<1% of total base); Bharti and Vodafone have been net gainers. But we advise
keen monitoring of net adds over the next few months.

n       *Net adds relatively stable for Idea vs. peers*. Notably, for the
first time, Idea's net adds stand higher than Bharti and Vodafone's.
However, we believe this is a one-off and expect Idea's net adds to trail
behind these telcos going forward.

n       *Net adds of other telcos. *BSNL's net adds were down ~50% mom; its
monthly net adds have, in the past, seen a sharp fall mom in the month of
April. Aircel's net adds were down 18%. New telcos witnessed a mixed trend -
while Uninor and S Tel recorded increase in net adds, the remaining saw a
dip.

*Safe Harbor Statement:*

*Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations &
outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company
prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated
on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax
regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which
the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate
movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand
and supply constraints.*
**
*Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.**
*

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