*On our assumptions of lower loan growth and NIM, we reduce FY12-13 EPS
estimates for Corporation Bank by ~4%. *

***Credit growth moderates. *After rising 37.4% yoy (and 20.7% qoq) in
4QFY11, credit growth moderated to ~22%. Deposit growth rose to 29.4% yoy,
but was flat qoq. We expect credit and deposits to grow ~21% in FY12.

*NIM declined steeply; likely to bounce back. *In 1QFY12, credit-deposits
slipped to 67% vs. 74.4% in 4QFY11 due to a qoq drop in advances. Further,
lower CASA and high reliance on bulk deposits led to a ~40bps decline in
NIM. Hence, net interest income was flat yoy and declined 7.1% qoq. We
expect FY12 NIM to settle at 2.2-2.3% (~30bps decline yoy) on better
credit-deposits and increase in lending yields.

*Asset quality stable. *Gross NPAs rose 7.1% qoq; however, slippage was
contained at ~0.75%. Asset quality continues to be healthy, with net NPAs of
0.52% and NPA coverage ratio of 1.07%.

Ri*sks. C*ontinuing macro headwinds and thereby slower loan growth, margin
contraction and higher NPA costs.

*Safe Harbor Statement:*

*Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations &
outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company
prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated
on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax
regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which
the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate
movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand
and supply constraints.*
**
*Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.**
*

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