-------- Forwarded Message --------
Subject: Bharti Airtel:Fine Tuning Its Africa Operations--Blw 405-400 May Fall To 390-370 Zone, Where It Could Find Good Buying Support For A TGT Of 455
Date:   Wed, 29 Jul 2015 09:07:23 +0530
From:   Asis Ghosh <asis...@gmail.com>
Reply-To:       asis...@gmail.com
To:     undisclosed-recipients:;



Technically, Bharti (CMP:410) has immediate support of 405-400 zone and sustain below that it could fall to 390-380-370 area. Consecutive closing below 370*, it may further fall to 359-350-338* & 326-317-310-290-279 territory in the worst bear case scenario.

On the upside, sustain above 405, Bharti may immediately target 412-419-426. Only consecutive closing above 426-430, it may scale 438-443-455 in near term. In the mid to long term, sustaining above 455, Bharti could target 465-475-485 & 500-510-535 & 565-600 under bullish case scenario (FY:16-18).

Bottom Line:Technical Trading Levels (Positional)



        SL</>5    FROM SLR        
        
        
        
        
        
                

        
        BHARTI  CMP     410     
        
        
        
                

        
        
        
        
        
        
        
        
                

        
        
        T1      T2      T3      T4      T5      T6      T7      SLR
Strong > 405 412-419 426-430* 438-443 452-455* 465-475 485-490 500-535 <400
                                                                                
Weak <       400             390     380     370*    359-350         338*    326   
  317-279         >405
                                                                                


Bharti is presently deleveraging (selling & exiting) its unprofitable African business except better markets like in Kenya and Nigeria to reduce its huge balance sheet debt of around Rs.62200 Cr. The company will concentrate more now on India (specially in 3G/4G) as our country has now better telecom regulatory environment, comparatively less competition than few years ago due to growing consolidation & huge cost of operations (where only players having deep pocket could survive in future) and stable telecom tariff. Also there will be huge opportunity in data market as India is now world's fastest growing smart phone market and also there will be "Digital India" initiatives. Now-a-days, people are increasingly talking less over mobile and OTT IM like WA is the preferred way for seamless communications, which is consuming more data.

But some headwinds might come from R-JIO in terms of tariff & market share etc in future.

As par BG metrics, current median valuation of Bharti Airtel may be around 445 and its projected fair valuation might be around 475-530-600 (FY:16-18 On standalone basis).


SCRIP EPS(TTM) BV(Act) P/E(AVG) LONG TERM SHORT TERM MEDIAN VALUE 200-DEMA 10-DEMA
BHARTIARTL      33.02   166.93  14.29   430.46  449.68  440.07  392.7   428.54



BHARTIARTL      38.05   190.3   14.29   462.09  482.71  472.40  392.7   428.54



BHARTIARTL      47.5    217     14.29   516.29  539.33  527.81  392.7   428.54



BHARTIARTL      59.5    250     14.29   577.84  603.63  590.73  392.7   428.54


To be continued for some more useful inputs----

<http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-qW62OdADj7I/VbhIb0KxQvI/AAAAAAAADk4/Cw-lXpGQlpU/s1600/BHARTI-28-07-2015.png>

<http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-4qTdy-3dcQA/VbhIdsid3uI/AAAAAAAADlA/5j2HwNKY3uI/s1600/BHARTI-FIBB-28-07-2015.png>

<http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-8DpiiHP2bxI/VbhIfTSPKBI/AAAAAAAADlI/0uWzF6GIF68/s1600/BHARTI-WK-28-07-2015.png>

<http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-nU4xd6kJhKw/VbhIhy2o4eI/AAAAAAAADlQ/WySrtjbUMBw/s1600/BHARTI-TL-28-07-2015.png>

<http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-oFYOGRXWBXA/VbhIjm-TRLI/AAAAAAAADlY/XYXRFasV4YQ/s1600/BHARTI-PATTERN-28-07-2015.png>

<http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-_8NcJUMaBbY/VbhIlhlynbI/AAAAAAAADlg/yKU3cBERTyc/s1600/BHARTI-PATTERN-MT-28-07-2015.png>

--
Thanks & Regards,

Asis Ghosh
(asisghosh.blogspot.com)
NCFM-TA Certified



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