-------- Forwarded Message --------
Subject: Wockhardt: Q1 Result Abv Estimates---Sustaining Above 1625 TGT May Be 1800-2000-2250--But Has To Be US/UK Compliant
Date:   Tue, 11 Aug 2015 09:12:10 +0530
From:   Asis Ghosh <asis...@gmail.com>
Reply-To:       asis...@gmail.com
To:     undisclosed-recipients:;



_*Technical Analysis:*_

Looking at the chart, Wockhardt (CMP:1652) has to sustain above 1625-1640 for an immediate to short term target of 1660-1685-1705-1726 & 1765. Only consecutive closing above 1765, it may target 1815-1860-1925-2000 & 2166-2200-2250 in the mid to long term (bullish case scenario).

On the flip side, inability to sustain above 1625 may drag it to 1610-1599 and sustaining below that it may further fall to 1585-1562-1549-1535-1518-1503 zone. Consecutive closing below 1503, it may further crash to 1485-1450-1401-1386 zone in the near term ( bear case scenario).

_*Technical Trading Levels (Positional):*_



        SL</>10   FROM SLR        
        
        
        
        
        
        
        

        
        WOCKPHM         CMP     1652    
        
        
        
        
        

        
        
        
        
        
        
        
        
        
        

        
        
        T1      T2      T3      T4      T5      T6      T7      SLR
Strong >     1625    
        1640-60*        1685    1705-26*        1765    1815    1860    1925-2000  
     <1610

        
        
        
        
        
        
        
        
        
        
Weak <       1610    
        1599-85*        1562-49         1535-18         1503*   1485    1450    
1401-1385       >1625

        
        
        
        
        
        
        
        
        
        


_*Some Inputs:*_

Q1FY16 result of Wockhardt is by & large above street estimates due to low base effect and better domestic operations but going forward it has to be compliant with US/UK FDA regulatory environment, which may be quite challenging. So, it will be a high risk play in Wockhardt.


_*Techno Funda Valuation As Par BG Metrics(Modified):*_

Current median valuation : 1385

Projected fair valuations: 1700-1975-2250 (FY:16-18)



SCRIP EPS(TTM) BV(Act) P/E(AVG) LONG TERM SHORT TERM MEDIAN VALUE 200-DEMA 10-DEMA WOCKPHARMA 36.65 333.79 36.4 1329.44 1443.82 1386.63 1324.84 1562.62


WOCKPHARMA 54.45 382.25 36.4 1620.43 1759.85 1690.14 1324.84 1562.62


WOCKPHARMA 73.85 437.75 36.4 1887.16 2049.52 1968.34 1324.84 1562.62


WOCKPHARMA      96.5    501.25  36.4    2157.23         2342.83         2250.03 
        1324.84         1562.62

_*Technical Charts:*_



<http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-TrJ6wzrhwVk/VclsRt62w_I/AAAAAAAADtc/BsWWArNUTbs/s1600/WOCK-10-08-2015.png>

<http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-S-10ET6Fwvw/VclsT1yNJkI/AAAAAAAADtk/zxDdj7Umw6Q/s1600/WOCK-FIBB-10-08-2015.png>

<http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-FvtzV3wNvw4/VclsVolMPJI/AAAAAAAADts/2xx4DzWTC90/s1600/WOCK-WK-10-08-2015.png>

<http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-KqfRLkjO54w/VclsXASFecI/AAAAAAAADt0/2DEt08RlMFU/s1600/WOCK-TL-10-08-2015.png>

<http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-lERqTjtKSUw/Vclsapf65fI/AAAAAAAADt8/t0YoNSDCovM/s1600/WOCK-PATTERN-10-08-2015.png>

<http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-WKVN4bBvfNc/VclseGpYj9I/AAAAAAAADuE/bs87RVEbjQU/s1600/WOCK-TL-RSI-10-08-2015.png>

--
Thanks & Regards,

Asis Ghosh
NCFM-TA Certified
(asisghosh.blogspot.com)



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