>
> http://www.stratfor.com/home/giu/archive/100801.htm
> WJPBR Email News List [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Peace at any cost is a Prelude to War!
>
> OPEC Unable to Drive Prices Up
> October 8, 2001
>
> Summary
>
> Ministers representing the 11-member Organization of Petroleum Exporting
> Countries decided Oct. 7 not to cut oil production despite the drop in
prices
> since the Sept. 11 attacks on the United States. This is tacit
> acknowledgement that restoring oil prices is beyond OPEC's current
> capability. A production cut of the size necessary to restore the cartel's
> $25-per-barrel target price would bankrupt all of the OPEC states.
>
> Analysis
>
> OPEC Secretary-General Ali Rodriguez said Oct. 7 that due to the unique
> global situation following the U.S.-led strikes on Afghanistan, the cartel
> would wait before taking steps to limit oil supplies. Prices, according to
> OPEC's measurement, have fallen 24 percent since the Sept. 11 attacks on
the
> United States while the price of Brent crude continued hovering at around
$22
> per barrel Oct. 8.
>
> For the time being, OPEC's members actually do not have the ability to
> restore oil prices to their preferred price of $25 per barrel. The global
> recession, robust oil supplies and the refusal of non-OPEC states to cut
> production will sabotage any attempt to shore up prices in the next six
> months. Such a chain of events will lead to cheap energy, higher energy
> security and a quick degradation in the economies of OPEC members.
>
> All the relevant energy-price indicators are pointing in the same
direction:
> down. Energy consumption is lower across the board, in part due to the
global
> recession. For instance, the Oil and Gas Journal estimates that demand for
> jet fuel is down 20 percent in the United States and down 10 percent
> elsewhere. The aviation industry accounts for 8 percent of global oil
> consumption.
>
>
>
>
>
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educational
> purposes only.[Ref. http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml ]
>
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