O.K., this is the analysis I got from the inside.

The Republicans plan to run Mark Kennedy against Mark
Dayton is 2006. Now, with Patty Wetterling in the
race, Kennedy's future is not all that secure, so the
Republicans need a backup plan.

Just like Cheney when called Pawlenty in 2002, or was
it late 2001, and got him to drop out of the Senate
race, to clear the way for Coleman to run against
Wellstone, the Republicans are trying to "double-down"
and cover their bets with Kelly. If Kennedy wins this
fall, he's their boy in 2006 against Dayton. If
Kennedy loses, they look towards Kelly, assuming that
he wins election next year. If Kelly loses his bid for
re-election, the Republicans are no worse off, then
they are now, and is he wins they have another useful 
tool. 

Kelly clearly wants higher office, (or needs another
public sector position, he hasn't had a job in private
sector in over 20 years), but he doesn't dare run
against Betty McCollum or Mark Dayton as a Democrat,
there is no way he can win the primary. Like Coleman,
being a conservative pro-life, pro-big business
Democrat the only way Kelly can try and go higher is
as a Republican. The only question is when does he
switch parties, before or after next years Mayoral
election. (I can't prove anything but this whole thing
has Eric Mische's fingerprints all over it.)

The only problem with this plan is that Kelly is no
Norm Coleman, and he and his son Ryan, his campaign
manager, fail to realize that. 

1. Kelly doesn't have the base of support Norm did.
Kelly couldn't even win two of the three city council
races for the candidates he endorsed last fall.  

2. Kelly has no successes to point to like Coleman;
where are Kelly's Lawson Software's, Minnesota Wild,
new arena and Science Museum? 

3. Kelly does not have Coleman's charisma, (whatever
you want to say about Norm, he can charm you). 

4. Kelly's just not as bright as Norm. With Howard
Orenstein fleeing the sinking ship and jumping to Amy
Klobacher's Office in Minneapolis, Kelly's I.Q., just
dropped 10 points. Look at his silly fight over the
smoking ordinance. He had an opportunity to proclaim
himself as a "leader" by signing the first City-wide
non-smoking ban in the state, but the City still
dickers around, with Kelly not wanting to lose the
support and money of the bar owners, which he needs
for re-election and his ever elusive Twins Stadium.

5. Kelly's hair, (would someone tell him that greased
back look went out in 1958?) Hey that might sell on
the east side of St. Paul, but the people of Eden
Prairie and Maple Grove will just think he's greasy. 

But then isn't he?

Dan Dobson
Summit Hill - Saint Paul

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