holy freeholy, seƱor bruce!

On Sun, Sep 21, 2008 at 5:44 PM, Bruce Johnson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote:

>
> Geographers wade into the politics of war armed with those damned
> facts again.......
>
> The conventional story is that The Surge solved the violence in Iraq
> in the two main places it was occurring: Anbar province in the west,
> and the sectarian violence in Baghdad itself.
>
> Well, it's been shown that the decrease in violence in Anbar was due
> to tactics initiated before the surge, namely paying off the local
> tribal leaders and arming them to fight Al-Quaeda in Iraq, the Anbar
> Awakening Council.
>
> <http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/
> 2007_08/011937.php>
>
> Weeeellllll...it looks like the reason that The Surge worked in
> Baghdad was....
>
> ...wait for it
>
> ...the Shiite militias ran out of Sunnis to kill or drive away. This
> would account for why Al-Sadr was so willing to have his militia stand
> down...they'd won.
>
> <http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/09/080919074830.htm>
>
> "Night light in neighborhoods populated primarily by embattled Sunni
> residents declined dramatically just before the February 2007 surge
> and never returned, suggesting that ethnic cleansing by rival Shiites
> may have been largely responsible for the decrease in violence for
> which the U.S. military has claimed credit, the team reports in a new
> study based on publicly available satellite imagery.
>
> 'Essentially, our interpretation is that violence has declined in
> Baghdad because of intercommunal violence that reached a climax as the
> surge was beginning,' said lead author John Agnew, a UCLA professor of
> geography and authority on ethnic conflict. 'By the launch of the
> surge, many of the targets of conflict had either been killed or fled
> the country, and they turned off the lights when they left.'"
>
> <http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/09/080919074830.htm>
>
> Paper cited is:
>
> Agnew et al. Baghdad nights: evaluating the US military 'surge' using
> nighttime light signatures. Environment and Planning A, 2008; 40 (10):
> 2285 DOI: 10.1068/a41200
>
> <http://www.envplan.com/abstract.cgi?id=a41200>


the link works for non college grads...
can i post this elsewhere, and what attrib, if any do you desire...

should be a good carpet bomb for john 'the surge is working' mclaim..


>
> The abstract and full article pdf is there.
>
> I don't know if I can get this because it's publicly available, or if
> it's because I'm getting it through a University IP address (which is
> the case for a lot of journals). I have the full PDF, so if you can't
> get it and want it, let me know...
>
> --
> Bruce Johnson
>
> "No matter where you go, there you are", B. Banzai
>
>

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