I have just completed an initial estimate for a Struts-based web application. I am 
curious as to what estimation methods folks out there use for their initial estimates. 
The revised estimate will be delivered after more analysis is performed.

I am fed up with making wild guesses for initial estimates and wondered if there was 
any way to take the small amount of information available up front (i.e. the number of 
screens on the user's initial workflow requirements document) and extrapolate it into 
an estimate. I understand that the margin of error is gonna be big and hairy on this 
puppy, but it's an initial estimate created with a dearth of information, so what do 
you expect? :-)

What I did was:

Take the estimated number of application screens: s=13
Take the number of application user roles: r=3
Figure which screens are used by which roles and total: sr=32
Estimate the number of actions: a = sr * 2 = 64
Application units of work: auow = a + sr = 96
Total units of work (including admin screens): tuow = auow * 2 = 192
Estimate an effort factor per unit: ef = 4hr
Programmer work: pw = tuow * ef = 768hrs

Some assumptions included in these calculations include:
1. An average of two actions per screen role.
2. The administration facility of an application is about 50% of the work.
3. The effort factor is a figure arrived at from knowledge of the programmer being 
tasked and the number of new technologies within the project.

Your thoughts please.

Simon

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Simon P. Chappell                     [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Java Programming Specialist                      www.landsend.com
Lands' End, Inc.                                   (608) 935-4526

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