On Wed, Aug 5, 2009 at 6:08 PM, Ryan Hottle<[email protected]> wrote:
> Thanks Rich,
> This is helpful...  Yet, you're right, where's the data?
>
> NASA I tend to trust... company publications not so much.  Any gas which has
> risen from 0.02 ppt to 0.454 ppt in the past thirty some years and has a GWP
> (Global Warming Potential) of 17,000 times that of CO2 (CO2 GWP = 1) is
> certainly of some concern.  I.e. can't simply be written off as a "big coal"
> conspiracy.  We shouldn't let our desire for certain technologies allow to
> manipulate

It's the combination of GWP and volume that matters.  And total volume
is very small.  It's just four times bigger than they previously
thought.  Before they thought it was small enough to be basically
irrelevant (compared to CO2), now it might be enough to matter (even
though we're still talking 0.15%).

> Rich could certainly be right that in comparison to coal generation solar
> still wins out.  What percentage of total NF3 is produced by solar?

Don't know but it's probably in line with how much of silicon etching
is done for PV vs. computer chips, TVs, etc.

> What
> would happen if existing technologies are scaled up to replace coal
> generation without consideration of NF3?

>From the one example I found that gives any indication of the amount
of NF3 produced by PV manufacturing, it would take an additional 1
year of not burning coal to compensate for the NF3 produced, in
addition to the 1 year or so due to the energy consumed in
manufacture.

> What is the residence time of NF3
> in the atmosphere?

Current estimate is 550 years.  This is from what appears to be the
other main source of all the articles on the issue:

http://web.viu.ca/earle/geol-412/2008GL034542.pdf

[...]

> I sense a very defense stance on solar....Why is everyone so attached to PV
> anyway?  Solar hot water makes much better economic sense.  Concentrated
> solar look good in desert climate... we might get some of that if HVDC smart
> grid technologies ever come.  Microhydro is wonderful (single moving part,
> lasts longer than PV, can be manufactured regionally [i.e. in Ithaca], and
> has minimal impact on stream ecology) particularly if you have the
> topography which Ithaca has.  Energy conservation and efficiency is first of
> course.  And, of course, I think biomass makes a lot of sense--particularly
> on-farm applications, Karl--where it can be deployed for both heat and
> power, sequester C, and create a powerful soil amendment.

I'm not in any way defensive.  PV has quite a few strengths and also
some weaknesses.  This just isn't really one of them.  The problem
with solar hot water is that it doesn't generate electricity.

> Ok.  All the best.  Good discussion.  Thanks for references Rich, you've
> obviously been paying attention to this issue... you own a PV installation
> company? ;)
>
> Ryan

No, I don't own a PV-anything company, and I'd never heard of NF3
before.  I just spent 20 minutes checking sources.

--
Rich
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