Hi Andrew,
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
> [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
>> ASV is waning fast as Firefox rises
>
> Do you have any data to back that up?
I wish! Unfortunately I don't have hard numbers. My statement was based
on an accumulation of fact which point in that direction:
- Firefox is growing fast. My last look at the counter showed 95M
downloads from the Mozilla servers and it made the top ten most
downloaded programs from download.com, alongside WinZip, ICQ,
Napster, WinAmp... The Xiti reports show it gaining constant ground
and already high in penetration[0,1] (in French, but the map is
clear).
- I would expect most if not all of those users to upgrade to 1.5 when
it comes out, especially given the fact that Firefox makes it easy.
- Throw in Opera (which already has SVG) at around 3.5% and Safari
(which is adding it) at circa 1.5%, you get around an extra 5% with
native support.
- As far as I can tell ASV doesn't ship with Acrobat anymore. At least,
when I joined Expway three years ago almost everyone in the company
already had ASV installed without having downloaded it (I assume this
was all from Acrobat installs). New people who have joined since
don't have it. This is a small empirical experience, but Expway is
fairly typical of my experience in small to medium companies. If this
is indeed generalized, the install base of ASV is decreasing as
equipment is replaced (following a cycle of roughly 3-4 years).
- Rumours tend to point at the idea that the release of a new player
from Adobe is unlikely at best. If there isn't one there won't be
much attraction and the decrease can only continue.
There are other factors, but you get the picture. It looks like after
years of ignoring SVG the browser vendors have become hip again, and are
the future (in some cases, present) for SVG implementations.
I'll stick my neck out there and say I think it won't be long before
instead of "this works in ASV, why does it break in Firefox" will become
"I tried to get my SVG that works in Firefox/Safari/Opera to work in IE
by having it run on ASV, why doesn't foo work?".
[0]http://www.xitimonitor.com/etudes/equipement11.asp
[1]http://www.xitimonitor.com/etudes/equipement10.asp
--
Robin Berjon
Senior Research Scientist
Expway, http://expway.com/
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