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Title: Michael McDermott
Are Modal Beliefs Necessary?

In this paper I suggest a new route to a Humean decision theory.
The central idea of decision theory is that rational choice is the joint product of (i) degrees of belief in certain conditional propositions connecting possible actions with possible outcomes, and (ii) the values attached to the outcomes. It is assumed that the degrees of belief are subjective probabilities. It seems to follow that the kind of conditional proposition required is an apparently non-Humean subjunctive conditional. The usual way of trying to reconcile this with our Humean metaphysical intuitions involves a subtle and complex analysis of the required conditional, relying on an ontology of possible worlds. My suggestion is that a simple material conditional may serve as the object of belief, if we relax the assumption that the relevant degrees of belief obey the laws of probability.
When: Wed Jun 2 3:30pm – 7:10pm Eastern Time - Melbourne, Sydney
Where: The Refectory
Calendar: Seminars
Who:
    * [email protected] - creator

Event details: https://www.google.com/calendar/event?action=VIEW&eid=XzZsMTNpZ2k0NzBxa2FiYTM2a3M0MmI5azYwcjQyYmExNmtvNGFiOXA2NHE0NmRwazc1Mmo4Z2kyODQgMm1lN2M3ZnIzb21wbDRyaHZrcG1sYTUzNjhAZw

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