Hello Thomas,

Saturday, June 22, 2002, 4:09:06 AM, you wrote (possibly edited):
> Hello Costas,

> On Fri, 21 Jun 2002 20:58:51 +0300 GMT (22/06/02, 00:58 +0700 GMT),
> Costas Papadopoulos wrote:

>>> is this list up or what? ;-)

CP>> It's  going  through  its  periodic "down" period, like the US Dollar,
CP>> currently :)))

> This list is (obviously) not down, and neither is the US dollar: the
> USD is merely coming back to reasonable levels. ;-)

> The euro was designed to be en par with the dollar (why do you think
> it has such weird exchange rates with all its original currencies?),
> but it was clear that it was going to drop in the beginning (good for
> Europe's exports, too). I converted my funds to euros at the beginning
> of this year, and (mark my words) within the next threee months or so,
> the exchange rate euro : US dollar will be 1:1.

> Actually, I converted from Pound Sterling to euro, GBP being my
> previous (winning) bet. The Pound will continue to loose against the
> euro, but not dangerously so. It is still far too high for UK exports.
> Anyway, I think (hope) that one day, the U.K. will join Euroland. But
> that is not predictable yet.

I  hope  the  moderator  doesn't  mind my replying to you on the list,
given  the current low traffic.

If  you  follow  the currency markets you will see that sometimes even
the  fundamentals  are  not  so  important  as the people's sentiment.
Lately,  even  though  on  the  one hand there have been good economic
indicator  announcements  in the USA, they have done almost nothing to
control  the fall in the Dollar since the equities market on the other
hand  has  been  disappointing  (Enron etc.). Even the Bank of Japan's
recent  attempts  to  lower the value of the Yen versus the Dollar has
not  done  much  to change sentiment. So on the basis of the above you
may be right in your forecast - well I hope so for your sake ;-)

On  a  more  detailed  level,  it  doesn't  hurt  to  remember that by
definition  at  any  moment  in  time the exchange rate represents the
views  of 50% of the people who believe it will go up and of the other
50% who believe it will go down!

-- 
Best regards,
 Costas                            mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]


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