Just a thought here, I don't know about you, but over my career I have never
had to go into such archives even though they are frequently made.   In
fact, what I have found in too many cases is that the division or company
making these type of archival backups do not survive the media lifetime and
thus would be no longer needed.

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Michael D. Parker

-----Original Message-----
From: tech-boun...@lists.lopsa.org [mailto:tech-boun...@lists.lopsa.org] On
Behalf Of Charles Polisher
Sent: Saturday, December 06, 2014 12:23 PM
To: Bill Bogstad
Cc: tech@lists.lopsa.org
Subject: Re: [lopsa-tech] Data on longevity of powered off disk drives?

Bill Bogstad wrote:
> Edward Ned Harvey (lopser)
> recovery industry would be of interest.   For example, I don't have
> the physic background to even intelligently guess if individual 
> magnetic regions/domains on a drive platter will degrade their 
> neighbors over time, but someone else might.  Admittedly, this is only 
> one part of whether an entire drive will remain readable; but it might 
> put a useful ceiling on the maximum longevity of an unpowered drive.

I worked in an engineering setting designing and calculating the reliability
of analog and didtal circuits. I'd expect a disk drive's electronic
components to last about 20 years unpowered.

The least likely to survive long-term are electrolytic capac- itors which
have a paste electrolyte that can dry out, and EEPROMs (if they're used, I
have some drives that do) will hold their charge for about 20 years I've
been told. I've a hunch the platters themselves are quite stable, but here
AF (advanced
format) drives have a huge advantage because they're better able to survive
thermal asperities caused when stray particles squeeze between the head and
platter causing local heating and subsequent data loss. AF drives have more
built-in error correction increasing the chances of readable data.

LTO-5 tape systems are designed for 30-year archival use and for my use case
a better bet. I expect compatible (LTO-5) drives to still be marketed over
the next 30 years - well past my own personal expiration date.

--
Charles

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