Saturday, January 27, 2007
In Vietnam -- and across developing world -- cell phones play vital  
role in fueling growth
By Associated Press

HANOI, Vietnam (AP) -- Nguyen Huu Truc's trusty cell phone has  
revolutionized his small embroidery business -- and his life.

When he bought his first mobile phone in 1995, Vietnam had just one  
fixed-line phone for every 100 people, and cell phones were a pricey  
novelty. Communication was difficult, forcing Truc to make time- 
consuming trips to suppliers and buyers.

But these days, Vietnam has 33 telephones per 100 people -- and two- 
thirds of the phones are mobile. Now Truc can make calls on his cell  
phone from virtually anywhere in the country for about 10 U.S. cents  
a minute, saving him time and money and providing quicker access to  
information.

''I cannot imagine what it would be like if I didn't have my mobile  
phone for a day,'' he says. ''It's no longer just something that only  
the rich can afford. Now, it's a basic means of communication.''

Truc's experience provides a glimpse into how wireless communication  
is helping fuel Vietnam's rapid growth -- and transforming dozens of  
other developing nations from the ground up.

Today, mobile phones are the primary form of telecommunication in  
most emerging economies, fulfilling much the same role as fixed-line  
phone networks did in facilitating growth in the United States and  
Europe after World War II.

Some developing nations have even jumped out in front as mobile  
pioneers. In the Philippines, more than 4 million people use their  
cell phones as virtual wallets to buy things or transfer cash --  
services still rare in many wealthy countries, with few exceptions  
like Japan.

As service charges and handset prices have plunged and coverage areas  
have expanded, cell phone subscriptions in the developing world have  
surged fivefold since 2000, to 1.4 billion at the end of 2005,  
according to the U.N. International Telecommunication Union. That's  
nearly double the 800 million in advanced economies.

Research shows that greater cell phone use can drive economic growth  
in emerging economies. Based on market research in China, India and  
the Philippines, consulting firm McKinsey & Co. found that raising  
wireless penetration by 10 percentage points can lead to an increase  
in gross domestic product of about 0.5 percent, or around US$12  
billion for an economy the size of China.

''There's enormous entrepreneurship and creativity worldwide, and  
through mobile phones you're providing people with the tools --  
rather than aid -- to earn a living,'' says Leonard Waverman, a  
London Business School professor. In a separate study of 92  
developing countries, Waverman had findings similar to McKinsey's  
report.

''It's not a magic bullet, but it's a vital tool,'' says Waverman,  
whose research was partly funded by British mobile carrier Vodafone  
Group PLC.

By bouncing signals off base stations, relay towers and satellites  
instead of over copper wires strung to villages and homes, cell  
phones can hurdle mountains and other obstacles like illiteracy --  
which is a barrier to computer use -- giving millions new  
opportunities to exchange information, make money and conduct business.

In India, fishermen call ahead to ports to see where they will get  
the best deal on their catch. Kenyan farmers check crop prices on a  
service offered by local provider Safaricom.

In South Africa, cell phones serve as a virtual office for  
carpenters, painters and other laborers who post their numbers on  
handwritten signs advertising their skills.

In Bangladesh, a quarter of a million ''phone ladies'' buy mobile  
phones on credit from Grameen Bank, winner of the 2006 Nobel Peace  
Prize along with its founder Muhammad Yunus, providing wireless  
communication for the community and themselves with a livelihood.

The Philippines has become a global leader in mobile commerce. Since  
2000, Smart Communications Inc., the country's largest carrier, has  
allowed subscribers in its Smart Money program to hold limited  
amounts of cash in electronic wallets linked to their mobile accounts.

Using their cell phones, members can withdraw cash from their bank  
accounts, pay for goods and services and transfer money and airtime  
credit. The phone records all transactions. Overseas Filipinos are  
even using this service to send money home. While the system is  
designed with work with financial institutions, subscribers don't  
need a bank account.

''If your son or daughter is away at school and needs money, this is  
an easy way to send it to them,'' says Ramon Isberto, a Smart spokesman.

This kind of application holds promise for the millions in developing  
countries who have no bank accounts and for whom transferring money  
can be difficult or risky.

Wizzit, a South African-based company targeting customers without  
bank accounts, has been offering cell phone-based financial services  
since 2005.

Vodafone, which is investing heavily in Africa, is partnering with  
Kenyan affiliate Safaricom and the Commercial Bank of Africa to soon  
launch M-Pesa, a mobile financial service that allows users to send  
and receive cash and perform other transactions.

''Financial institutions are realizing that the only way to reach new  
customers is through mobile networks,'' says Nick Hughes, head of the  
mobile payment team at Vodafone.

Expanding mobile networks also brings other economic benefits,  
experts say. It lures more foreign investment, gives families better  
access to health and educational information and provides governments  
with more revenue from licenses and taxes.

Wireless technology has emerged at a fortuitous time for carriers  
expanding in developing countries because it is so much cheaper and  
easier to build than fixed-line networks.

Rugged, sprawling Afghanistan, for example, now has 2 million cell  
phone subscribers and only 20,000 fixed-line phones.

''They can leapfrog the technology,'' says David Knapp, general  
director of Motorola Vietnam.

In Vietnam, where the economy is growing 8 percent a year, the  
communist government has spent heavily to expand coverage to all 64  
provinces.

''The more people who have cell phones, the more the economy will  
grow, and vice versa,'' says Bui Quoc Viet, a spokesman for the state- 
run Vietnam Post & Telecommunications Corp., the country's largest  
telecom company.

The government has also promoted competition: Vietnam now has six  
mobile carriers, two with foreign partners. The development has  
driven down service charges, a key factor in the tripling of cell  
phone subscribers over the past two years to 18 million.

Mobile phones provide a good way for the younger generation to seek  
new business opportunities and cash in on Vietnam's move toward a  
market economy, says Paul Ruppert, managing director of consultancy  
Global Point View LLC, who has extensive experience in Asia.

''It's all micro-activity -- tailors, small repair shops, textile  
producers, grocery stores,'' Ruppert says. ''Even though they're  
small, they're allowed to get an idea of the market via the cell  
phone.''

Text messaging, or SMS, is another application that's particularly  
popular in Asian nations like Thailand, Vietnam and the Philippines.  
It's considered a cheap, unobtrusive way to stay in touch with  
friends, connect to the Internet and conduct business.

''It's a good way to save costs, but more importantly I can use SMS  
services as evidence for my business transactions,'' says Truc, the  
embroidery business owner.

Carriers have adapted to the needs of poorer customers by selling  
prepaid airtime cards, often for as little as 35 cents per card. This  
eliminates the need for a contract, credit history check or even an  
address. Once you register for a phone number and buy an airtime  
card, you're in business.

Handset makers, meanwhile, are offering ultra-cheap phones. Motorola  
Inc., under the GSM Association's emerging market handset program,  
has produced cell phones with a wholesale price of less than US$30.  
Retail prices vary depending on taxes and local market conditions.

But even those phones are still too expensive for many who live on  
one or two dollars a day.

That's given rise to communal phone use and a cottage industry made  
up of people who resell phone service for a living.

Both are typified in Bangladesh's ''Palli Phone,'' or village phone,  
program run by Grameen Bank.

Hasina Banu, who lives in a remote village in northern Bangladesh,  
bought a phone from Grameen for about US$110 and each week pays back  
about US$2.50. She now earns about US$25 a month from the phone and  
plans to use that money to open a small grocery store.

But even in rural Bangladesh she says competition is heating up among  
other ''Palli Phone'' sellers.

''Now I get less customers,'' Banu says. ''But I am happy that now I  
have some money with (which) I can expand my business.''

Copyright Technology Review 2007.


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