--- On Fri, 1/29/10, Financial News Simplified. <[email protected]> wrote:


From: Financial News Simplified. <[email protected]>
Subject: RBI Credit Policy Review – CRR increased, liquidity squeezed!!
To: [email protected]
Date: Friday, January 29, 2010, 10:05 PM




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Friday Jan 29, 2010





Weekly Facts 


Close
Change
%Change

BSE Sensex
16306.87 
744.3 
4.36% 

Re/US$
46.36 
0.3 
0.67% 

Gold Rs/10g
16405.00 
150.0 
0.91% 

Crude ($/barrel)
71.68 
3.7  
4.96% 

FD Rates (1-Yr)
5.00%-6.50% 
Weekly change as on Jan 28, 2010 
RBI Credit Policy Review - CRR increased, liquidity squeezed!!

Impact

The spiralling effect on inflation, of excess liquidity prompted Reserve Bank 
of India (RBI) to increase the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) by 75 basis points from 
5% to 5.75%, in its third quarter monetary policy review 2009-10. 

The increase in the CRR will be in a phased manner in two stages:

First Stage: Increase of 50 basis points will be effective the fortnight 
beginning February 13, 2010.

Second Stage: Increase of 25 basis points effective the fortnight beginning 
February 27, 2010. 

The other highlights of the monetary policy review are: 

Bank rate left unchanged at 6 percent 

 Repo rate left unchanged at 4.75 percent

Reverse repo rate left unchanged at 3.25 percent

Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) has been left unchanged at 25 percent

We believe that the policy announcement is a cautious step to "test the waters" 
and thus gauge readiness for a withdrawal of the stimulus packages. It could 
also lead to mutual funds facing redemption pressures from banks.  
Equity Markets feels inflationary pressures

Impact


 
(Source: ACE MF)

WPI inflation at a 13 month high of 7.31% in the month of December 2009 and 
food inflation at 16.81% for the week ended January 9, 2010, brought 
nervousness to the equity markets. The BSE Sensex has fallen 7%, since the time 
the inflation numbers were posted. 

The announcement of a hike in the CRR of 75 basis points in a phased manner, by 
the RBI in its third quarter review of monetary policy 2009-10 added to some 
knee jerk reaction to today's trade, but later the markets did recover smartly. 
At the time of writing this article the BSE Sensex was up 73.37 points at 
16,380.24.

We believe that these are opportune times for investors to buy fundamentally 
sound stocks and/or mutual funds and stay invested for long-term.  
SEBI and IRDA crossing swords over ULIPs 

Impact

 The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and Insurance Regulatory and 
Development Authority (IRDA) are crossing swords over the regulation of Unit 
Linked Insurance Plans (ULIPs). SEBI has also issued a show-cause notice to all 
life insurance companies, including the biggest player Life Insurance 
Corporation (LIC), who sell such products. The insurance companies have been 
asked to explain as to why they have not taken SEBI's approval before selling 
ULIPs. 

SEBI's contention is that, ULIPs raise money from the public and the money is 
invested in a fund chosen by public and the valuation is through the Net Asset 
Value (NAV) methodology, which is unitised fund value. Thus having 
characteristics akin to mutual fund schemes, ULIP's should come under SEBI's 
jurisdiction. 

SEBI's display of authority has not gone well with IRDA. Mr. R. Kannan, Member 
of IRDA, said "ULIPs are internationally sold by insurance companies and not by 
any other segment of financial services. This product is structured as per 
international practice and is well within section 2(11) of the Insurance Act". 
He also said that he will take up this issue with the Government.

We feel this turf war between the respective regulators could affect the plans 
of life insurance companies aiming to come up with an Initial Public Offer and 
may also show a negative impact on the stock market, as it may dampen the 
investment spirit of fund managers of ULIPs. The faster this issue is resolved, 
one way or the other, the better for all concerned. 
 
Demat account for insurance soon 

Impact 

 Life insurance policyholders may soon be able to hold their policies in a 
demat mode. The Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA) is 
awaiting a proposal from the Life Insurance Council, which will allow life 
insurers to dematerialize life insurance policies, just like shares. The 
12-member committee of the council is expected to submit its recommendations to 
IRDA for approval. The proposal of dematerializing the policies holds the 
following merits:

For policyholders: 

Ready disclosure of all policy-related information, including commissions and 
fees paid to the insurer, exact benefits offered, premium payment, renewal 
related dates and the terms and conditions for the risk covered 

Saves them the hassle of maintaining all related documents till the term of the 
policy

Gives a comprehensive one point snap shot of all policies taken. 
For Insurers: 

Significantly save on distribution costs 

 Smoother operations
Currently, the Life Insurance Council's committee is checking whether the 
technology available with the two depositories - NSDL and CDSL is suitable, and 
if all required information related to different types of life insurance 
policies can be handled by the respective depositories.

We think that the move is pro-investor and is also an attempt to infuse 
transparency and ease in buying and managing a life insurance policy.  
INTERVIEW

In an interview with the Economic Times, Mr. Anand Shah, Head of Equities at 
Canara Robeco Asset Management Company expressed his view on the challenges, 
India's economy and equity market faces in the foreseeable future. 

Mr. Shah believes that 8-9% GDP growth rate can be achieved but it cannot be 
taken for granted. It will depend upon a lot of factors such as sustenance of 
global economic recovery, infrastructure creation at a faster pace, revival in 
private sector capex and above all the rate at which fiscal stimulus and 
monetary easing are withdrawn in light of the rising inflationary pressures. 

He opines that economic recovery worldwide is still at an early stage. 
Inflation pressures too are very high due to high food prices. He expects RBI 
to wait and watch in the coming weeks, till it is sure of sustained economic 
recovery. He feels that equities will remain range bound for the next 12 
months, especially till economic growth comes back fully and dependence on 
policy support is reduced. 

He believes that in the long-term markets are always driven by earnings and in 
the short-term driven by liquidity. In the short-term liquidity driven markets 
provide an opportunity to buy companies at attractive valuations during panic. 

Mr. Shah is bullish on sectors such as banking & financial services, 
pharmaceuticals, media & entertainment, power, FMCG, telecom and organised 
retailing. 
 
AND OTHER NEWS...

The Bajaj group plans to enter the banking business and is considering applying 
for a license through its financial services arm - Bajaj Finserv. Mr. Sanjiv 
Bajaj, Managing Director of the company said "we are keen to enter the banking 
business and will consider applying for a license once RBI comes out with 
regulations allowing Non-Banking Finance Companies (NBFCs) to convert 
themselves into banks".


Banks have moved the Finance Ministry to make available deduction under section 
80C of the Income Tax Act, 1961, to 3 year term fixed deposits. As per the Bank 
Term Deposit Scheme, 2006, currently this deduction is available only on 
investments in term deposits of 5 year maturity in a scheduled bank. We feel 
that this measure will encourage depositors to deploy their savings in 3 year 
term deposits since they avail of tax benefits and also reap assured returns on 
such term deposits.


A body constituted by SEBI has recommended that shareholding pattern of all 
credit rating agencies should be made public so that the relationship, if any, 
with the rated company could be known.


 Foreign exchange reserves rose by $ 899 million during the week ended January 
15, 2010 to $ 285.1 billion. This was mainly on account of revaluation of 
non-dollar assets in reserves. 


The Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) expects India to grow at 9.2% 
in 2010-11, due to strong performance expected in industrial and agricultural 
sector. 




IN THIS ISSUE 

RBI Credit Policy Review - CRR increased, liquidity squeezed!!
Equity Markets feels inflationary pressures
SEBI and IRDA crossing swords over ULIPs
Demat account for insurance soon 
Interview
And Other News 
Financial Terms. Simplified. 

  



 

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FINANCIAL TERMS. SIMPLIFIED. 

Unit Linked Insurance Plan - ULIP: A type of insurance vehicle in which the 
policyholder purchases units at their net asset values and also makes 
contributions toward another investment vehicle. Unit linked insurance plans 
allow for the coverage of an insurance policy, and provide the option to invest 
in any number of qualified investments, such as stock, bonds or mutual funds.

(Source: www.investopedia.com) 
QUOTE OF THE WEEK 

"The key to making money in stocks is not to get scared out of them".

- Peter Lynch 

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