Dr. Praveen Kumar's Psephological Survey for TN BJP in 2024 Parliament elections!
Size of TN electorate - 6.18 Crores (61800000) Percentage of population by communities and sections! Brahmin - 3% Minorities - 13% Dalit - 17% Vanniyar - 16% Kongu Vellalar - 10 Mudaliar - 8% Linguistic Minorities - 11% Hindu Nadar - 8% Mukkulathor - 9% Eligible voters by communities and sections! Brahmin - 1854000 Minorities - 8034000 Dalit - 10506000 Vanniyar - 9888000 Kongu Vellalar - 6180000 Mudaliar - 4944000 Linguistic Minorities - 6798000 Hindu Nadar - 4944000 Mukkulathor - 5562000 Percentage of votes led BJP would fetch from different communities and sections according to surveys! Brahmin - 83% Minorities - 6% Dalit - 14% Vanniyar - 22% Kongu Vellalar - 45% Mudaliar - 25% Linguistic Minorities - 35% Hindu Nadar - 45% Mukkulathor - 28% Number of votes Annamalai led BJP would fetch by communities and sections! Brahmin - 1538820 Minorities - 441870 Dalit - 1470840 Vanniyar - 2125920 Kongu Vellalar - 2781000 Mudaliar - 1236000 Linguistic Minorities - 2379300 Hindu Nadar - 2224800 Mukkulathor - 1557360 Total votes BJP will get in 2024 in TN - 15755910 Potential vote percentage of BJP in TN - 25.4% Never in the history of Tamil Nadu, BJP has touched double digit, but 2024 will be a game changer where BJP will cross the 25% mark. Alliance calculations may change this number for good! With this, my psephologically study concludes. My next project is to do a constituency wise assessment in the coming weeks and publish a report in March! KR IRS 1324 It means 125 to 150 seats in TN if assembly also conducted; but 24 to 30 MP seats. -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Thatha_Patty" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/thatha_patty/CAL5XZooxg2JP5YKO3OVe_DgnfsT-ot6qXoOxmdHYYk8ENdRbNw%40mail.gmail.com.
