The Case For A Generous Income Tax Cut In 2025-26 Union Budget

R Jagannathan swarajya

Jan 28, 2025, 11:57 AM | Updated 11:57 AM IST



Income tax is what makes even honest people dishonest

Income tax is what makes even honest people dishonest

Income tax on individual earnings is the worst possible way to bankroll
government spending.

It is probably too late to make any real changes to the Union Budget
2025-26, which will be presented this Saturday (1 February). But if I were
the finance minister, I would offer a strong dose of income tax cuts for
individuals.

My case is both ideological and practical, necessitated by economic trends
and shocks likely in the coming fiscal year (2025-26).

Ideologically, I have never been a great fan of personal income tax, and,
if at all such a tax must be levied, I would prefer a flat tax of, say, 15
per cent, after a high basic exemption.

Ninety-nine per cent of people should not have to pay any income tax at
all. Any income earned by any individual, whether from work or capital
investments (dividends, interest, etc), can then be taxed at a flat 15 per
cent, which would also remove the special treatment of investment incomes
from capital gains.

I believe that the bulk of government spending must be financed by indirect
taxes and corporate taxes. An ideal tax would be a tax on expenditure, but
since this would be a tough system to administer, the second-best
alternative is indirect tax, including customs, excise, and goods and
services tax (GST).

Also, when an entire sector — agriculture — pays no income tax at all,
indirect taxes on goods and services are the best way to get them to pay
for public spending.

Indirect taxes have the advantage of being less visible to the consumer,
which is why the Left hates them. They prefer to gouge taxes out of the
rich, and they want this to be viscerally visible.

But indirect taxes are a relatively painless way of collecting revenues,
because, for the consumer, it is the price that counts, not the in-built
taxes. If they cannot afford something, they can choose not to buy it. In
the case of income, you will be robbed by the state whether you like it or
not.

For 2025-26, I would advocate a tax-free income of Rs 10 lakh for those
opting for the new income tax regime, which has lower rates but with no
deductions. For the rest, it can be at Rs 5 lakh.

Coming to the practical side of why a tax cut is needed this year, this is
my logic:

One, the economy is slowing down, and hence a small stimulus through a
broad-based income tax cut is one way of increasing consumption and
consumer spending, especially on discretionary products and services.

Two, the global environment post the inauguration of Donald Trump may
inhibit trade-based economic activity as tariffs could rise. If Trump wants
to increase America’s tax revenues through higher tariffs — we don’t know
how far he will go in this direction — his tariffs will be countered with
retaliatory tariffs, including some by India.

This implies that we need to boost the domestic economy through a stimulus
and also fund the tax cuts through higher customs duties on specific
products (or entire countries) in ways that are not harmful to our own
economy. One can presume that any loss on the income tax revenue side can
partly be made up from higher customs or GST hikes.

Third, if individuals spend more, and this shows up in corporate profits,
some of the revenues lost can be recouped from corporations.

Fourth, most sane people resent having to pay high taxes, especially income
taxes. Income tax is what makes even honest people dishonest. For example,
people avoid GST because they don’t want to show a turnover level at which
the income tax people think they are hiding income. A flat tax or even the
elimination of income tax for the vast majority of people will make people
more ethical than they are now.

If the experiment with tax cutting works, we should carry the idea forward
next year and the years after that. Income tax on individual earnings is
the worst possible way to bankroll government spending. I hope we start
making this shift this year.

The only people who love income tax are people from the Left, who like to
wear the moral mantle of Robin Hood. But governments are not Robin Hoods.
To buy votes, they become Tax Hoodlums.

K RAJARAM IRS 28125

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