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*Subject:* COORDINATION, PLS READ, SHARE EVERYONE, IF THE FOLLOWING IS TRUE, RUSSIA WOULD GET THE BRUNT OF WAR BECAUSE THE USA OF OBLIGATED TO DEFEND NATO PARTNERS WITH FORCE. TAIWAN FOR THE USA IS JUST A TRADING PARTNER, BUT NATO FORCES US TO TAKE MILITARY ACTION, DOES RUSSIA WANT A FULL SCALE WAR, WHILE CHINA JUST TAKES TAIWAN? ON THE OTHER HAND, THE MILITARY ESCALATION OVER TAIWAN WOULD BE MORE OF A SEA WAR WHEREAS WITH RUSSIA IT WOULD BE A LAND AND AIR WAR, SO IT IS POSSIBLE THAT WE COULD DO BOTH AT THE SAME TIME. Is Russia getting ready to invade Europe and ---------------coordinating with China, ie, a simultaneous invasion of Europe and Taiwan. Oct 14, 2025Share <https://olgalautman.substack.com/p/little-green-men-spotted-near-estonia?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjo1OTA3MjYwMSwicG9zdF9pZCI6MTc2MTQ5MjI0LCJpYXQiOjE3NjA1MjcwOTYsImV4cCI6MTc2MzExOTA5NiwiaXNzIjoicHViLTM4MjYyNiIsInN1YiI6InBvc3QtcmVhY3Rpb24ifQ.WnT1M7oa7a2yArXHBoZxAhu8txHO8QujODkLRSLlEUs> While the United States remains consumed by internal turmoil, ---------------Russia has intensified its military and shadow operations against NATO countries. In the latest incident last week, Estonian border guards reported that seven armed men in unmarked uniforms appeared near the Saatse Boot, a narrow strip of Russian territory that cuts through southeastern Estonia. Their presence was brief but concerning, prompting Estonian authorities to close the nearby road as a precaution. The incident resembles Russia’s 2014 invasion of Ukraine, ---------------when unmarked Russian troops—known as the “little green men”—were deployed in Crimea in February 2014 to probe Ukrainian defenses and seize key sites ahead of Moscow’s illegal annexation of the peninsula and ongoing bloody occupation of parts of Donbas. According to Künter Pedoski, the operational manager of Estonia’s Southern Prefecture, border guards observed a larger-than-usual Russian presence near the Saatse Boot on Friday. “Russian border guards routinely patrol the area, as it lies within their territory,” Pedoski told *ERR <https://www.err.ee/1609826676/ppa-sulges-ajutiselt-saatse-saapa-labisoidu>*. “However, today we noticed significantly more movement than usual and decided to close the road to prevent possible provocations or incidents. Our priority is the safety of the people of Estonia.” Recent months have seen a sharp escalation in Russia’s shadow war, ---------------with drone incursions into Polish, Lithuanian, and Romanian airspace, ---------------repeated violations by Russian fighter jets over the Baltic region. On September 19, three Russian MiG-31 fighters entered Estonian airspace over the Gulf of Finland and remained for approximately twelve minutes before being intercepted—one of the most serious airspace breaches in recent years. Estonian Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna said ---------------Russia has intensified operations against Western countries, using both direct and indirect methods to test NATO’s response and resilience. Though Russia’s aggression toward NATO has been building for over a decade, its latest -----------------escalations began shortly before the start of the Zapad 2025 military exercises held in Belarus in September. The drills, ---------------which Moscow routinely uses as cover to move troops and heavy weapons, ---------------have once again blurred the line between training and potential provocation. In the weeks leading up to Zapad, ---------------Russia intensified -drone incursions, -airspace violations, and -hybrid operations ---------------across Eastern Europe. Combined with ongoing -cyberattacks and -sabotage ---------------targeting European energy and transport infrastructure, these actions make clear that Moscow’s bloody imperial ambitions—warnings many dismissed for years—and its war intentions are no longer speculative ---------------but unfolding in real time. Russia has a well-documented record of using Zapad exercises for deception: ---------------the fall 2021 drills, conducted jointly with Belarus, were used to -pre-position troops, -tanks, and -artillery ---------------along Ukraine’s border under the guise of training— forces that remained in place and ---------------were later deployed in the February 2022 full-scale invasion. The reappearance of the “little green men” --------------is another warning that warrants close monitoring. Russia first used this tactic in 2014, ---------------when troops without insignia seized strategic sites across Crimea under the fabricated pretense of “local unrest” while the Kremlin maintained plausible deniability. That same method of covert escalation—relying on --deniable forces, --cyberattacks, and --sabotage ---------------rather than open warfare—remains central to Moscow’s strategy. Instead of engaging NATO directly, ---------------Russia applies continuous pressure through -drone incursions, -cyber operations, and -energy disruptions ---------------designed to erode stability, exploit hesitation, and ---------------test how far it can push -before the West is willing to respond. Across Europe, the pattern is now impossible to ignore. In late August, as Vladimir Putin was in China ingratiating himself with Xi Jinping— whose regime has enabled and abetted Russia’s full-scale genocidal invasion of Ukraine ----------------the Kremlin escalated its shadow war by targeting the European Union’s top leadership. A charter plane carrying European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen WAS hit by GPS jamming as it attempted to land in Bulgaria, forcing the pilots to abandon their instruments and rely on paper maps to land safely ---------------an incident that underscored both the danger of the moment and the deliberate intent behind the attack. Last month, ---nineteen Russian drones violated Polish airspace, -----several launched directly from Belarus ----------------in what Warsaw described as deliberate incursions meant to test air defenses and political resolve. At the end of last month, -----------------unidentified drones *were spotted <https://www.cnn.com/2025/09/22/europe/copenhagen-oslo-airport-closed-drones-int-latam>* over Denmark and Sweden for several days, ----forcing temporary airport shutdowns and ---triggering air defense alerts; In Denmark, -----------------a drone was observed hovering near a military base, an act officials privately described as a clear intelligence-gathering operation. In early October, ----------------similar drone activity was reported over Norway, prompting ---heightened military readiness and ---temporary airspace restrictions across the region. In Germany, -----------------coordinated arson attacks on high-voltage power lines caused ---widespread blackouts that ---disrupted public transport. In the Baltic Sea, -----------------unmarked vessels suspected of espionage have been ---detected near undersea cables and pipelines, raising fears of another act of sabotage. And, France just last week *reported <https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/10/13/russian-navy-denies-technical-malfunction-forced-submarine-to-surface-near-france-a90794>* a ----------------Russian submarine surfacing without warning off its coast—publicly dismissed as a technical malfunction but ---privately assessed by NATO officials as a calculated show of presence. Each of these incidents is part of a deliberate strategy; -----------------Russia is methodically probing ---NATO’s borders, ---airspace, and ---infrastructure to measure --response times, --identify weaknesses, and -------------------demonstrate that it can destabilize Europe at will while avoiding open war. Meanwhile, at a NATO Parliamentary Assembly in Ljubljana, Secretary General Mark Rutte finally addressed a very plausible scenario that has received little attention until now. He stated that --------------------if China moved to attack Taiwan, --------------------Russia would likely strike NATO countries at the same time to distract the alliance. Rutte described this as --------------------a likely scenario in which China would pressure its “junior partner,” Russia, to create a crisis in Europe, --forcing NATO to divide its attention and --resources between two fronts. The warning underscores growing concern that -----authoritarian states are --coordinating their actions --to stretch Western defenses— ---------------------something many who have closely monitored Russia’s shadow war have warned about for years, ---as Moscow and Beijing increasingly synchronize --their military, --cyber, and --disinformation strategies --------------------to undermine the West’s ability to respond. Evidence supports that assessment. A report by the *RUSI <https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/how-russia-helping-china-prepare-seize-taiwan>* Institute in London, based on hundreds of leaked Russian documents, --------------------shows that Moscow has been supplying China with -equipment, -technology, and -training --------------------that could be used for an -airborne or -amphibious assault on Taiwan. The analysis describes -------------------Russian transfers of --parachute systems, --amphibious vehicles, and --troop training that ---------------would help China build the capability to conduct large-scale air landings. In exchange, Russia gains financial and logistical support for its ongoing genocidal war in Ukraine and deepens its strategic ties with Beijing. NATO is finally beginning to take this threat seriously and ---------------views a simultaneous crisis—Russia in Europe and China in the Pacific—as a realistic possibility. The purpose of such coordination would be to ---divide U.S. and European attention, ---weaken NATO’s deterrence posture, and ---create confusion in global response planning. The same hybrid warfare model that Russia has used in Ukraine and along NATO’s borders ---------------could easily be replicated in Asia through --cyberattacks, --sabotage, and --disinformation campaigns ---------------timed to coincide with conventional military operations. Russia’s tactics are designed to operate in the gray zone, with each --violation, --cyberattack, or --act of sabotage being small enough to avoid triggering Article 5 of the NATO Treaty but large enough to create instability and test Western unity. Over time, these actions --normalize aggression and ---convince European societies -----------------that escalation is inevitable. The strategy is simple— maintain constant pressure, keep Europe reactive, and exploit hesitation. What began as isolated incidents such as unmarked soldiers on a rural road, drones over European countries, and arson attacks in Germany has ---------------evolved into a sustained campaign to try and --undermine NATO’s credibility and --erode public trust in collective defense. At the same time, ---China’s continued military preparations around Taiwan, ---combined with its growing defense cooperation with Russia, ---------------suggest a broader plan to challenge the West on multiple fronts. If conflict were to erupt in the Pacific, ---------------Europe could face immediate attacks designed to paralyze NATO’s ability to respond. This phase of Russian activity reflects a long-term strategy to --pressure, --exhaust, and --divide the alliance ---------------while coordinating with China ----to reshape the global balance of power. Russia’s actions near Estonia, Poland, Denmark, and the Baltic Sea ---------------are not random provocations, ---------------but deliberate steps in a global campaign linking Moscow’s war in Europe with Beijing’s ambitions in Asia. The reappearance of the “little green men” on NATO’s border is more than a historical echo; ---------------it is a warning that Russia’s objective is to --make the alliance question its own red lines, --hesitate in its deterrence, and --repeat the same mistake made in 2014, ---------------when the failure to act decisively after the initial invasion of Ukraine ---------------and the endless debate over what constituted an invasion allowed Moscow to --consolidate its gains, ---rewrite the rules, and ---------------ultimately pave the way for the full-scale invasion launched in 2022. -- *Mar* -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Thatha_Patty" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/thatha_patty/CACDCHCLOpPcHDdPSg2VZxzj5sz8n1C%2BzRrrWkJixvc%2BAWu00zA%40mail.gmail.com.
