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Article Title:
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That Futures Market Thing Is Here In the Secondary Ticket Market

Article Description:
====================

Since 1989, we've been on a quest to address and overcome the
legal, economic and ethical concerns of those who find something
unseemly about secondary ticket markets, aka  ticket scalping.
Slowly but surely, legislators and regulators saw the benefits
and beauty of a free market for tickets, and once-banished ticket
resales came out into the light, emerging from their homes in
raincoats, back rooms, and trunks.


Additional Article Information:
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1419 Words; formatted to 65 Characters per Line
Distribution Date and Time: 2008-02-21 12:36:00

Written By:     Stephen K. Happel and Marianne M. Jennings
Copyright:      2008
Contact Email:  mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]



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That Futures Market Thing Is Here In the Secondary Ticket Market
Copyright (c) 2008 Stephen K. Happel and Marianne M. Jennings
AuthorityTickets.com
http://www.authoritytickets.com



Since 1989, we've been on a quest to address and overcome the
legal, economic and ethical concerns of those who find something
unseemly about secondary ticket markets, aka  ticket scalping.
Slowly but surely, legislators and regulators saw the benefits
and beauty of a free market for tickets, and once-banished ticket
resales came out into the light, emerging from their homes in
raincoats, backrooms, and trunks.  Enter the Internet, a medium
perfectly suited for the creation of a national ticket market. 
Also enter, at the same time of the dot-com explosion, great
personal wealth.  Ease of trading and cash brought new dimensions
and volume to the ticket market.  

By 2002, we were suggesting that the ticket market had progressed
to a point that hedging, a futures market for tickets, was the
way to go.  Oddly, however, there is still resistance, from major
league sports teams, some states, and even monopolists who still
want to control those secondary ticket sales.  The free market
has done us proud in its ability to make tickets available at
lower prices.  Emotional voices still rise up with cries of "Not
fair!" and "Foul!" to try and grab control, profits, and whatever
other touchy, feely points get in the way of market efficiencies
(the only way fairness ever works).  Success-to-date should not
find us resting on laurels.  Issues-to-be-revolved and
work-to-be-done remain.  Herewith a look at some issues.

 What Are Major-Event Tickets?  Licenses?  Call Options? 

For major events held in stadiums, arenas, amphitheaters, or
concert halls with limited seating capacity, there are several
schools of thought on what a ticket really is:

 They are a revocable license (i.e., the Patriots can take those
season tickets back at any time and most tickets have something
about revocation and/or license on them);

 They are personal property (chattels as the Brits say) and
ticket holders have the right to buy, sell, devise, bequeath,
gift an do whatever can be done with other property such as a
bike, a car, or a computer;

 They are call options, i.e.,  bearer instruments.  The holder
has the right, but not the obligation, to occupy a certain seat
over a certain period of time Or, in effect, call in the seat or
shares, if so desired.

Depending on where a state lands in ticket classification will
control its destiny and, more importantly for us, where the
ticket market goes.  If tickets are licenses, then forget about a
futures market.  If the team can revoke your license at any time,
well you can't deal in futures.  If a ticket is a physical
chattel, so also are there limits on futures markets because
chattels require physical transfer, often fancy titles, and other
mumbo jumbo for passing title that hearkens back to feudal
England.  But if tickets are essentially call options, then it
would follow that such bearer instruments of value would be
traded in a nationally-organized futures market, just as call
options are currently.  In fact, this year's Super Bowl finds a
futures market, courtesy of two MIT MBA students who drew on our
work, using the tools, access and customers of the Internet to
create a national exchange (yoonew.com).  Why, if you had
purchased an option in their futures market before the Giants
squared off for their final confrontation with Green Bay, $86
would have found you a seat.  As the game progressed, the price
of the options rose, depending on which team you hedging. 
Touchdowns bring a spike.  Missed downs bring a drop. 
 
Think of the market opportunities for the NCAA Final Four tickets
or the Masters golf tournament.  We could even see it on Britney
Spears's concerts – what are the odds she would actually make
the performance? What a challenge for arbitragers!  Football and
basketball games may be easier to forecast.  

Any Obstacles to the Future and Futures Markets?

With the possible exception of Massachusetts, the states have
found their ways to the free market, or are not using existing
laws for curbing secondary market trades.  And there are no
federal laws imposing national restrictions or rules on ticket
scalping. In 1998, Congressman Gary Ackerman (D-NY) tried to
introduce the Ticket Scalping Reduction Act which, if passed,
would have prohibited the sale of five or more tickets in a
single transaction at a markup in excess of $5.00 or 10 percent
of printed face value (whichever is greater). In a rare example
of collective economic intelligence on both sides of the
Congressional aisle, no cosponsors came forward and hearings were
never held on the Ackerman bill. 

However, there are those state and local laws on licenses and
chattels, not directed specifically at tickets, that interfere
with the bearer nature of tickets.  And bearer character is
necessary for a futures market to work.  Quirky team practices,
based on these archaic property principles, stand as barriers to
open trading. Teams such as the Packers have waiting lists for
season tickets.  If you signed up this year, you would be next in
line to get tickets in the year 3074. Let's hope the Favre genes
carry through for multiple generations.  If a ticket is a
chattel, the wait and its physical nature are part and parcel of
the legal protection for the Packers' position.  Worse are the
Patriots.  This franchise revokes the season tickets of those who
are caught reselling tickets over a certain price, and the
Patriots ask their Internet agent to report names of those
sellers for purposes of revocation.  If a ticket is a license,
the Patriots have that absolute right of revocation.  

There was a loophole in our thinking on ticket resales and the
laws regulating them.  The successful elimination of barriers to
ticket resales was a brilliant coup.  But some of the teams had a
coup d'état that trumped the market reforms.  They went back to
the old common law on licenses, something deeply embedded in U.S.
laws:  tickets are licenses that can be revoked at any time by
the grantor and for any reason. And a futures market cannot
function with the heavy hand of common law controlling the very
subject of its trades.      
 
So why wouldn't the owners and promoters just join in on the
futures market and share in the profits?  More developed
secondary markets could only help owners and promoters by
providing greater information on seat prices.  But, there is a
wrinkle that the futures market does not address: owners and
promoters lose the concession sales that are stripped away from
the entertainment package in a futures market.  They price
tickets, whether concert or sporting event, below what the market
will bear because of goodwill or to drive demand or as a bit of a
loss leader.  Complementary sales, the snacks, the shirts, the
programs, are the real profit margins for owners and promoters.
They underprice tickets for psychological reasons knowing that
what the market will bear comes in the backdoor through the
"stuff" they sell at the venue.  

And other potential market participants have their reasons for
opposition to a futures market. Ticketmaster and other designated
agents for primary ticket sales, being dependent on primary
seller prices, are averse to creating a brave new world of
secondary sales, unless, of course, they can control those
secondary sales. That secondary market control is precisely what
many designated ticket agents are trying to do, legislatively and
otherwise – make themselves the exclusive primary AND secondary
sellers.  Working together, they are cutting out the possibility
of a futures market.  Monopolists often find their way to
monopolies through vertical relationships.

Many small ticket brokers and street scalpers are opposed to a
nationally organized market as well.  Such a market would mean
that local customers are no longer highly dependent on them to
secure good seats for special events.  In fact, the general trend
does not look promising for small, highly localized sellers even
if a nationally organized market does not form. Online trading,
where secondary sellers and buyers can bypass middlemen, is a
powerful and growing force that eliminates the need for the small
broker.

A futures market is the future.  But, that market still must
grapple with the piecemeal classification of tickets, the
complementary sales factor, and the resistance by those who have
profited for so long, primary and secondary, from the traditional
and restricted sales and distribution systems for tickets for
one-time or limited seating events.  The ticket market is opening
up as never before, but work remains, on everything from the law
of chattels to persuasion of those whose businesses will change
with the new market dynamic





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Professor Stephen K. Happel is a Professor of Economics and Professor Marianne 
M. Jennings a Professor of Legal and Ethical Studies in the College of Business 
at Arizona State University. They have contributed to 
http://www.authoritytickets.com – A secondary ticket market blog Authority 
Tickets


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