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Bad Parlay Odds On Football Picks

Article Description:
====================

Football betting in its various forms is a passion enjoyed by
many people throughout the world. Parlay tickets are a popular
method the public uses for football betting. Betting on parlay
tickets (sometimes referred to as accumulator tickets in Europe)
are what I will be discussing in this article.


Additional Article Information:
===============================

582 Words; formatted to 65 Characters per Line
Distribution Date and Time: 2008-06-25 12:00:00

Written By:     Kurt Schumacher
Copyright:      2008
Contact Email:  mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]



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Bad Parlay Odds On Football Picks
Copyright (c) 2008 Kurt Schumacher
Football Forecasters
http://www.footballforecasters.com



Football betting in its various forms is a passion enjoyed by
many people throughout the world. There are many ways everyday
folks will bet on football games, some of the more common are:
office pool picks, fantasy football contests, Super Bowl boards,
straight up wagers, casual bets, and perhaps most popular -
parlay tickets. Parlay tickets are a popular method the public
uses for football betting. Betting on parlay tickets (sometimes
referred to as accumulator tickets in Europe) are what I want to
focus this discussion about.

Living in Reno Nevada you will find somewhere on the ticket the
payout odds. Now just about all tickets where the player picks
more than two teams (sides or totals) the odds are considerably
against you to cash that ticket in. Yet the potentially lucrative
payout still entices thousands of people every week to play the
game and circle their best football picks on a given ticket - and
usually they lose. That said, if you're going to play parlay
tickets outside of Nevada it's very important to know the
language of the payout odds. If you're in the practice of
placing sports bets more than a couple of times a year then its
imperative that the bettor understand the payout odds.

The skilled sports bettor (whether the sport be tennis, horse
racing, soccer or NFL football) primarily plays his picks
straight-up. However, two-team parlay tickets can also be a
lucrative style of betting picks. Rarely does a professional
bettor place his betting action on anything greater than a 3-team
ticket. The odds simply are not in the punter's favor.

Let's examine the payout language of a common 3 pick parlay. In
Nevada, Europe, or playing at an offshore book, the odds on the
ticket will typically read 6 to 1 for picking three (3) outcomes
correctly. If you're playing the ticket from a corner bookie you
will often find the odds read 6 for 1 for picking three outcomes
correctly (sides or totals). There is a subtle but very
formidable difference in the language of the payout odds.
Wagering $100 dollars and correctly picking three out of three
winners on a ticket that pays 6 to 1 would net the bettor $600
dollars. That same wager ($100) on a ticket that pays 6 for 1
would net the bettor $500 dollars! That's a 17% reduction in
profits, and a deal breaker for knowledgeable bettors.

Consider this, that because of the juice, you have to win at
least 52.5 percent of your wagers to break even (with straight up
wagers). If you're really good you will do well to win 53 to 63
percent out of a 100 wagers. If you're exceptionally good you
might hit 66% of your wagers in a good year (that would be a very
good year). If you hit 63% of your picks out of a 100, playing
all 3-team parlays that would likely be a winning season if you
played in Europe, at an offshore book, or Nevada. However, if you
hit the same 63% of your sports picks playing with the local
corner bookie, who only paid out 6 for 1 odds - that would be a
losing betting season.

So the moral of this dissertation is to know the meaning of the
language on your parlay tickets. Understand the significance of
the "to" versus the "for" when picking a parlay ticket to
place your action on. If the pay-out odds on the ticket says
"for" just run. 




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Kurt Schumacher is an Editor at Football Forecasters, where he 
provides football commentary, and College and NFL Picks, leading 
up to and during each football season. Football Forecasters has 
been providing NFL football picks since 1999, through its public 
and membership websites. When you live for gridiron action, 
Football Forecasters should be on your browser's homepage. 
Get started now at: http://www.footballforecasters.com/


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