Disks are 5x cheaper now, but the projections are for more rapid price drops for solid state than happened for hard drives.... even the 40 and 80 GB ones...
and that five years from now, 80 percent of the market will be going to solid state drives between 160 GB and 400 GB at prices similar to what hard drives go for today... The price drops we have seen since 2003 have been breathtaking... Who then thought we could eventually buy 160 GB drives for $57 and 320 GB for $80 back then, or 80 GB drives for $33 to $39 which I saw yesterday. The initial affect will be on New laptops. As soon as the new solidstate drives prove reliable, we will see marketing switch... maybe even by the Christmas market this year, but certainly by high school and college graduation next May. The solid state drives do not work well yet, but all the memory makers are already dividing up the market... the first one to figger it out will likely be Samsung... with Fujitsu, Seagate, and Toshiba close behind.. The first problem to overcome is how to make them work better than they do now... reliability, then speed, and size will come later. Not many people need 500Gb drives, and they are not selling well, even at $100, because long-term reliability is still in question RB On Wed, Jun 10, 2009 at 1:28 AM, tOM Trottier <[email protected]> wrote: > On Saturday, June 06, 2009 at 0:54, > STeve Andre' <[email protected]>wrote: > > | But 500G disks are less than $100, so getting one (or six) is reasonable > if > | you are lusting for more space. > | > | The writing is on the wall however; SSDs will catch up and eventually > kill > | hard disks. While I'm waiting for a 8T disk in my thinkpad (just as I > lusted > | after 300G in my laptop in '99), we're going to have to live with disks a > | bit longer. > > Depends. Disks are still 5x cheaper for the same amount of storage, and > new technology > seems to keep this trend going, as well as making them faster. Now if the > diskmakers > start to put some flash cache on their disks, and load it up with the boot > stuff when they > turn off, they would likely keep the workstation market. > > The server market will likely be mostly flash, not just for fast access, > but to reduce > power. > > tOM-- > "It is by riding a bicycle that you learn the contours of a > country best, since you have to sweat up the hills and coast > down them. Thus you remember them as they actually are, > while in a motor car only a high hill impresses you, and > you have no such accurate remembrance of country you > have driven through as you gain by riding a bicycle." ~ > Ernest Hemingway > tOM Trottier +1 613 860-6633 > http://Information.Architecture.Abacurial.com > Est-ce c'est necessaire d'imprimer ce courriel? / Do you > really need to print this email? > > > _______________________________________________ > Thinkpad mailing list > [email protected] > http://stderr.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/thinkpad > _______________________________________________ Thinkpad mailing list [email protected] http://stderr.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/thinkpad
