One starting point to figure out the 10 years aging can be the
datasheet of an OCXO:
MTI240: per year, 3.0E-7, in 10 years must be less than 30.0E-7
MTI220: per year, 1.0E-6, in 10 years < 10.0E-6
Bliley NV26R: 17 years, 5.0E-6
OSA8663: per year, 3.0E-8, in 10 years < 30.0E-8

On Fri, Nov 18, 2016 at 11:48 PM, Bob Camp <kb...@n1k.org> wrote:
> Hi
>
>
>
>> On Nov 18, 2016, at 1:31 PM, Lars Walenius <lars.walen...@hotmail.com> wrote:
>>
>> Hi Bob (and all others),
>>
>> I agree to all your points but am curious to your comment: ”that OCXO is 
>> aging a lot for one that has been on that long”.
>> As I have only done this test and seen no other test of OCXO´s powered over 
>> at least ten years, I have no idea what is reasonable. I also guess I will 
>> not do another test of an OCXO powered and measured over ten years again.
>>
>> Could you give some examples what is reasonable for aging after ten years? 
>> Maybe others have data? I have searched internet and it isn´t easy to find 
>> long-term data on OCXO’s (at least for me).
>
> The only people I know of that have the gear and the interest to run a number 
> of OCXO’s are oscillator manufacturers. They also track parts
> in the field by various methods. The data takes real effort to collect and 
> thus is “part of our IP”.
>
> Bob
>
>>
>> This oscillator drifted about 60ppm between 1month on to ten years on . Do 
>> others have figures what is reasonable over this time span?
>>
>> For point 1: Is it possible from the aging curve to have some ideas what is 
>> going on??
>>
>> Lars
>>
>> >Från: Bob Camp
>> >Skickat: den 17 november 2016 01:03
>> >Hi
>>
>> >Your data demonstrates a couple of things:
>>
>> >1) There are a number of different things going on with that OCXO and some 
>> >things are a lot less predictable than others.
>> >2) Oscillators do drop rate while on power.
>> >3) Oscillators that age a lot are easier to model (yes, that OCXO is aging 
>> >a lot for one that has been on that long).
>>
>> >Bob
>>
>> >> On Nov 16, 2016, at 2:41 PM, Lars Walenius <lars.walen...@hotmail.com> 
>> >> wrote:
>> >>
>> >> FWIW. Between 2001 and 2011 I run a 5MHz OCXO (in a box). It is a 2x3inch 
>> >> type without EFC marked OFC MC834X4-009W with date code 97. Probably it 
>> >> was from some base station testing and it had been sitting in my shelf 
>> >> since 98. The OCXO were battery backed but at two occasions (2004 and 
>> >> 2007) we had power fails that drained the battery as can be seen in the 
>> >> graph.
>> >>
>> >> Just out of curiosity I yesterday put just the first thirty days (like in 
>> >> the pdf mentioned below) and let Excel calculate the logarithmic 
>> >> function. If I extrapolate that to 10 years it seems that the drift would 
>> >> be 6E-13/day but as can be seen in the aging graph it was more like ten 
>> >> times higher.
>> >>
>> >> Some days ago I started the OCXO again after it had been on the shelf for 
>> >> more than 4 years. Enclosed is a graph for the first 7 days. After six 
>> >> and half days it seems to be a jump of about 1.5E-10 and as I have no 
>> >> indication of anything else I believe it is from the OCXO.
>> >>
>> >> /Lars
>
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