Hi

On Thu, 21 Feb 2002, James Guinee wrote:
> On the other hand -- maybe not 80% of "high-status
> scientists" -- there are plenty of intelligent individuals
> who find no good reason to believe in many religious
> precepts, God, etc.

I did not pick 80% out of the blue.  Below is one brief summary
of some of the findings at:

http://www.lhup.edu/~dsimanek/sci_relig.htm

You will see that 80% might actually be on the low side, inasmuch
as less than 10% of respondents to a recent survey indicated
belief.  Of course, it is difficult to know for sure given the
non-respondents.  Also described briefly are results
Beit-Hallahmi's survey of Nobel Prize laureates.

Leading Scientists Still Reject God
The popular media balyhoo the fiction that science is supportive
of religion. A recent issue of Newsweek (July 20, 1998) featured
a cover story "Science finds God" which gave many innocent
readers the impression that scientists in droves were finding
scientific "evidence" allowing for God and an afterlife and were
jumping on the religion bandwagon. Some of these 1998 reports
were stimulated by a June 1998 Science and the Spiritual Quest
Conference organized by Robert John Russell, and sponsored by The
Center for Theology and the Natural Sciences (CTNS) at the
Graduate Theological Union in Berkeley. Since this is an
organization devoted to the reconcilation of science and religion
it's no surprise the the speakers were supportive of the idea of
the possibility of god and/or an afterlife, though some of the
papers were so speculative and abstruse that it's hard to tell
whether they were profound philosophy or mere moonshine. One
wonders whether some speakers came just for the stipend provided
by the John Templeton Foundation. Several Nobel-Prize winning
scientists gave papers at this meeting. The papers were mostly
philosophical and speculative. No new hard evidence was
produced. News reports failed to put these wishful speculations
in perspective by pointing out that most scientists are, in fact,
not religious. And the percent of "leading" scientists who hold
religious beliefs has been declining from around 30% in 1914 to
less than 10% in 1998. Wayne Spencer, editor of The Skeptical
Intelligencer (a publication of the Association for Skeptical
Inquiry) has provided me with this summary of an article in the
journal Nature which documents this fact.
[Links to the CTNS are provided above, but this does not mean
that I in any way endorse the opinions expressed at those web
sites. For a detailed critique of these bogus science
rationalizations, see Victor Stenger's excellent Has Science
Found God?, a draft of an article for Astronomy magzaine. For a
broader perspective on the science/religion questions, see these
Religion and Philosophy links and these Science, Religion and
Philosophy links. I also highly recommend Michael Koller's Essays
on Science, Philosophy, and Religion. Also see the skeptic links
on my web page.]  Donald E. Simanek.

[Summary of a paper that appeared in the 23 July 1998 issue of
Nature by Edward J. Larson and Larry Witham: "Leading Scientists
Still Reject God." Nature, 1998; 394, 313.]

Larson and Witham present the results of a replication of 1913
and 1933 surveys by James H. Leuba. In those surveys, Leuba
mailed a questionnaire to leading scientists asking about their
belief in "a God in intellectual and affective communication with
humankind" and in "personal immortality". Larson and Witham used
the same wording [as in the Leuba studies], and sent their
questionnaire to 517 members of the [U.S.] National Academy of
Sciences from the biological and physical sciences (the latter
including mathematicians, physicists and astronomers). The return
rate was slightly over 50%.

The results were as follows (figures in %):


     BELIEF IN PERSONAL GOD          1914   1933    1998

     Personal belief                 27.7    15       7.0
     Personal disbelief              52.7    68      72.2
     Doubt or agnosticism            20.9    17      20.8

     BELIEF IN IMMORTALITY           1914    1933    1998

     Personal belief                 35.2    18       7.9
     Personal disbelief              25.4    53      76.7
     Doubt or agnosticism            43.7    29      23.3

Note: The 1998 immortality figures add up to more than
100%. The misprint is in the original. The 76.7% is likely too
high.
The authors elaborated on these figures:


Disbelief in God and immortality among NAS biological scientists
was 65.2% and 69.0%, respectively, and among NAS physical
scientists it was 79.0% and 76.3%. Most of the rest were
agnostics on both issues, with few believers. We found the
highest percentage of belief among NAS mathematicians (14.3% in
God, 15.0% in immortality). Biological scientists had the lowest
rate of belief (5.5% in God, 7.1% in immortality), with
physicists and astronomers slightly higher (7.5% in God, 7.5% in
immortality). 
Larson and Witham close their report with the following remarks:

As we compiled our findings, the NAS issued a booklet encouraging
the teaching of evolution in public schools.... The booklet
assures readers, 'Whether God exists or not is a question about
which science is neutral'. NAS president Bruce Alberts
said: 'There are many very outstanding members of this academy
who are very religious people, people who believe in evolution,
many of them biologists.' Our survey suggests otherwise." 
There is a review of earlier studies of the religiosity of
scientists at pp 180ff of:

Benjamin Beit-Hallahmi and Michael Argyle. The Psychology of
Religious Behaviour, Belief and Experience. London & New
York: Routledge, 1997. ISBN: 0-415-12330-5 (hbk) or 0-415-12331-3
(pbk). 
On the subject of eminent scientists, they mention unpublished
data collected by one of the co-authors: "Beit-Hallahmi
(1988) found that among Nobel Prize laureates in the sciences, as
well as those in literature, there was a remarkable degree of
irreligiosity, as compared to the populations they came
from." The reference is to: Beit-Hallahmi, B. (1988). The
religiosity and religious affiliation of Nobel prize
winners. Unpublished data.

Best wishes
Jim

============================================================================
James M. Clark                          (204) 786-9757
Department of Psychology                (204) 774-4134 Fax
University of Winnipeg                  4L05D
Winnipeg, Manitoba  R3B 2E9             [EMAIL PROTECTED]
CANADA                                  http://www.uwinnipeg.ca/~clark
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