The following NY Times article should interest some on the list:
 
April 8, 2008
Findings

And Behind Door No. 1, a Fatal Flaw 

By JOHN TIERNEY
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/t/john_tiern
ey/index.html?inline=nyt-per> 
The Monty Hall Problem has struck again, and this time it's not merely
embarrassing mathematicians. If the calculations of a Yale economist are
correct, there's a sneaky logical fallacy in some of the most famous
experiments in psychology.
The economist, M. Keith Chen, has challenged research into cognitive
dissonance, including the 1956 experiment that first identified a
remarkable ability of people to rationalize their choices. Dr. Chen says
that choice rationalization could still turn out to be a real
phenomenon, but he maintains that there's a fatal flaw in the classic
1956 experiment and hundreds of similar ones. He says researchers have
fallen for a version of what mathematicians call the Monty Hall Problem,
in honor of the host of the old television show, "Let's Make a Deal." 
For the rest of the story go to:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/08/science/08tier.html?8dpc=
<http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/08/science/08tier.html?8dpc=&pagewanted=
print> &pagewanted=print
 
 
 

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