Hi

Although the population sampled is not random and might lead to low estimates 
of distance between people, it would also be worth noting that computer 
connected is only one form of connection between people, which would lead to 
high estimates of distance.  How one could operationally measure more diverse 
forms of connection could be challenging.

Take care
Jim

James M. Clark
Professor of Psychology
204-786-9757
204-774-4134 Fax
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

>>> "Jim Clark" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> 03-Aug-08 2:47 PM >>>
Hi

To elaborate on Michael's point, the sampling of the human population
in Microsoft's demonstration is highly biased ... owners of computers,
users of instance messaging, ....  The massive size of the sample is
absolutely no compensation for the bias.  Might be a good example to use
for the importance of random sampling, along with the Dewey election
predictions.  

As a separate point, I wonder if they could have demonstrated their
results with a much smaller, random sample of messages.  Although it is
possible that the study of large networks does not benefit as much from
random sampling as the study of individual units.

Take care
Jim

James M. Clark
Professor of Psychology
204-786-9757
204-774-4134 Fax
[EMAIL PROTECTED] 

>>> Michael Smith <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> 03-Aug-08 11:51 AM >>>




I have never looked into it, and I haven't read the book,
but I find it very hard to believe that someone who lets say lived and
died in
the hills of Kentucky without leaving a local geographical area (with
no phone
or computer of course) would be 6 to 7 introductions away from a nomad
who
lived and died in the mountains of Afghanistan in a similar small
geographic
area.

It sounds like one of those things which are based on
certain assumptions which may not be true (or the math is so exotic
people just
assume *they* must be correct).

--Mike

--- On Sun, 8/3/08, Christopher D. Green <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
From: Christopher D. Green <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: Re: [tips] Microsoft prove there are just six degrees of
separation between us | Technology | The Observer
To: "Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)"
<[email protected]>
Date: Sunday, August 3, 2008, 7:36 AM




  
                   
                  
    


Allow me to recommend, once again, the book _Linked: How Everything in
Connected to Everything Else, and What It Means for Business,
Sciences,
and Everyday Life_ by Albert-Laszlo Barabasi. Despite the somewhat
new-agey, holistic title, it is actually about mathematical network
theory, and has all kinds of applications to the "real world,"
especially in the internet age. By the way, the "six degrees" idea did
not originate with Milgram, as many psychologists like to believe. It
instead dates back to a Hungarian author of the 1920s.



Regards,

Chris

-- 


 
 
Christopher D
 
 

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Christopher D. Green

Department of Psychology

York University

Toronto, ON M3J 1P3

Canada
 
416-736-2100 ex. 66164

[EMAIL PROTECTED] 

http://www.yorku.ca/christo/ 
=========================







Allen Esterson wrote:

  On 2 August 2008 Chris Green wrote:
  
  
    The "six degrees" theory apparently holds up, even in the 
electronic age.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2008/aug/03/internet.email 
    
  
  Surely the advent of electonic mailing has appreciably *increased*
the
probability of such connections. I "know" far more people in recent
years
than previously -- just think of all the TIPsters for starters!
Doesn't
this work undertaken by Microsoft researchers imply that before the
advent
of large-scale emailing the "six degrees" theory was an overstatement?


>From the Guardian article:
"But yesterday researchers announced the theory was right - nearly. By
studying billions of electronic messages, they worked out that any two
strangers are, on average, distanced by precisely 6.6 degrees of
separation."

Allen Esterson
Former lecturer, Science Department
Southwark College, London
http://www.esterson.org 

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