On Fri, 03 Apr 2009 12:43:04 -0700, Paul Okami writes:
>  http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/04/nyregion/04hostage.html?hp 
>
>I'm well aware of the impact of the availability heuristic and mass media 
>portrayals on people's beliefs about the incidence of various crimes (e.g., 
>child kidnappings and such).  That said, is it just my imagination or has 
>there 
>*really been* a substantial and scary increase in the number of deranged 
>individuals opening fire on groups of innocent people over the past two or 
>three decades?  (I'm excluding war-time atrocities here).  

The simple asnwer to your question appears to be "No".  I assume
that you're referring to "mass murders" in contrast to serial murderers
(i.e., the murderer kills more than 4 people in a limited period of time).
There probably is good data on this but I haven't been able to find it
(I haven't been looking long, though).  There is an interesting passage
on mass murder in Elliot Leyton's "Hunting Humans" which is available
on books.google.com at:
http://books.google.com/books?id=nhARuP0vLgMC&pg=PA244&lpg=PA244&dq=%22mass+murder%22+frequency+fbi&source=bl&ots=d21KQ6PHCI&sig=rdy9tpg1_zXji5UKhBAPll0D8XY&hl=en&ei=_5PWSeTmLoTWlQfw-5ndDA&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=1
or
http://tinyurl.com/c3lejc 

An interesting comment made by Leyton is that mass murderers
have not been analyzed much by the FBI (it's "not a police problem")
and there's no evidence that there has been an increase in recent years.
Between 1976 and 1989, there was an average of 2 mass murders
every month in the U.S.  Again, there may be more recent data.

-Mike Palij
New York University
[email protected]








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