Hi

Rick cited the Best article, which is good.  It had also been
mentioned recently on the sci.stats.edu newsgroup, in particular
an allusion to Best's discussion of a statement in a 1995 journal
article to the effect that since 1950 the number of children
gunned down in the US had doubled every year.  Without some
appreciation of numbers, people cannot appreciate how completely
impossible this is.  Here are the values that would be involved
if only 1 child had been gunned down in 1950, culiminating in 13
trillion being gunned down in 1995.  Best notes that this far
exceeds the total population of the world throughout its entire
history.  He tracked down the apparent source for the figure, and
it appears to be a statement that the number of child deaths from
gunshots doubled since 1950.

Year    # Children Gunned Down
1950                   1
1951                   2
1952                   4
1953                   8
1954                  16
1955                  32
1956                  64
1957                 128
1958                 256
1959                 512
1960               1,024
1961               2,048
1962               4,096
1963               8,192
1964              16,384
1965              32,768
1966              65,536
1967             131,072
1968             262,144
1969             524,288
1970           1,048,576
1971           2,097,152
1972           4,194,304
1973           8,388,608
1974          16,777,216
1975          33,554,432
1976          67,108,864
1977         134,217,728
1978         268,435,456
1979         536,870,912
1980       1,073,741,824
1981       2,147,483,648
1982       4,294,967,296
1983       8,589,934,592
1984      17,179,869,184
1985      34,359,738,368
1986      68,719,476,736
1987     137,438,953,472
1988     274,877,906,944
1989     549,755,813,888
1990   1,099,511,627,776
1991   2,199,023,255,552
1992   4,398,046,511,104
1993   8,796,093,022,208
1994  17,592,186,044,416
1995  35,184,372,088,832

Best wishes
Jim

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James M. Clark                          (204) 786-9757
Department of Psychology                (204) 774-4134 Fax
University of Winnipeg                  4L05D
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