Bourgeois, Dr. Martin wrote:

I think that Bem's results are best interpreted in light of
his approach to hypothesis testing. His chapter on writing in
The Compleat Academic advocates HARKing, or hypothesizing
after the results are known. Although many, such as Norb Kerr
at Michigan State, see HARKing as intellectually dishonest,
Bem believes that one should write an introduction after
looking at the results, in order to tell a coherent story.
Study 1 of Bem's forthcoming paper provides a good example: he
tested men and women on erotic stimuli, nonerotic but romantic
stimuli, positive stimuli, negative stimuli, and neutral
stimuli. He predicted and found an effect such that choices on
erotic but not nonerotic stimuli were slightly but
significantly greater than chance. I suspect that had he found
effects only for men, only for women, only for positive,
negative, or nonerotic stimuli, he would have predicted the
effect he found. One could similarly critique each of the
studies in the paper; for example, sometimes he predicted and
found that individual differences (e.g., in extraversion or
sensation seeking) moderated the effects, sometimes not. If
enough hypotheses are tested in any given study, some are
bound to come out. I don't think that Bem is doing anything
unusual; Kerr's research suggests that HARKing is quite common
in psychology. Bem also used one-tailed tests, which seems
curious for a paper testing extraordinary claims.


I agree with Martin's point about Bem's advocacy of telling a good story after the results are known.

I read the in-press ms that was floating about. Bem's assertion (in the in-press ms) that he didn't need to identify the mechanism of action permitted him to dodge questions about what I saw as an inchoate collection of results.

Ken


---------------------------------------------------------------
Kenneth M. Steele, Ph.D.                  [email protected]
Professor and Assistant Chairperson
Department of Psychology          http://www.psych.appstate.edu
Appalachian State University
Boone, NC 28608
USA
---------------------------------------------------------------


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