The Scientific American blogger John Matson takes a look at the calculations made by Harold Camping (originator of the May 21, 2011 end of the world prophecy -- an engineer by training) and, believe it or not, identifies the mathematical basis for the date of the Rapture. See: http://www.scientificamerican.com/blog/post.cfm?id=judgment-day-math-the-numbers-behin-2011-05-19
Another article on the timing and such of the rapture is accessible here: http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/may/20/the-rapture-judgment-day-us I find it interesting that Camping & Co "guarantee" that the time is correct. I don't know what such a guarantee is worth but advocates of the "confidence interval" approach to statistical analysis are probably worried (i.e., what do you do if your CI = 0.00). ;-) -Mike Palij New York University [email protected] P.S. Just curious but what do Bayesians have to say about the calculated time for the end of the world? --- You are currently subscribed to tips as: [email protected]. To unsubscribe click here: http://fsulist.frostburg.edu/u?id=13090.68da6e6e5325aa33287ff385b70df5d5&n=T&l=tips&o=10676 or send a blank email to leave-10676-13090.68da6e6e5325aa33287ff385b70df...@fsulist.frostburg.edu
