Hi

Isn't there a danger that articles like this might lead someone (who
perhaps only reads the title and abstract) to believe that indeed their
beliefs in the existence of X are valid until someone disproves it? 
After all, the article asserts (sort of) that you can prove a negative.

It appears better to me if we teach that the degree of confidence that
we have in the existence of X depends on the strength (amount, quality)
of the evidence for X.  Lacking any credible evidence for the existence
of X, we have little (~0) belief in X.  Stated bluntly, we do not (or
should not) believe things that lack evidence for them.  As evidence
accumulates, so our confidence in the belief increases.

I forget whether it was with Jeff or someone else, but I recall a
debate some time ago about what a skeptic was ... one view being that
skeptics are silent on issues until there is evidence for or against the
issue (i.e., skeptics start out sitting on the fence), and another view
(one I prefer) closer to what I have stated above; that is, skeptics
have a lack of belief until evidence accrues to move us from the null
position.

Take care
Jim

James M. Clark
Professor of Psychology
204-786-9757
204-774-4134 Fax
[email protected]

>>> "Jeffry Ricker, PhD" <[email protected]> 13-Nov-11 12:55:00
PM >>>
Hi all,

I suspect that many of us, when we teach students to 'think
critically', state that "one can't prove a negative." Here's a brief
article that provides a counter-argument to this claim, at a level that
students (and I) can understand:

Hales, S. (2005). You Can Prove a Negative. Think, 10, 109-12.
Retrieved from
http://departments.bloomu.edu/philosophy/pages/content/hales/articles/proveanegative.html


Here are some excerpts:

"Some people seem to think that you can*t prove a specific sort of
negative claim, namely that a thing does not exist. So it is impossible
to prove that Santa Claus, unicorns, the Loch Ness Monster, God, pink
elephants, WMD in Iraq, and Bigfoot don*t exist. Of course, this
rather depends on what one has in mind by *prove.*...

"Maybe people mean that no inductive argument will conclusively,
indubitably prove a negative proposition beyond all 
shadow of a doubt. For example, suppose someone argues that we*ve
scoured the world for Bigfoot, found no credible 
evidence of Bigfoot*s existence, and therefore there is no Bigfoot. A
classic inductive argument. A Sasquatch defender can always rejoin that
Bigfoot is reclusive, and might just be hiding in that next stand of
trees. You can*t prove he*s not!...

"The very nature of an inductive argument is to make a conclusion
probable, but not certain, given the truth of the 
premises.... Despite its fallibility, induction is vital in every
aspect of our lives, from the mundane to the most 
sophisticated science. Without induction we know basically nothing
about the world apart from our own immediate perceptions.... You can
prove a negative * at least as much as you can prove anything at
all."

Best,
Jeff
-- 
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jeffry Ricker, Ph.D.
SCC: Professor of Psychology
MCCCD: General Studies Faculty Representative
PSY 101 Website: http://sccpsy101.wordpress.com/ 
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Scottsdale Community College
9000 E. Chaparral Road
Scottsdale, AZ 85256-2626
Office: SB-123
Phone: (480) 423-6213
Fax: (480) 423-6298




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