Clearly, Gutting had not yet read the latest issue of Perspectives in 
Psychological Science at the time of writing his blog:

Bones, A. K. (2012). We Knew the Future All Along: Scientific Hypothesizing is 
Much More Accurate Than Other Forms of Precognition—A Satire in One Part. 
Perspectives on Psychological Science
7(3) 307–309.

In 2011, the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology published an article 
by Bem that reported evidence of precognition. Although the study has been 
widely criticized, Bones says that for evidence of precognition we need only 
look to ourselves. How else does one explain that roughly 97% of psychologists' 
a priori hypotheses are supported? This commentary takes a satirical look at 
the creation of and support for hypotheses in psychological research.

;-)

Miguel



From: "Rick Froman" <[email protected]> 
To: "Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)" 
<[email protected]> 
Sent: Friday, May 18, 2012 10:04:03 AM 
Subject: [tips] How reliable are the social sciences? 



  


  


  



http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/17/how-reliable-are-the-social-sciences/
 

  

I found a lot to agree and disagree with in this NY Times blog post but every 
paragraph left me with the nagging question: “What is the alternative basis on 
which to make policy decisions?” I have to say that the last sentence, which is 
supposed to provide the answer, was more than a disappointment; it was quite 
laughable. Unfortunately, from the context, I guess it wasn’t meant as a joke. 
One interesting feature of the comments section: many readers, even those who 
agree with the criticisms, point out psychology as an exception to the 
weaknesses of the social sciences described in the article. I doubt it really 
means anything in the larger population but it was an interesting phenomenon in 
this particular sample. 

  

Rick 

  

Dr. Rick Froman, Chair 

Division of Humanities and Social Sciences 

Professor of Psychology 

Box 3055 

John Brown University 

2000 W. University Siloam Springs, AR  72761 

[email protected] 

(479)524-7295 

http://bit.ly/DrFroman 

  


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