The Yahoo Finance website has an interesting article on the student loan
problem which it describes as a "bubble".  In this case, as colleges and
universities increase their tuition and fees, students have to go further
into debt which they may not be able to afford.  If a large number of
students are unable to pay off their loans, we may see a default on the
scale of the sub-prime mortgage bubble when it burst.  The article can
be accessed here:
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/student-loan-bubble-putting-hundreds-colleges-risk-125000050.html

This article is based on work by Richard Kneedler, who was president
of Franklin and Marshall college, and opinion pieces by Mark Talyor
(currently Chair of the Religion Dept at Columbia University) which
have appeared on the Bloomberg news website.  One article is on
"How Competition Is Killing Higher Education" which can be accessed
here:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-17/competition-is-killing-higher-education-part-1-.html
And "Is the College Cave Age About to End?" which focuses on the
problem of over-specialization; see:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-20/is-the-college-cave-age-about-to-end-part-2-.html

The need to raise tuition and fees and cut back on support, Taylor
argues, can be attributed in part to university spending that isn't really
needed but is mostly an exercise in image management.  After all,
who doesn't want their university to appear highly ranked on U.S. News
or the Academic Ranking of World Universities?  See:
http://www.arwu.org/ARWU2010.jsp
Or the Times Higher Education World University Rankings?  See:
http://www.timeshighereducation.co.uk/world-university-rankings/2010-2011/top-200.html

This raises the question of who will bailout the universities if they cannot
make their debt payments (i.e., mortgages, loans, other financial
obligations, etc.)?  Will they have to close?  Or might they just downsize?
What will the once tenured family do?

But there is good news.  Part-time faculty and others with advanced degress
may qualify for food stamps; see:
http://chronicle.com/article/From-Graduate-School-to/131795/

The figure from the article is either interesting or frightening, depending
upon how stable one's current position is:

http://chronicle.com/img/photos/biz/36-foodstamps-graphic1.gif

But listen, if your university closes or you're downsized, at least you'll
have food stamps and medicaid if you're in the U.S..  That is, if those
programs aren't substantially cut.

-Mike Palij
New York University
[email protected]

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