On 2012-08-11, at 7:53 AM, Michael Palij wrote: > But why should we be concerned about such issues, right? These > events (i.e., mass murders by graduate students) are rare events, > so we can treat the probability of any our students potentially being > a criminal or a mass murders as essentially zero, right?
To be statistically serious for a moment, it is an event that has such a low base rate that one would almost certainly commit a false positive were one to go out on a limb and predict such a thing, no matter how bizarrely a student (or any other human was acting (short of walking into a crowded building with loaded guns -- and even then, remember the guys during the last presidential election campaign who attended Obama rallies with loaded automatic weapons strapped to their backs with the aim not of killing, but of provoking the secret service into action in order to somehow "prove" that Obama's ultimate aims was to confiscate everyone's fire arms?) Chris --- Christopher D. Green Department of Psychology York University Toronto, ON M3J 1P3 Canada [email protected] http://www.yorku.ca/christo/ ========================== --- You are currently subscribed to tips as: [email protected]. To unsubscribe click here: http://fsulist.frostburg.edu/u?id=13090.68da6e6e5325aa33287ff385b70df5d5&n=T&l=tips&o=19657 or send a blank email to leave-19657-13090.68da6e6e5325aa33287ff385b70df...@fsulist.frostburg.edu
