Hi Ken Your Gonzaga comment was prophetic!
Jim Jim Clark Professor & Chair of Psychology University of Winnipeg 204-786-9757 Room 4L41A (4th Floor Lockhart) www.uwinnipeg.ca/~clark -----Original Message----- From: Ken Steele [mailto:[email protected]] Sent: March-29-15 7:00 AM To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS) Subject: Re: [tips] March Madness & Working Backwards heuristic Hi Jim: We, like every place, do an office competition and I play around with multiple strategies. One strategy I tried for a couple of years, which I called "Go with the head," was always to pick the higher ranked team. Usually I would end up in the bottom of the upper quartile or the bottom of the upper third. Good but not great. This year think Villanova vs NC State. Often times, "Go with the heart" worked out better. I think that strategy reflects sensitivity to longer term (multiple year) performances. Here I would point to the many years that Gonzaga was not ranked highly. Ken --------------------------------------------------------------- Kenneth M. Steele, Ph.D. [email protected] Professor Department of Psychology http://www.psych.appstate.edu Appalachian State University Boone, NC 28608 USA --------------------------------------------------------------- On 3/29/2015 12:07 AM, Jim Clark wrote: > > > And if teaching probability, the p for predicting every game by chance > is .5^63. What if you always picked the higher ranked team? > > Take care > > Jim > > Jim Clark > > Professor & Chair of Psychology > > University of Winnipeg > > 204-786-9757 > > Room 4L41A (4^th Floor Lockhart) > > www.uwinnipeg.ca/~clark <http://www.uwinnipeg.ca/~clark> > --- You are currently subscribed to tips as: [email protected]. To unsubscribe click here: http://fsulist.frostburg.edu/u?id=13251.645f86b5cec4da0a56ffea7a891720c9&n=T&l=tips&o=43462 or send a blank email to leave-43462-13251.645f86b5cec4da0a56ffea7a89172...@fsulist.frostburg.edu --- You are currently subscribed to tips as: [email protected]. To unsubscribe click here: http://fsulist.frostburg.edu/u?id=13090.68da6e6e5325aa33287ff385b70df5d5&n=T&l=tips&o=43482 or send a blank email to leave-43482-13090.68da6e6e5325aa33287ff385b70df...@fsulist.frostburg.edu
