An article in the NY Times on "What's the Matter with Polling?" paints a bleak picture for opinion polling, especially in elections. The shift from people's usage of landline phones to cell phones has made getting a probability sample much more difficult, add in a low response rate and a growing tendency for people not to tell pollsters the truth about what they believe or will do and the process comes close to being useless. The author of the article is a Cliff Zukin who is a professor of poli sci at Rutgers and a part President of the American Association for Public Opinion Research. The article can be accessed here: http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/21/opinion/sunday/whats-the-matter-with-polling.html?emc=edit_th_20150621&nl=todaysheadlines&nlid=389166
Expect 2016 to be a very confusing year when it comes to predicting what the election results may be. -Mike Palij New York University [email protected] --- You are currently subscribed to tips as: [email protected]. To unsubscribe click here: http://fsulist.frostburg.edu/u?id=13090.68da6e6e5325aa33287ff385b70df5d5&n=T&l=tips&o=45503 or send a blank email to leave-45503-13090.68da6e6e5325aa33287ff385b70df...@fsulist.frostburg.edu
