Ended up reading rephist.c for awhile.

Seems the up/down time is accumulated
with downtime discounted %5 every
12 hours.

So absolute worst-case age-out for
100% downtime would be something
like .95 ^ 76 (35.5 days) to get
down it to 2%.  Since the outage
is not as bad as that, the guard
flag should show up sooner.

Not interested enough to calculated
the exact answer.  Will just watch it.

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