From: [email protected] 
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Jack Bauer
Sent: Thursday, December 17, 2009 8:36 PM
Subject: EconomicWar> US foreclosure buyer demand dips as supply mounts

 


  


US foreclosure buyer demand dips as supply mounts


Dec, 2009 2:01pm EST

By Lynn Adler 
<http://blogs.reuters.com/search/journalist.php?edition=us&n=lynn.adler&;> 

NEW YORK, Dec 15 (Reuters) - U.S. Home buyers are less willing to buy 
foreclosed properties than they were six months ago, citing risks like hidden 
costs, but demand could grow because of the government's expanded tax credit, a 
survey showed on Tuesday.

A continued drop in demand for the glut of foreclosed properties would add a 
fresh layer of pain to a housing market just emerging from a three-year 
nosedive.

The percentage of Americans at least somewhat likely to consider buying a 
foreclosed home fell to 43 percent in November, sharply below May's 55 percent, 
according to a survey by Harris Interactive.

The survey was conducted Nov. 5-9 on behalf of Trulia.com, a real estate search 
engine, and RealtyTrac, which tracks foreclosures.

Buyer expectations are becoming more realistic, Trulia Chief Executive Pete 
Flint said on a conference call.

Next year "government interventions will start to disappear, shadow inventory 
will hit the market and mortgage rates will start to rise" to around 6 percent 
from under 5 percent, he said. "We're in a false state of stability."

Shadow inventory includes houses that banks now hold but have yet to put up for 
sale.

Double-digit unemployment will push more owners into foreclosure, further 
destabilizing the housing market and pressing prices down another 5 to 10 
percent, said Flint.

Some closely watched measures show prices have toppled by about 30 percent on 
average from 2006 peaks. Although prices are rising in some areas, the survey 
found lingering concern about buying now, when prices could fall still further.

Demand for foreclosed properties, which are often deeply discounted compared 
with other homes on the market, is of particular concern. RealtyTrac expects 
over 3 million properties will receive at least one foreclosure notice this 
year, up from a record 2.3 million last year.

About half of those properties will ultimately go back to banks, RealtyTrac 
said last week. To read more, see [ID:nN09230370].

The company reported that November was the fourth straight month of declines in 
foreclosure actions, thanks to various loan modification efforts. But it said 
many of those problem mortgages would fail anyway.

Foreclosures could escalate to 4 million in 2010, RealtyTrac Senior Vice 
president Rick Sharga said.

"Unemployment, negative equity are driving factors, as is credit availability," 
he said. "We don't believe we will get back to normal levels of foreclosure 
activity on a month-to-month basis until probably the end of 2012, and we will 
still be going through the shadow inventory well into 2013."

Banks will place the unsold homes on the market at a measured pace to thwart 
prices on all homes from falling off a cliff anew, he said.

AGE, MARITAL STATUS MATTER

Real estate investors, renters and homeowners looking to "trade up" to a larger 
house still show strong interest in foreclosed properties, the survey found. 
Although overall demand dropped, a large share of current homeowners looking to 
trade up are willing to consider such a purchase.

About 24 percent of homeowners are at least somewhat likely to trade up to a 
larger home. Of these, 88 percent are at least somewhat likely to consider a 
foreclosure, the survey found.

Demand from those buyers could rise due to the government's new $6,500 tax 
credit for current homeowners who buy a new home. These are the "trade-up" or 
"move-up" buyers.

Buyers looking to lock in that incentive, as well as buyers wanting to take 
advantage of the $8,000 first-time home buyer credit, need to sign contracts by 
the end of April and close on mortgage loans by the end of June.

Fifty-seven percent of renters are at least somewhat likely to buy a distressed 
home. Demand from renters, as well as all adults, fades as ages rise.

Marital status also impacts demand, with more never-married adults willing to 
consider a foreclosed property than those who are married, divorced or widowed.

Two-thirds of buyers expect to get a discount of at least 30 percent for a 
foreclosure.

The survey found that 95 percent of foreclosure buyers are willing to invest in 
renovations, with more than half expecting to spend 20 percent or more of the 
purchase price to improve the property. Such spending can help stimulate the 
economy. (Editing by Dan Grebler) 

 

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