From: [email protected] 
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Bob Taft
Subject: Re: EconomicWar> Economy: DEBT - not going to recover

 

Ominously well said.  Only trouble is that none of these financial writers will 
touch on the basic dishonesties of government, like the fact that all 
governments keep two sets of books.  One set is the budget that always needs a 
bigger tax grab, and the other is the CAFR that is rolling in dough for the 
benefit of government payrollers, AND NOT FOR THE TAXPAYERS. 

As for greedy capitalists employing cheap foreign labor, the US Congress IS 
RESPONSIBLE FOR THAT.  They removed tarrifs that protected American workers and 
the America living standards years ago.

But the main thing that needs be done is to merge the BUDGET with the 
COMPREHENSIVE ANNUAL FINANCIAL REPORT into one set of books, and not only is 
government financially quite sound, but so much so that no more taxes need be 
exacted from the people.    See www.CAFR1.com for details.

Government is not hard up, it only wants us to think it is in as bad a shape as 
we are.

Best regards,.
Bob Taft
The Taft Ranch
Upton, Wyoming 
(307) 465-2447
"We hang  the petty thieves and appoint
the great ones to public office." Aesop 
http://www.freedomclubusa.com/the_tun
http://www.rumormillnews.com/cgi-bin/archive.cgi?read=74897



On Sun, Jan 24, 2010 at 11:13 PM, James Elmer <[email protected]> wrote:

 

Fwd: print: Economic Black Hole: 

20 Reasons Why The U.S. 

Economy Is Dying And Is Simply 

Not Going To Recover

        

 

 

--- On Sat, 1/23/10, 

 

By  Alan Dreyfus

 

    
http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/Economic-Black-Hole-20-Reasons-Why-The-US-Economy-Is-Dying-300x300.jpg

 

Even though the U.S. financial system nearly experienced a total meltdown in 
late 2008, the truth is that most Americans simply have no idea what is 
happening to the U.S. economy.  Most people seem to think that the nasty little 
recession that we have just been through is almost over and that we will be 
experiencing another time of economic growth and prosperity very shortly.  But 
this time around that is not the case.  The reality is that we are being sucked 
into an economic black hole from which the U.S. economy will never fully 
recover.

 

    The problem is debt.  Collectively, the U.S. government, the state 
governments, corporate America and American consumers have accumulated the 
biggest mountain of debt in the history of the world.  Our massive debt binge 
has financed our tremendous growth and prosperity over the last couple of 
decades, but now the day of reckoning is here.

 

    And it is going to be painful.

    The following are 20 reasons why the U.S. economy is dying and is simply 
not going to recover....

    #1) Do you remember that massive wave of subprime mortgages that defaulted 
in 2007 and 2008 and caused the biggest financial crisis since the Great 
Depression?  Well, the "second wave" of mortgage defaults in on the way and 
there is simply no way that we are going to be able to avoid it.  A huge 
mountain of mortgages is going to reset starting in 2010, and once those 
mortgage payments go up there are once again going to be millons of people who 
simply cannot pay their mortgages.  The chart below reveals just how bad the 
second wave of adjustable rate mortgages is likely to be over the next several 
years....

    
http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/The-Second-Wave-Of-Mortgage-Defaults.bmp

 

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    #2) The Federal Housing Administration has announced plans to increase the 
amount of up-front cash paid by new borrowers and to require higher down 
payments from those with the poorest credit.  The Federal Housing 
Administration currently backs about 30 percent of all new home loans and about 
20 percent of all new home refinancing loans.  Tighter standards are going to 
mean that less people will qualify for loans.  Less qualifiers means that there 
will be less buyers for homes.  Less buyers means that home prices are going to 
drop even more.

    #3) It is getting really hard to find a job in the United States.  A total 
of 6,130,000 U.S. workers had been unemployed for 27 weeks or more in December 
2009.  That was the most ever since the U.S. government started keeping track 
of this statistic in 1948.  In fact, it is more than double the 2,612,000 U.S. 
workers who were unemployed for a similar length of time in December 2008.  The 
reality is that once Americans lose their jobs they are increasingly finding it 
difficult to find new ones.  Just check out the chart below....

    
http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/Duration-Of-Unemployment3.png

 

Error! Filename not specified.

    #4) In December, there were also 929,000 "discouraged" workers who are not 
counted as part of the labor force because they have "given up" looking for 
work.  That is the most since the U.S. government first started keeping track 
of discouraged workers in 1949.  Many Americans have simply given up and are 
now chronically unemployed.

    #5) Some areas of the U.S. are already virtually in a state of depression.  
The mayor of Detroit estimates that the real unemployment rate in his city is 
now somewhere around 50 percent.

    #6) For decades, our leaders in Washington pushed us towards "a global 
economy" and told us it would be so good for us.  But there is a flip side.  
Now workers in the U.S. must compete with workers all over the world, and our 
greedy corporations are free to pursue the cheapest labor available anywhere on 
the globe.  Millions of jobs have already been shipped out of the United 
States, and Princeton University economist Alan S. Blinder estimates that 22% 
to 29% of all current U.S. jobs will be offshorable within two decades.  The 
days when blue collar workers could live the American Dream are gone and they 
are not going to come back.   

    #7) During the 2001 recession, the U.S. economy lost 2% of its jobs and it 
took four years to get them back. This time around the U.S. economy has lost 
more than 5% of its jobs and there is no sign that the bleeding of jobs is 
going to stop any time soon.

    #8) All of this unemployment is putting severe stress on state unemployment 
funds.  At this point, 25 state unemployment insurance funds have gone broke 
and the Department of Labor estimates that 15 more state unemployment funds 
will likely go broke within two years and will need massive loans from the 
federal government just to keep going.

    #9) 37 million Americans now receive food stamps, and the program is 
expanding at a pace of about 20,000 people a day.  The United States of America 
is very quickly becoming a socialist welfare state.

    #10) The number of Americans who are going broke is staggering.  1.41 
million Americans filed for personal bankruptcy in 2009 - a 32 percent increase 
over 2008.

    #11) For decades, the fact that the U.S. dollar was the reserve currency of 
the world gave the U.S. financial system an unusual degree of stability.  But 
all of that is changing.  Foreign countries are increasingly turning away from 
the dollar to other currencies.  For example, Russia’s central bank announced 
on Wednesday that it had started buying Canadian dollars in a bid to diversify 
its foreign exchange reserves.

    #12) The recent economic downturn has left some localities totally 
bankrupt.  For instance, Jefferson County, Alabama is on the brink of what 
would be the largest government bankruptcy in the history of the United States 
- surpassing the 1994 filing by Southern California's Orange County.

    #13) The U.S. is facing a pension crisis of unprecedented magnitude.  
Virtually all pension funds in the United States, both private and public, are 
massively underfunded.  With millions of Baby Boomers getting ready to retire, 
there is simply no way on earth that all of these obligations can be met.  
Robert Novy-Marx of the University of Chicago and Joshua D. Rauh of 
Northwestern's Kellogg School of Management recently calculated the collective 
unfunded pension liability for all 50 U.S. states for Forbes magazine.  So what 
was the total?  3.2 trillion dollars.

    #14) Social Security and Medicare expenses are wildly out of control.  Once 
again, with millions of Baby Boomers now at retirement age there is simply 
going to be no way to pay all of these retirees what they are owed.

    #15) So will the U.S. government come to the rescue?  The U.S. has allowed 
the total federal debt to balloon by 50% since 2006 to $12.3 trillion.  The 
chart below is a bit outdated, but it does show the reckless expansion of U.S. 
government debt over the past several decades.  To get an idea of where we are 
now, just add at least 3 trillion dollars on to the top of the chart....

    
http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/U.S.-National-Debt.gif

  

12 T                                                                            
     $

 

11 t

 

10 t

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    #16) So has the U.S. government learned anything from these mistakes?  No.  
In fact, Senate Democrats on Wednesday proposed allowing the federal government 
to borrow an additional $2 trillion to pay its bills, a record increase that 
would allow the U.S. national debt to reach approximately $14.3 trillion. 

    #17) It is going to become even harder for the U.S. government to pay the 
bills now that tax receipts are falling through the floor.  U.S. corporate 
income tax receipts were down 55% in the year that ended on September 30th, 
2009.

    #18) So where will the U.S. government get the money?  From the Federal 
Reserve of course.  The Federal Reserve bought approximately 80 percent of all 
U.S. Treasury securities issued in 2009.  In other words, the U.S. government 
is now being financed by a massive Ponzi scheme.

    #19) The reckless expansion of the money supply by the U.S. government and 
the Federal Reserve is going to end up destroying the U.S. dollar and the value 
of the remaining collective net worth of all Americans.  The more dollars there 
are, the less each individual dollar is worth.  In essence, inflation is like a 
hidden tax on each dollar that you own.  When they flood the economy with 
money, the value of the money you have in your bank accounts goes down.  The 
chart below shows the growth of the U.S. money supply.  Pay particular 
attention to the very end of the chart which shows what has been happening 
lately.  What do you think this is going to do to the value of the U.S. 
dollar?....

    
http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/United-States-Money-Supply.gif

 

Error! Filename not specified.

 

    #20) When a nation practices evil, there is no way that it is going to be 
blessed in the long run.  The truth is that we have become a nation that is 
dripping with corruption and wickedness from the top to the bottom.  Unless 
this fundamentally changes, not even the most perfect economic policies in the 
world are going to do us any good.  In the end, you always reap what you sow.  
The day of reckoning for the U.S. economy is here and it is not going to be 
pleasant.

 

     

 

 



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