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Subject: EconomicWar> Delinquency Rate Down but Foreclosures at All Time
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Subject: FWD: Delinquency rate down but foreclosures at all time high‏
Date:   Mon, 22 Feb 2010 09:48:09 -0800
From:   N joseph < >

FYI

Delinquency rate down but foreclosures at all time high‏

On April 5, 2010, the U.S. government will implement the Home Affordable
Foreclosure Alternatives Program. Part of the Home Affordable Modification
Program, 
HAFA helps homeowners who are unable to retain their home under HAMP by
simplifying and streamlining the use of short sales and deeds-in-lieu of
foreclosures. 
Homeowners must meet certain requirements to participate and incentive
payments are provided to homeowners and servicers.  To help Realtors
understand HAFA and 
its guidelines, NAR has released a brochure about the Home Affordable
Foreclosure Alternatives Program and additional resources online, including
government 
forms and guidelines, a video explaining the new federal guidelines, and
frequently asked questions. Designed to help Realtors explain the new
program to 
homeowners, NAR’s HAFA resources explain how the program aims to streamline
short sales and, in the process, save more families from foreclosure.  “The
new 
guidelines and incentives as part of HAFA are a crucial step towards
reducing problems with the short sale process, and Realtors are ready to
help make this new 
program a success,” said Golder.

Ex-US Treasury Secretaries Back Volcker Rule

Five former Treasury secretaries - Michael Blumenthal, Nicholas Brady, Paul
O'Neill, George Shultz and John Snow - urged Congress to bar banks that
receive 
federal support from engaging in speculative activity unrelated to basic
bank services.  "The principle can be simply stated," the five said in a
letter to The 
Wall Street Journal. "Banks benefiting from public support by means of
access to the Federal Reserve and FDIC insurance should not engage in
essentially 
speculative activity unrelated to essential bank services."  The Treasury
secretaries insisted, however, that hedge funds, private-equity firms and
other 
organizations engaged in speculative trading should be "free to compete and
innovate" but should not expect taxpayers to back up their endeavors.  "They
should, 
like other private businesses, ... be free to fail without explicit or
implicit taxpayer support," said the former secretaries for both Republican
and 
Democratic presidents.  The appeal comes as Senate lawmakers are pressing
ahead with efforts to produce a financial regulatory reform bill that would
curb some 
of the practices that led to the 2008 financial crisis.  The regulatory
reform proposal endorsed by the five former Treasury secretaries is the
so-called 
Volcker Rule, formulated by former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker, a
top economic adviser to President Obama.  Obama surprised the financial
markets in 
late January when he announced the proposal, which calls for new limits on
banks' ability to do proprietary trading, or buying and selling of
investments for 
their own accounts unrelated to customers.

Delinquency rate down but foreclosures at all time high

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) National Delinquency
Survey, the delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit
residential 
properties fell to a seasonally adjusted rate of 9.47 percent of all loans
outstanding as of the end of the fourth quarter of 2009, down 17 basis
points from 
the third quarter of 2009, and up 159 basis points from one year ago.  The
non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate increased 50 basis points from 9.94
percent 
in the third quarter of 2009 to 10.44 percent this quarter.  The delinquency
rate includes loans that are at least one payment past due but does not
include 
loans in the process of foreclosure.  The percentage of loans in the
foreclosure process at the end of the fourth quarter was 4.58 percent, an
increase of 11 
basis points from the third quarter of 2009 and 128 basis points from one
year ago. The combined percentage of loans in foreclosure or at least one
payment past 
due was 15.02 percent on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, the highest ever
recorded in the MBA delinquency survey.

The percentage of loans on which foreclosure actions were started during the
fourth quarter was 1.20 percent, down 22 basis points from last quarter and
up 12 
basis points from one year ago.  The percentages of loans 90 days or more
past due and loans in foreclosure set new record highs.  The percentage of
loans 30 
days past due is still below the record set in the second quarter of 1985.
Jay Brinkmann, MBA’s chief economist, says, “Despite the drop in short-term 
delinquencies, foreclosure rates could continue to climb, however, based on
the ability of borrowers 90 days or more delinquent to solve their problems.
A 
sizable number of the loans in the 90+ day delinquent bucket are in loan
modification programs.  They are carried as delinquent until borrowers
demonstrate they 
will make the payments agreed to in the plans."  And we all know how well
HAMP is working…

Credit card rules are here

Today the CARD act goes into effect and consumers finally get some relief
from such practices as "double-cycle billing" and arbitrary rate increases.
As with 
most government meddling though, the results aren't all rosy.  For starters,
consumers could suddenly find themselves socked with a variety of new fees
and 
charges.  Banks and other card issuers have already been aggressively
implementing new fees or raising existing ones to help make up for any
potential revenue 
lost as a result of the CARD Act.  And whereas 3% was once the standard
charge for rolling over a balance from one credit card to another, issuers
like JPMorgan 
Chase are now assessing customers a 5% fee, according to Bill Hardekopf, CEO
of the card rating site LowCards.com.  With the new law setting no
restrictions on 
the types of fees issuers can implement, consumers should pay particularly
close attention to the "Terms and Conditions" section of their statement so
they know 
exactly what they are being charged for, warn experts.  Credit is poised to
tighten even further.

As part of the CARD Act, credit card companies will be severely restricted
in how they market cards to college students, potentially shrinking an
important part 
of their business.  But issuers are also expected to implement much more
severe underwriting practices. Some may demand, for example, details on an
applicant's 
income or proof of other savings.  Consumers may also be increasingly unable
to enjoy the fruits of their spending as a result of the new law.  It wasn't
that 
long ago where a cardholder could easily earn credit towards a free airline
ticket or cash back for every dollar spent. But issuers are now quietly
becoming 
more stingy with their rewards in an effort to save money.  Things aren't
all bad though.  One of the biggest victories for consumers in the new law
are a 
series of limits on how and when credit card companies can set interest
rates.  Whereas in the past, banks could raise your annual percentage rate
just for 
missing a payment on your cell phone bill or without giving a consumer much
advance notice, such practices will soon be outlawed. Issuers now have to
alert you 
at least 45 days in advance before raising your rate under the CARD Act.

$1.5 billion - more details

Remember on Friday we reported that Obama was going to use $1.5 billion of
Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) funds to aid homeowners in select
states?  We 
have a few more details today:  Treasury Department policy adviser Sarah
Apsel, in a posting on the White House blog, said the program will apply to
states 
where house prices have fallen more than 20% from their peak.  William
Apgar, Housing and Urban Development senior adviser for mortgage finance
adds that the 
states were chosen because of these “precipitous house price declines” and
holding a large number of “first and second mortgages underwater.”  Apgar
said 
related mortgage-backed securities investors are willing to take write-downs
on the firsts, but want borrowers with a second, as is often the case, to be
able 
to access federal funding.

The industry recently sounded a warning against these so-called “silent
seconds,” as it relates to investors; “Lien priority dictates that the first
mortgage 
cannot be written down until the second is extinguished,” Amherst Securities
said in that report.  “Such price declines, coupled with the effects of high

unemployment, means that many working and middle-class families in these
areas are facing serious challenges,” Apsel wrote. “The effort we are
announcing today 
will provide support for state housing finance agencies (HFAs) to design
programs tailored to the urgent needs of particular communities.”  According
to Apsel, 
the funds will support programs geared toward sustainable and affordable
homeownership including efforts to help unemployed homeowners, borrowers in
negative 
equity positions and borrowers pressured by second mortgages. The Treasury
will announce maximum state level allocations over the next two weeks, she
said.  The 
plan will support homeowners in California, Nevada, Arizona, Florida, and
Michigan.

Now on to our real estate investing educational section...

Great Scams & Schemes

“For every complicated problem there is a solution that is simple, direct,
understandable and wrong.” H.L. Mencken

Once upon a time, our ancestors believed the stars and sun rotated around
the Earth; after all, it made perfect sense and one had only to gaze out
upon the sky 
for confirmation of the obvious. Of course that "common sense" observation
was entirely incorrect but that didn't stop it from being the prevalent
explanation 
for hundreds of years. Throughout history, people have believed ridiculous
things...and believed them so strongly that men of science have been
persecuted for 
suggesting otherwise. Sadly, the more things change the more they stay the
same especially in the "common sense" sciences of economics and finance.

Today we face yet another simple solution that appeals to the average
investor because it is direct and understandable...unfortunately, it's also
incorrect. As 
incorrect as the idea of the Earth being the center of the known universe.
The same hubris that caused man to assume the entire universe revolved
around him 
seems to have struck the modern American who believes the entire financial
world revolves around their ability to buy, sell and spend their way out of
debt. Yet 
more and more people are beginning to suspect the true situation...the
American economy may just be one of the largest Ponzi schemes' ever
perpetuated on society.

Take for instance Social Security - surely one of the most popular Ponzi
Scheme's in existence - whereby workers pay into a system for years under
the 
assumption they will have a nice little nest egg to fall back on during
their retirement years. Unfortunately there isn't a savings account set
aside since the 
funds taken from working employees are used to pay benefits for current
retirees. As the number of retirees continues to climb, and the number of
workers 
continues to decline...the Social Security system is fast approaching the
Day of Reckoning that tears apart most Ponzi schemes...the inability to
continue to 
raise funds fast enough to pay for current outlay.

Or what about the bond market? It's not just America but the entire Western
economic system that is drowning in debt, running huge budget deficits and
printing 
more money than ever before in history....savvy investors should wonder who
is willing to buy all this bad debt especially at such low interest rates?
Make no 
mistake about it, the central banks are taking up the slack to purchase what
"real" investors are not by using direct purchasing power from the Federal
Reserve.

So, what is a savvy investor to do in order to protect their purchasing
power? Well first of all forget long term bonds; with a return of 3-4% these
will be 
difficult (at best) to get rid of once interest rates begin to rise. Unless
you believe we are in for an extended period of deflation...as in a long
term 
depression...a mere three to four percent return on long term bonds is a
sure-fire way to lock in real losses. As the economy slowly but surely
begins to 
pick-up, most experts believe interest rates will have to increase at which
point only real assets - like those of real estate - can protect the
purchasing 
power of your portfolio. Given the policy actions of the past 18 months,
most experts agree the risk of inflation continues to grow disproportionate
to the 
ability of an average portfolio to keep pace.

That is why savvy investors must learn to look beyond the "simple" solutions
proposed by traditional financial advisors and instead, turn to new methods
like 
short sale real estate that provide absolute rates of return without cause
of concern related to inflation, market risk or other trends. The fast
turn-around 
time combined with high leverage allow investors to realize extraordinary
gains with minimal risk. Add in tax advantages, flexible individual and/or
corporate 
structure plus the ability to generate full-time income with only a few
hours of work each week and you have a non-common recipe for investment
success. No 
schemes, no scams...we leave that to the bankers and bail-out guru's to
manage...just results.

See you at the top!


Chris McLaughlin

**************

Copyright Loss Mitigation Institute LLC 2009.
All Rights Reserved.
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Finally, a blog for Real Estate professionals
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About the author:
Chris McLaughlin is widely known as America’s top
Real Estate Attorney and Investment Consultant.

     * As the top Florida foreclosure and pre-
       foreclosure expert, he oversees more than
       100 short sale & REO closings each month

    * Long-time authority on real estate investing
       and rapid reselling of distressed homes.  Owns
       portfolio of nearly 100 high-value, high-profit
      properties

     * Owner of one of Florida's largest Real Estate firms,
      running 4 different offices, supporting over
      400 agents, uniquely positioning him to help
      thousands of investors make money in the
      biggest market opportunity ever!

     * Highly sought-after speaker, consultant, and
       seminar leader for current trends and hot topics
       in Real Estate Investing, Entrepreneurship, and
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