We are using Linodes with Debian stable. It's been upgraded since 2006 and maybe even earlier. I might look at switching to Trisquel although I'm not yet confident that would be a good idea. Debian makes a really solid base. I don't have confidence in Canonical as a company. The track record of the people working for the company isn't great. I see the same mistakes being made again and again with commercial distributions that target the desktop and I'd prefer not to put my eggs in that basket. Debian has a track record that I believe will withstand collapse.

When commercial companies fold there is ultimately collateral damage. Even though I think basing a desktop distribution off Ubuntu is a smart move now I have more faith in Trisquel and Debian being around long term than Canonical. With a desktop distribution like Trisquel the worst case scenario is you have to switch bases (revert to using Debian) and then have your users reinstall instead of going through a smooth upgrade process. Not having a smooth upgrade is undesirable although not the end of the world. With the server I'm more concerned about having the stability AND smooth upgrade process. I don't know how much time Canonical has left although I'd rather not get stuck should it go under in 3-5 years. Mark Shuttlesworth has stated he will not indefinitely fund Ubuntu from his own pocket. There have been no public releases of Canonical financial records either. If the company does not succeed Mark Shuttlesworth will get out. He gave a 5 year time table a few years back. I believe that was in 2009. Like all other commercial distribution failures Canonical has done a lot of flip flopping.

Reality tends to differ from what those owning/running companies claim just before they go under. If they get out without filing for bankruptcy that's what we call a success in the desktop GNU/Linux business. If Canonical claims “success” my next question is who is buying it? If I have stock in that company I'm going to sell. This does not mean I think the commercial desktop GNU/Linux distribution business can't succeed. I'm just not confident Mark or Canonicals going to get us there. He could yet prove me wrong though.

I think he made a number of critical mistakes. Targeting a crowded market (phones) with Unity and abandoning the traditional desktop and then partnering with Dell. He should have focused on the Ubuntu Software Center and continued the successes of 10.04 on the desktop. While hardware isn't where the money is at I think entrance companies are undervaluing the market. Not that long ago Michael S. Dell (founder) bought back significant amount of stock in the company as the stock value dropped. I don't believe the guys move was stupid.

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